BOIL has become predictable | Page 31 | TigerDroppings.com

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Iowa Golfer
Iowa Fan
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
1850 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


OK. I am in Iowa though. NO is someplace I've wanted to visit. Maybe we'll eventually play in football again.

It would be nice top play when Iowa has a decent team this time though.






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L S Usetheforce
New Orleans Saints Fan
College Station
Member since Jun 2004
16771 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


Im in college station let's meet in Kansas... Or Oklahoma....flights to Dallas may be same price Lmao....


This post was edited on 7/18 at 9:08 am


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TheBigHurt
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
627 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


So you would anticipate DGAZ moving down until about WED/THUR next week then skyrocketing off of the weekly storage report?

I'm trying to decide whether to lock in gains and reposition or just let it ride...



This post was edited on 7/18 at 9:34 am


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sneakytiger
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2007
1306 posts
 Online 

re: BOIL has become predictable


IG, I get the aversion to trading options on an ETF, but wouldn't this have been just as much a rollercoaster if you were short August/September futures?


This post was edited on 7/18 at 5:32 pm


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Iowa Golfer
Iowa Fan
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
1850 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


I don't think so. The futures price is the future's price. The etf owned the same future's contract, but didn't necessarily always track. One less thing to keep track of.





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sneakytiger
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2007
1306 posts
 Online 

re: BOIL has become predictable


I dunno, this chart looks pretty insane.







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Iowa Golfer
Iowa Fan
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
1850 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


Not really. My sales price points are throughout the thread. Now UNG on the other hand, futures would drop a dime, and UNG would hardly move. The etf to me was maddening.





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L S Usetheforce
New Orleans Saints Fan
College Station
Member since Jun 2004
16771 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


Looking at that graft UNG's next rollover rebalance starts Aug 13.............

Thats when we should be looking to exit.........a 3.85 Futures would be pretty good money for KOLD.



This post was edited on 7/18 at 6:18 pm


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L S Usetheforce
New Orleans Saints Fan
College Station
Member since Jun 2004
16771 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


I put 100k of my wifes retirment in KOLD at 37....If I can sell at 57..........her 2700 shares make 54k.........that is better in 6 months than she did in 6 years.





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TigeRoots
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2008
3761 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


quote:

I put 100k of my wifes retirment in KOLD at 37....If I can sell at 57..........her 2700 shares make 54k.........that is better in 6 months than she did in 6 years.



Nice. I've been praising you and this thread all week.






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Iowa Golfer
Iowa Fan
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
1850 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


Free fall continues.

What everyone's take on when to go long? By which instrument(s) are you going long? Price targets for the security of choice and underlying?

I'm mid to late August. Selling DGAZ at $5 something. Not sure about the rest yet.






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SouthOfSouth
LSU Fan
South of I-10 till I die
Member since Jun 2008
34916 posts
 Online 

re: BOIL has become predictable


quote:

Selling DGAZ at $5 something


What a winner this puppy has been over the last week. I was just trying to figure out where I was gonna get out...






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I Love Bama
Ohio State Fan
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
33347 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


quote:

Free fall continues.

What everyone's take on when to go long? By which instrument(s) are you going long? Price targets for the security of choice and underlying?


I'd like to know as well.






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Iowa Golfer
Iowa Fan
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
1850 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


Early injection estimates are between 96-100.

DGAZ I'd like to sell at over $5. I'm averaged down on this to about $2.615. I'm going to watch.

I think $3.50 gas is possible, but don't know.

I do think I'm looking to go long mid-August. Not because that will necessarily be the bottom for this injection season, but because I think long calls should be beat down enough by them for Sept-Dec gas.

I might consider BOIL.

I await Userforce's insight. I'll say this. It's not like I'd ever give too much weight on what some random message board poster would say on the interwebz, nor would I ever expect anyone to follow what I say, but he appears to put a lot of research in to his analysis, as do I, and I will take his insight into strong consideration.

What say you User?






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L S Usetheforce
New Orleans Saints Fan
College Station
Member since Jun 2004
16771 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


I need to talk to my Henry hub connect and make a call but next two weeks for sure will be pro bear...... What I'm worried about right now is the productivity may place us in a spot between Aug and Sept..... I stand by my stance that boil below 30 is a pretty safe buy to return 25% by January.

I'll get back with yall as soon as I speak to my people.
H




This post was edited on 7/22 at 8:44 am


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L S Usetheforce
New Orleans Saints Fan
College Station
Member since Jun 2004
16771 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


Ok 1 of my consultants says BOIL buy in is realistically STRONGEST BUY-25 SAFE 28 NEUTRAL 30

Thinks hot August could drop price considerably as futures trade up for winter months....

EXIT on KOLD RISKY 64 NEUTRAL 57 CONSERVATIVE 55






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TigeRoots
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2008
3761 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


I think I will bail on KOLD around $60.

What about DGAZ? (Conservative, Neutral, Risky marks). I'm itching to get out, but it's tough to with the run it's on.






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L S Usetheforce
New Orleans Saints Fan
College Station
Member since Jun 2004
16771 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


just watch KOLD and sell DGAZ at same price points listed.





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I Love Bama
Ohio State Fan
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
33347 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


What do you think the next six months have in store for UNG? I'd like to get in and out of something in a six month window.





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L S Usetheforce
New Orleans Saints Fan
College Station
Member since Jun 2004
16771 posts

re: BOIL has become predictable


UNG is usually a good buy in the 18s..........and that can translate to a turn around of like 24-26 range by peak winter season from all I've seen.





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