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re: BOIL has become predictable

Posted on 1/20/15 at 2:50 pm to
Posted by white perch
the bright, happy side of hell
Member since Apr 2012
7130 posts
Posted on 1/20/15 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

Question about UGAZ and DGAZ. Is there an issue with holding them long term. I read in an earlier post about decay. How does that affect these 2? If I've only have a small amount in and I'm way down wouldn't the smart thing to do just wait it out even until next fall if I had to?


That's a great question that I don't know the answer to. I've asked this before and no one has offered an answer.

Right now, I'm just playing with these two ETNs. I sold some UGAZ when it was up a few days ago and use the profit from that to by some DGAZ. Today, I sold some DGAZ while it was up and bought some UGAZ while it was down.

This'll be my plan until I can figure out a better one.

Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 1/20/15 at 2:52 pm to
Ugh. Not sure what just happened that this just reversed course again.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 1/20/15 at 2:53 pm to
I just...iiiii....I mean. :
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 1/20/15 at 2:57 pm to
I'm wrong, apparently. I'm not sure how, though.
This post was edited on 1/20/15 at 3:01 pm
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36302 posts
Posted on 1/20/15 at 3:01 pm to
This thing moves on air.
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
4587 posts
Posted on 1/21/15 at 10:01 am to
Right now?

NG up 3.04%
UGAZ down .85%
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2472 posts
Posted on 1/21/15 at 10:28 am to
I'm stumped...
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
4587 posts
Posted on 1/21/15 at 10:30 am to
NG up 2.93%
UGAZ down 3.1%

10:30 AM
Go Figure
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3320 posts
Posted on 1/21/15 at 10:30 am to
Glad I didn't sell my Feb 6th puts earlier this morning. May wait until after report tomorrow.
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 8:29 am to
Looks like the bears are gonna have it coming into the report. Hopefully, selfishly, after too.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 8:48 am to
I sold short last night and bought to cover this morning. I'm long now at $2.89, and I'll sell to close between 9:30-9:40 as I think we're going to see about -230 GIS for last week in today's report.

Just trying to slowly get some of my most recent loss back. Not quite there yet.
Posted by white perch
the bright, happy side of hell
Member since Apr 2012
7130 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 8:50 am to
what time is the report?

Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 9:24 am to
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 9:31 am to
-216, I'm getting out soon.
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3320 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 9:40 am to
Just sold my puts I bought on Friday. Solid 60% gain.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10230 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 9:42 am to
Brutal for my long, out break even. Made money on my short. Short again @ $2.88 and probably out by lunch today.
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3320 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 9:53 am to
May pick up some long calls now.
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53177 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 10:09 am to
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16178 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 12:38 pm to
Pretty large number on today's report, especially compared to last year. I'm not surprised NG didn't jump due to it, but I'm awfully surprised it dropped as much as it did.
Posted by white perch
the bright, happy side of hell
Member since Apr 2012
7130 posts
Posted on 1/22/15 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

but I'm awfully surprised it dropped as much as it did.


I think the price of this ETN has more to do with stock manipulation and emotion/panic than the actual price of NG or NG futures

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