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re: BOIL has become predictable

Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:13 am to
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:13 am to
all I have open are my jan calls, which are doing fine, but I think if it keeps going up like this, I'm going to buy the weekly puts just prior to the release..we'll see..
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:16 am to
Good idea. Not sure if you mean this week, or next week, but I'm going to buy next weeks UNG puts. Back with details later.
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
43557 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:26 am to
anyone have a target sell for ugaz?
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Good idea. Not sure if you mean this week, or next week,


This week. I was just looking for a very short play on the few minutes right before and after the release. if it doesn't pop up, I sell immediately, if it's moving in my direction, I hold till it stops and sell off.

I plan on holding my jan calls for a few weeks at least instead of holding UGAZ.

PLEASE feel free to shoot holes in this if you think it's a bad idea....

ETA: 800 seconds !

someone leaked something...that pop 10 minutes before release has to mean someone got some info...right?
This post was edited on 11/26/14 at 10:51 am
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:53 am to
Here we go go, to the show show, all you natty gas Hostess Ho Ho's.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:55 am to
I sold my puts...that pop few minutes ago scared me off

WOW...ALL OVER THE PLACE

DANG IT!
This post was edited on 11/26/14 at 11:03 am
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:58 am to
And. Here. We. Go.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:00 am to
-162 baby. Told ya we'd beat the estimate.
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:01 am to
-162


And which on of you frickers just filled an order at 16.22?
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:02 am to
where the hell is it going to settle in at?

15.9-16.9 up and down w/i 5 minutes

Golfer, Do we see another big move at 11:10?
This post was edited on 11/26/14 at 11:06 am
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:04 am to
10 minute delay at 11:10 them it's over for this week boys.

So far it seems a lot like last week, pop up on withdrawal, and pop down on the weather.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:08 am to
3 minutes until unload 22's on amateurs and out for the week.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:17 am to
22's at .94 unloaded at .97. About 12.5% for the day, and another one nip and tuck.

If I check back this afternoon and see I left money on the table, I'm going to be pissed.

I think Skule has a good idea about shorting the immediate future (and spring/summer) while staying long winter.
This post was edited on 11/26/14 at 11:19 am
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:31 am to
UGAZ flat. Traders already gone for the holiday, apparently.
Posted by Tigris
Mexican Home
Member since Jul 2005
12358 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 12:22 pm to
Down almost 8% since noon. Classic case of "buy the rumor, sell the news".

Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3320 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 1:46 pm to
Bought 22's DEC 5 puts @ .53 during the pop this morning. About to sell @ .70. Also sold my UGAZ this morning for 10% profit which I bought yesterday. Enjoy yall's Thanksgiving
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

Bought 22's DEC 5 puts @ .53 during the pop this morning. About to sell @ .70. Also sold my UGAZ this morning for 10% profit which I bought yesterday


same thing I did...sold my UGAZ from yesterday for 13% profit, but chickened out on the puts I bought this morning and sold them before they went up...always next week
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 3:57 pm to
Warm weather and the bear are going to reemerge for a while it seems.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 11/28/14 at 6:34 am to
One day short. Or half a day short play coming up as there's a football game I need to get to.

Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 11/28/14 at 7:51 am to
I'm going to try to get 4 trades done before 9 CST this morning. Quick short and out Natty Gas, quick short and out oil.
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