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aggiegeog
| Favorite team: | Texas A&M  |
| Location: | Tyler, TX |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | Weather, Sports |
| Occupation: | GIS Developer |
| Number of Posts: | 51 |
| Registered on: | 2/1/2013 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 2/1/22 at 3:16 pm
Precip wise this is worse, cold wise no about 5 to 10 degrees warmer. Overall impacts in northern Texas are different but similar. ...
2
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 2/1/22 at 3:16 pm
Precip wise this is worse, cold wise no about 5 to 10 degrees warmer. Overall impacts in northern Texas are different but similar. ...
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 2/1/22 at 2:14 pm
Eh, roads being iced over for 4 to 5 days and possible widespread power issues from downed lines is major and something we have not seen in this area in quite some time. Hoping that it turns into a sleet and heavy snow event instead which is possible for DFW, but that means worse icing for Central a...
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 2/1/22 at 12:00 am
I expect Longview to be very borderline on significant icing. I am leaning towards only light icing there Thursday starting around 6am Thursday. Light icing still means travel is to be avoided but power concerns are not likely. Further west towards Tyler icing will be much worse. This could all chan...
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/31/22 at 10:03 am
That is a pretty solid representation of what I am thinking. Potential for Dec 2013 type storm but more widespread and colder with it being Feb. ...
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/30/22 at 11:23 pm
I am anxious to see what hi res show on Tuesday once the system is onshore and well sampled. Not sure we get much additional useful info until then. For now my forecasts will be based primarily on experience. Ridging on both coasts and a 1050mb Arctic high mean storms will track south. I can't get o...
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/30/22 at 9:38 pm
GFS has seemed to have a good handle on this event for a while. Op and ensembles are very consistent. Other models are all over the place though ICON also pretty solid. ...
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/30/22 at 9:20 pm
So much depends on how far SW the main upper shortwave/upper low tracks. Models now have it digging to around or north of El Paso. If it buries itself down deeper into Mexico then things change a good bit. If it does dig a bit deeper into Mexico you will see near blizzard conditions locally across N...
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/29/22 at 10:57 pm
This is very true, here in East Texas we made it down to -8 last Feb because of a foot of snow on the ground. ...
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/29/22 at 10:55 pm
I'll try to post more. I may be in a very bad spot assuming further SE trends being near Tyler. We could see hours of sleet that will occasionally be heavy. That intense negative tilt trough could lead to strong thunderstorms where temps are in the 20s.Could we see severe TS warnings in the cold air...
re: Tejas Snow/Ice Storm: 2022 Edition (Wednesday Night and Thursday expected timing)
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/29/22 at 8:11 pm
For a smaller area it could be much worse though if forecasts hold. I think the area northwest of a Waco to Texarkana line could see 2013 level impacts with over an inch of liquid equivalent with temps in the teens and 20s. Roads will be very bad and power lines could fail across a wide region. I do...
re: Winter Storm for ArkLaTex at the end of January?
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/16/22 at 5:57 am
Last few runs of GFS have a big Texas winter storm on Saturday. Within 150 hours it has to be taken seriously. All depends on if the Great Lakes ridge holds on and amplifies the SW lobe of the main big trough. It's gonna be a very active 3 or 4 weeks in the ArLaTex region with numerous shots of cold...
re: Dining in Taos, NM
Posted by aggiegeog on 12/27/21 at 10:09 pm
I'll second Guadalajara and Orlando's both are great. A lot of very good to great restaurants for a small town. Not sure either beats Chimayo though if you travel between Santa Fe and Taos on the High Road....
re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*
Posted by aggiegeog on 2/9/21 at 9:20 pm
Looks like pretty much all snow with some loss in the ratios due to the warm nose some sleet would likely mix in. ...
re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*
Posted by aggiegeog on 2/9/21 at 9:09 pm
It's gonna be a wild week or so in DFW with several rounds of ice before the snow starts Sunday. Could be some significant icing for northern DFW this week. Then significant snow on top next Sunday/Monday. Another round or two of frozen precip later in the week. All of this with very cold temperatur...
re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*
Posted by aggiegeog on 2/9/21 at 6:58 pm
GFS Para is back online as of 12Z and it is showing massive snow for northern TX and N LA on Monday. Between the 2 runs this area looks to get 6 to 20 inch of snow. GFS is snowy but more like 3 to 7 inches. Euro and ICON are 3 to 7 but only northern TX with nothing in LA. Canadian shows only a coupl...
re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*
Posted by aggiegeog on 2/9/21 at 7:48 am
Temps are busting way low today in N TX as they did yesterday in OK. Freezing drizzle is beginning to cause road issues in north Texas. Here in E TX yesterday NWS had us at 60 today and tomorrow. It's 39 here already. The main cold is still way up in northern Canada and Alaska so the cold will be bu...
re: Louisiana Ice Storm Thread *Winter Storm Warning*
Posted by aggiegeog on 2/8/21 at 6:59 am
The ICON has been consistent in showing near all time record cold in Texas. It has been the most consistent model for this outbreak. I am going with a blend of GFS and ICON for my forecast. I expect the GFS to start going wacky though and the Euro to take its place over the next 48 hours. This looks...
re: Southern Snow 1/10
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/8/21 at 7:22 am
Reliable models are indicating 6 to 12 inches of snow for areas south of I-20 in Texas. GFS is terrible with surface temperatures within an Arctic air mass so I give it little weight in these type scenarios. ...
re: Southern Snow 1/10
Posted by aggiegeog on 1/7/21 at 7:02 am
Well us in Texas very pumped for the biggest storm since 2010. Huge area generally along I-20 look to get over 6 inches with isolated amounts over a foot where convective storms persist. Looks to one for the record books especially in southern North Texas and East Texas. ...
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