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re: Winter Storm for ArkLaTex at the end of January?

Posted on 1/11/22 at 7:39 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54661 posts
Posted on 1/11/22 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

dont really care about the model unless it has "ensemble" in the name.

That's where we pick the one we like the most or the most impressive one and post it, right? With no context, of course.
Posted by Riolobo
On the lake
Member since Mar 2017
4300 posts
Posted on 1/12/22 at 6:37 am to
Any updates? Been splitting firewood all night.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62861 posts
Posted on 1/12/22 at 6:40 am to
quote:


Any updates? Been splitting firewood all night.

Better take a few minutes to buy bread and milk before the stores are all out.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15171 posts
Posted on 1/14/22 at 10:09 am to
quote:

b-rab2

How's the long range model now? I tried the website but couldn't produce the long range model. It was -7 last year here in E Texas. If it looks like we're going to get a somewhat similar cold snap this year I need to buy some firewood. If the model is holding up I'll get the firewood.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
94649 posts
Posted on 1/15/22 at 5:59 pm to
The GFS has punted on any winter weather next weekend but once again has dreamed up another winter doom storm 2 weeks out. Seems like the GFS always has a run every few days that has a winter apocalypse 2 weeks away.


Anyway for shits and giggles




Plus 72 hours below freezing for most of Louisiana. Seems legit. Buy your bread and milk now.
This post was edited on 1/15/22 at 6:04 pm
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62861 posts
Posted on 1/15/22 at 6:05 pm to
16 inches of snow for south Louisiana and Mississippi sounds plausible.
Posted by Lynyrd
Under the Tilt-a-Whirl
Member since Jun 2010
13176 posts
Posted on 1/15/22 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

The GFS has punted on any winter weather next weekend

Noticed that, but whatever is coming through Tim McGraw country Wednesday is going to have us in the mid to low 20's for a few nights. Highs in low 40's.
This post was edited on 1/15/22 at 7:07 pm
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
44874 posts
Posted on 1/15/22 at 7:13 pm to


Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7359 posts
Posted on 1/15/22 at 8:08 pm to
I wish the F it would do this…
Posted by mwlewis
JeffCo
Member since Nov 2010
21224 posts
Posted on 1/15/22 at 8:09 pm to
Duke, can you explain this picture and what it would mean for BHM?

Signed, guy who has no fricking clue what weather radar looks like.
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
93763 posts
Posted on 1/15/22 at 8:16 pm to
quote:

Might as well show a volcano erupting.






Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
94649 posts
Posted on 1/15/22 at 11:12 pm to
And it's gone on the 00z. Temps in the 40s and 50s.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35634 posts
Posted on 1/15/22 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

Duke, can you explain this picture and what it would mean for BHM?


Its a model run and well into the future, so dont take it as shown but the gist is Birmingham would have a lot of snow.

Pretty extreme run though, definitely an outlier.
Posted by ThanosIsADemocrat
The Garden
Member since May 2018
9395 posts
Posted on 1/16/22 at 1:59 am to
quote:

ArkLaTex


Do you mean the Texarkana region?

Either way, this sounds better.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7527 posts
Posted on 1/16/22 at 3:31 am to
quote:

I look forward to the power outages and tree canopy damage.


In SE Louisiana, I can’t take another extended power outage.

I doubt Entergy’s Cracker Jack patchwork after Ida can take an ice storm.

Luckily as one poster put it, there are no trees in many spots.

I wouldn’t it put it past the weather gods to go from one extreme to the other.

Posted by aggiegeog
Tyler, TX
Member since Feb 2013
51 posts
Posted on 1/16/22 at 5:57 am to
Last few runs of GFS have a big Texas winter storm on Saturday. Within 150 hours it has to be taken seriously. All depends on if the Great Lakes ridge holds on and amplifies the SW lobe of the main big trough. It's gonna be a very active 3 or 4 weeks in the ArLaTex region with numerous shots of cold and moisture. -ENSO going away, very slow MJO entering P8, -EPO. Winter weather lovers dream but some -NAO blocking would help slow the flow down. May even get AO to bomb negative if SSW does it's job but that is hard to project.
Posted by Riolobo
On the lake
Member since Mar 2017
4300 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 10:09 am to
Well. Looks like we definitely got the cold temps.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15171 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 10:20 am to
quote:

Plus 72 hours below freezing for most of Louisiana. Seems legit. Buy your bread and milk now.


I live on a lake. I'll put the French fries and bags of crappie next to the firewood. Fish and French fries for three days is OK.
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