- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Who's spot do you prefer: OKC or Pels?
Posted on 4/14/15 at 1:03 am
Posted on 4/14/15 at 1:03 am
OKC:
Easy win and opponent as an underdog must lose
Pelicans: must win as an underdog or opponent loses as a big upset
Honestly it's pretty close. I think this favors OKC 55-60% of the time though.
Easy win and opponent as an underdog must lose
Pelicans: must win as an underdog or opponent loses as a big upset
Honestly it's pretty close. I think this favors OKC 55-60% of the time though.
11
Posted on 4/14/15 at 1:05 am to LSUzealot
quote:
Honestly it's pretty close. I think this favors OKC 55-60% of the time though.
I'm not sure about that.
The Pelicans just need one of two things to happen (win or Thunder loss), Thunder need two things to happen. Yeah, the opponents are night-and-day, but I think in these situations, you always want to be the team that controls their own destiny.
ETA: And yeah, the Spurs are playing their best ball of the year right now, but they are hardly unbeatable. In fact, we're an Asik tip-in away from coming into this game being 3-0 agains them.
This post was edited on 4/14/15 at 1:08 am
Posted on 4/14/15 at 1:08 am to LSUzealot
Has to be OKC. NBA has already shown that they will pull favors to keep Westbrook and his team alive. Analysts are already assuming we lose to Spurs. Won't be surprised if there are is questionable officiating. Just means we have to win the whole damn thing.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 1:42 am to LSUzealot
Was asking myself this same question earlier.
I think both teams should be pretty happy. Its 51-49 to pels just because we control our own destiny.
I think both teams should be pretty happy. Its 51-49 to pels just because we control our own destiny.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 7:40 am to St Augustine
Pels. Just take care of business and you are in. Thunder need two things to happen for them to make it in. I'll take 1 over 2 anyday.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 7:47 am to LSUzealot
You always want to be in the driver's seat no matter what. There's always the possibility of upsets no matter how bad the opponents can be. Their shots start dropping and that's a ball game.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 8:25 am to htran90
quote:
Who's spot do you prefer: OKC or Pels?
Pelicans, because even if the Thunder win, they'll still be in Oklahoma City.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 8:26 am to LSUzealot
I still prefer our spot. It only requires us winning or the thunder screwing up. The thunder have to win their game and they have to cross their fingers and hope we lose at home against a team we should be 3-0 against. The numbers favor us, we're just a small favorite now
Posted on 4/14/15 at 8:27 am to LSUzealot
quote:If I were a player, I'd definitely say Pels, I control my own destiny, win and in.
Who's spot do you prefer: OKC or Pels? by LSUzealot
As a fan, I'm going to stick with the numbers...the outcome may be different, but i'll take the better chance of making it, and that's OKC's position.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 8:27 am to Ryan3232
quote:I believe it's actually 60/40 OKC.
Its 51-49 to pels just because we control our own destiny
Posted on 4/14/15 at 8:55 am to LSUzealot
I think we back into the playoffs
Posted on 4/14/15 at 8:58 am to TigerWise
quote:Why would you think that Minny would beat OKC?
I think we back into the playoffs
Posted on 4/14/15 at 9:16 am to LSUzealot
If Pops isn't sitting his guys, we will either earn our way in or blame Monty for losing to the Knicks. Both are 50/50 to me.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 9:43 am to LSUzealot
What odds do you give the Thunder at beating the Wolves? 80%?
What odds do you give the Spurs at beating the Pelicans? 60%?
The Thunder need both of those results to happen, so you multiply the odds and get that they have a 48% chance of making the playoffs. Based on those percentages above, we're a slight favorite to take the last spot.
What odds do you give the Spurs at beating the Pelicans? 60%?
The Thunder need both of those results to happen, so you multiply the odds and get that they have a 48% chance of making the playoffs. Based on those percentages above, we're a slight favorite to take the last spot.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 9:45 am to schwartzy
Math time
Assumptions:
OKC 80% chance to win
Pels 40% chance to win
OKC = .8x.6 = 48%
Pels = .6x.2 + .4x.8 + .4x.2 = 52%
Slight pels favor.
Assumptions:
OKC 80% chance to win
Pels 40% chance to win
OKC = .8x.6 = 48%
Pels = .6x.2 + .4x.8 + .4x.2 = 52%
Slight pels favor.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 9:49 am to Broski
quote:You can throw those games out the window. They were nowhere near as good in those previous 3 games as they have been since Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker got healthy. They are the best team in the NBA right now, playing like the NBA champion Spurs of last year.
ETA: And yeah, the Spurs are playing their best ball of the year right now, but they are hardly unbeatable. In fact, we're an Asik tip-in away from coming into this game being 3-0 agains them.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 9:50 am to PrimeTime Money
Homecourt is the only reason I think we have a chance.
Posted on 4/14/15 at 9:53 am to The 25 Jersey
quote:
What odds do you give the Thunder at beating the Wolves? 80%?
What odds do you give the Spurs at beating the Pelicans? 60%?
The Thunder need both of those results to happen, so you multiply the odds and get that they have a 48% chance of making the playoffs. Based on those percentages above, we're a slight favorite to take the last spot.
Not sure about individal games, but Basketball Reference has it at 64% OKC.
It's probably something in the realm of 90% for OKC and 70% for SA, though I'm completely guessing on that part.
This post was edited on 4/14/15 at 9:55 am
Posted on 4/14/15 at 9:55 am to TigerinATL
quote:Oh definitely. I think this is a good way to kinda prove it, based on the OP of which spot do you prefer.
Homecourt is the only reason I think we have a chance.
Let's say, hypothetically, there was 1 game left and it was @ San Antonio. If the question is, would you rather us be playing SA for the last spot, or OKC be playing SA and needing an OKC loss for the last spot, which spot do you prefer? That's a no brainer, I want OKC playing @ SA.
Page 1 of 2
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News