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re: BOIL has become predictable

Posted on 11/25/14 at 4:09 pm to
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22747 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

I know I've made at least $50,000 during my involvement in this thread.


I told an anesthesiologist to give me 100k in late october and if I didn't make him 30k by Nov 25th, I'd give him 3K........I've made him 60k in the last 3 weeks.........

You think he likes me.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

.just saying I don't want you to act like you are oblivious to what has been taking place in here.

There's a big difference in not reading every post on every page in a long thread and "being oblivious" regarding ANYTHING in a thread. I've peeked into this thread occasionally but I've nowhere near come close to reading every post or even every page.

I read several TD.com boards during days when the markets are open in between watching about 100 stocks and ETFs on my SSPro watch lists and making trades. But I don't read every post in every thread.

If you think that's difficult to believe, that's okay with me. I don't feel a need to prove anything to you.

You seem to have your feelings hurt by the possibility I might not be interested in reading every post you made in this thread. If so, I apologize.
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22747 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

You seem to have your feelings hurt by the possibility I might not be interested in reading every post you made in this thread. If so, I apologize


Feelings not hurt........ KOKO
This post was edited on 11/25/14 at 4:26 pm
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 4:52 pm to
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16157 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 5:18 pm to
Alrighty then, now that the cock measuring contest has concluded back on topic.

Any ideas on what we see UGAZ at this week? Seems the consensus is we see a good bump after this injection, then another dip due to warmer weather?
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22747 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 7:19 pm to
Likely rintin.... Their has been huge resistance @18.50 we break 18.50 and we could see some major action...

-140+ is what we need to see the big bump tomorrow.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 7:22 pm to
I think we have a greater withdrawal than-140.

No normal backwardation. No contango. I haven't seen HH cash price for today announced anywhere. But really the cash prices haven't impacted the forward months contracts one bit so far this winter season.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 5:51 am to
Hey, Hey, Hey Boyz, It's Fatty Albert and the EIA Gas in Storage Report Commentary.

Future's mostly remained flat last night. Cash was reported up to $4.12 with January trading at $4.382, but outer month lower. Again, I don't think this represents contango, normal backwardation or backwardation.

I'm betting the report beats consensus and we get a bump. Having said that, there is enough other stuff out there that if we saw what we saw last week again, it wouldn't surprise me.

I'm in UNG weekly $21.50 calls for under .70.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 6:13 am to
LINK /

Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 7:47 am to
LINK

LINK

LINK

LINK
This post was edited on 11/26/14 at 7:50 am
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 7:51 am to
Go Big Red.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 7:58 am to
If the French stop buying Russian natural gas this winter could that result in the last contango in Paris??












:rimshot:
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 8:20 am to
Turned the corner for about a nickel swing. And Soviet Man does bring up a good point about the euro ensemble. I think that model is in one of the serious links above for months F, G and H, and compares the same months in 12 and 13. December was the most interesting as we were colder this year, but also traded up
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 8:20 am to
Turned the corner for about a nickel swing. And Soviet Man does bring up a good point about the euro ensemble. I think that model is in one of the serious links above for months F, G and H, and compares the same months in 12 and 13. December was the most interesting as we were colder this year, but also traded up year to year.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 9:29 am to
Release is at 12EST. I didn't catch that until now.
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22747 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 9:31 am to
damn it......I was updating on my phone like WTF?
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22747 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 9:32 am to
gubment leak is tipping us off though.......Moving on upa
This post was edited on 11/26/14 at 9:33 am
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 9:33 am to
quote:

Release is at 12EST. I didn't catch that until now.



same here...justrealized it was 9:28...clicked on report and nothing!!

still have time to add a position....thinking about buying a few weekly puts...it seems like everyone is planning on a big negative number and may be overbuying...you obviously think differently as you bought calls, you still feeling good about that play?

ETA: I see Force still thinking a up move today?
This post was edited on 11/26/14 at 9:34 am
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:07 am to
I went long $22.50 UNG for .57. Just got them sold at .64. 12.5% in about 30 minutes.

This is your sign boys, I mad 12.5, so I'm guessing after 11AM my time all you guys will make 50-60% and I'll be pissed.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 11/26/14 at 10:09 am to
Now long UNG 22 at .94.
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