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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:03 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:03 pm to rds dc
OK so I fly offshore in the morning about 100 miles due south of Daphne AL. I'm supposed to be coming in Wednesday for the game at Lambeau.
We got screwed over by the storms 2 weeks ago and got held over for 4 extra days. That can't happen again...
Can anyone give an estimate of IF it were to come into the Gulf when that might be?
I know these are all just models as of now but I have no clue what yall are talking about.
If there is any chance of me getting fricked over again, I'm getting back on the fricking chopper. I'm not missing this trip to Lambeau.
We got screwed over by the storms 2 weeks ago and got held over for 4 extra days. That can't happen again...
Can anyone give an estimate of IF it were to come into the Gulf when that might be?
I know these are all just models as of now but I have no clue what yall are talking about.
If there is any chance of me getting fricked over again, I'm getting back on the fricking chopper. I'm not missing this trip to Lambeau.
4
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:06 pm to GEAUXmedic
What's up with that XTRP track on that gif? That's worse than a Peej prediction.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:06 pm to im4LSU
Perhaps you could call God on the hotline and find out?
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:07 pm to im4LSU
i head down to fourchon in the morning to go offshore as well. gonna be an interesting week.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:07 pm to Prominentwon
quote:
Post it so we can all laugh at Chads hilarious jokes.
That, and I'd like to see any models coming out.
Euro aug23 12Z.
(Posted for reference only - Models will likely change)
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:07 pm to shiftworker
quote:
What's up with that XTRP track on that gif? That's worse than a Peej prediction.
That's the extrapolation track. It's just a straight line as if the storm would continue heading in the same direction it is heading now. That gif was from Katrina.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 10:08 pm
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:07 pm to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
Hopefully it run right into the Dominican republic.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:08 pm to rds dc
Well that don't look bad at all
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:10 pm to TunaTigers
quote:
Hopefully it run right into the Dominican republic.
Yea, an Erika outcome would be much appreciated. It was forecast to become a hurricane but got shredded and ended up being nothing.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:11 pm to LSU1NSEC
Is that a predicted 931 central pressure? 
Is that Cat 5? I think that may be a bit much
Is that Cat 5? I think that may be a bit much
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 10:12 pm
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:14 pm to Prominentwon
Gulf is almost 90 degrees
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:14 pm to im4LSU
quote:
Can anyone give an estimate of IF it were to come into the Gulf when that might be?
Actually enter the GOM? Models seem to suggest it would be late Monday if it happens, but that is still a long ways off so you never know.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:15 pm to Prominentwon
quote:
Is that Cat 5? I think that may be a bit much
Intensity forecasts a week out are even worse than the location forecasts, but yes, I hope it is way high too.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:18 pm to t00f
quote:
Gulf is almost 90 degrees
The Great Flood system actually cooled the Gulf:
but, unfortunately, it has recovered:
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:20 pm to slackster
quote:
Actually enter the GOM? Models seem to suggest it would be late Monday if it happens, but that is still a long ways off so you never know.
Yea I know. Just curious to hear the opinions of some with more knowledge. Monday is really shitty. I'm getting back on the helicopter tomorrow, frick that
quote:
Perhaps you could call God on the hotline and find out?
Perhaps you could go frick your face, pledge.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:20 pm to slackster
The GFS runs in about 10 minutes. Going to stay up to see what it shows. It has to start making sense at some point, right?
If I had to guess it will show more strengthening and will not get as far west on this run, basically falling in line with most other models. At the same time I expect it to continue being the outlier and pull and even crazier run somehow.
If I had to guess it will show more strengthening and will not get as far west on this run, basically falling in line with most other models. At the same time I expect it to continue being the outlier and pull and even crazier run somehow.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 10:22 pm
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:22 pm to BigB0882
quote:
The GFS runs in about 10 minutes. Going to stay up to see what it shows. It has to start making sense at some point, right?
Or maybe it has been right this whole time? However, I think we might see a trend towards the Euro based on the 18z GEFS.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:22 pm to rds dc
Hispaniola mountains
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:24 pm to rds dc
Jesus. If the ridiculous precipitation totals didn't fully illustrate the magnitude of that storm, the fact that it cooled a large area of the gulf certainly should.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 10:24 pm to im4LSU
quote:
Perhaps you could go frick your face, pledge.
I laughed
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