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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:25 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:25 pm to rds dc
quote:
Or maybe it has been right this whole time?
That isn't possible because it has had some wildly different solutions from location to intensity. It may have been right at some point but any model that goes back and forth has a higher chance of hitting it right somewhere along the way.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 10:26 pm
1
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:26 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:27 pm to im4LSU
quote:
If there is any chance of me getting fricked over again, I'm getting back on the fricking chopper. I'm not missing this trip to Lambeau.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:29 pm to im4LSU
Well, I'm not the one whining about this thing and getting my panties all in a wad.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:30 pm to rds dc
quote:
Yea, an Erika outcome would be much appreciated. It was forecast to become a hurricane but got shredded and ended up being nothing.
Wasn't this the one last year everyone kept getting a bonner about and kept waiting for it to explode with each update.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:30 pm to BigB0882
quote:
That isn't possible because it has had some wildly different solutions from location to intensity. It may have been right at some point but any model that goes back and forth has a higher chance of hitting it right somewhere along the way.
That was the sarcastic portion of the post
The GFS has been a bag of trash so far with this thing. Although, the Euro struggled as well, it had this as Gaston at one point. The Euro is getting into the lock down zone and it usually doesn't back off once it gets to this range.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:33 pm to Dizz
quote:
Wasn't this the one last year everyone kept getting a bonner about and kept waiting for it to explode with each update.
Yea, and a major bust for the NHC. Then Joaquin happened, tough year for forecasters.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:34 pm to rds dc
guadeloupe wx station reporting light west winds.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:35 pm to LSU1NSEC
Hispaniola eats hurricanes for breakfast. Its the only thing Haiti is good for
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:37 pm to LSU1NSEC
Looks like pretty solid initialization on the 00z GFS w/ noticeably tighter 850mb vort by 12 hrs.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:39 pm to rds dc
Yeah, but looks to me like pretty solid initialization on the 100z GFS w/ little less noticeably tighter 850mb vort by 12 hrs., every 6 hrs bid.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:40 pm to Halftrack
Is that good or bad?
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:40 pm to rds dc
quote:
Looks like pretty solid initialization on the 00z GFS w/ noticeably tighter 850mb vort by 12 hrs.
I've read almost every post in thread like I have a clue what anyone is saying.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:41 pm to texag7
It could be good if the gmz keeps tighter to the west. But if the kHz and the European go south by 90 kHz it could change. Gotta watch the next 870 kHz and see the reading.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:41 pm to Dizz
quote:
Wasn't this the one last year everyone kept getting a bonner about and kept waiting for it to explode with each update.
A lot of jizz from the posters of a few weather forums.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:42 pm to shiftworker
quote:
I've read almost every post in thread like I have a clue what anyone is saying
850mb vort is a way to visualize low level "spin" before a center actually forms.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:43 pm to Halftrack
quote:
Halftrack
Didn't know you had a hobby other than crusading against Sid and his curfew.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:44 pm to rds dc
quote:
Looks like pretty solid initialization on the 00z GFS w/ noticeably tighter 850mb vort by 12 hrs.
Been on the WU blog all night - they're posting some IR images - looks like it's trying to strengthen.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:45 pm to Dizz
Since I had to stay in I started trying to learn weather charts.
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