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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:22 pm to
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
167014 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:22 pm to
Posted by threeputt
God's Country
Member since Sep 2008
24791 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:22 pm to
It died

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

quit trolling bro



Ok, any other weather types here with a wxbell subscription want to confirm?

some of his tweets:

quote:

@BigJoeBastardi 1m1 minute ago
Like Katrina and the Non-Named Flood, Nightmare in Louisiana NOT the Worst of What Can Happen — The Patriot Post LINK


quote:

There is a system in the Atlantic that Weatherbell.com subscribers know I have been worried about for impact on the U.S. coast since last week. It will be moving into the Bahamas this weekend, then perhaps Florida and the Gulf with conditions ripe for development the further west it gets. I am concerned about it being a big impact storm and have made no secret of it. But the sobering thought: The situation with Katrina, 1947 and this recent major problem in Louisiana, which drew on tropical processes to produce what it did — is this what happens if a blend of them occurs? The 1947 track stalling over Louisiana after hitting with Katrina intensity? When you look at the history of weather the way I have, you think of the words of George Bernard Shaw: “You see things; and you say ‘Why?’ But I dream things that never were; and I say ‘Why not?’”


quote:

BigJoeBastardi 8h8 hours ago Pennsylvania, USA Euro looks like KATRIVAN.. Katrina in FLA, Ivan end game We are very worried on 99L being a major impact storm though Bahamas, fla 1st


quote:

@BigJoeBastardi 7h7 hours ago Pennsylvania, USA IMO message of the euro is that the only way to sto 99Lfrom being major is to have it stay over fla.west or east likely to explode


quote:

@BigJoeBastardi 7h7 hours ago Pennsylvania, USA 99L fits our preseason worry for prototype storm.. weak then stronger as it gets toward coast. Gaston an obvious exception, but out it goes


quote:

@BigJoeBastardi 8h8 hours ago Pennsylvania, USA 99L goes into Gulf on Euro Very worried about this being a major impact storm on US.Tweets on this started LAST WED!
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 9:26 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19839 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:25 pm to
quote:


Seems pretty crazy that Gaston is much larger on the models.


Cyclone cloud fields can expand in size as they move poleward, that is why Gaston is so large at that point. The 12z Euro simulated IR has 99L taking up nearly half of the Gulf.



Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
167014 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:25 pm to
I live sarcastic life. I'm getting plastic pools to put in attic as we speak
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
93797 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:26 pm to
What's the timeline on this thing? This supposed to make landfall before Labor Day weekend? Got hotel room booked in NOLA
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 9:27 pm
Posted by Wimp Lo
My nipples look like Milk Duds
Member since Aug 2016
4548 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

quit trolling bro


He's CajunWX on Gulfcoastwx. He's an admin on that site. I don't think he's trolling.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 9:28 pm
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
167014 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:27 pm to
Never heard of him tbh
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
14838 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:29 pm to
It seems like he really wants to get out in front of this if it blows up and hits LA so he can say he called it when the storm was a rain cloud.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19839 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

quote:
quit trolling bro


Ok, any other weather types here with a wxbell subscription want to confirm?

some of his tweets:

quote:
@BigJoeBastardi 1m1 minute ago


Joe has drastically changed his style over the years. From what I hear, he has always been a solid private met. However, he was a major hype artist in his public updates back in the day. I cried many a times because I bought into his DC snow forecast. He has been pretty much a straight shooter over the past several years as WxBell has grown in popularity.



ETA: Rummy loves Joe
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 9:31 pm
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38397 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

looks like KATRIVAN.. Katrina in FLA, Ivan end game


So catastrophic landfall in Florida and stalling over LA is his ballpark prediction?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

So catastrophic landfall in Florida and stalling over LA is his ballpark prediction?



I don't think he's talking about where it will fall exactly, I think he's talking the potential to keep intensifying before second landfall, and the ridge possibly slowing it down further inland.

Anyone else want to decode? lol
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
14838 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:33 pm to
Predicting total Armageddon and the worst storm in history a week out. Bold strategy.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

It seems like he really wants to get out in front of this if it blows up and hits LA so he can say he called it when the storm was a rain cloud.



I'm not saying it will hit Louisiana, I'm saying if it makes it into the Gulf, no matter where it hits (which nobody has a clue), there's nothing stopping it from exploding.

Even models sometimes don't have a clue.

This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 10:01 pm
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
167014 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:37 pm to
Can u take that gif down k thanks
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38397 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:41 pm to
What's your gut feeling on this thing
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
93797 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:42 pm to
quote:

Chad504boy


Is it a necessity to feel like you need to take Rag's spot and ruin these hurricane threads?

Not sure why you feel the need to make snarky comments and be just a jerk in this thread. ESPECIALLY after what just happened from Lafayette to Baton Rouge this week. God forbid people look and read and start to wonder what they're going to need to do in the next week or so.

Because of this thread, I'm seriously considering finding and booking hotels somewhere up north.
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
15705 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:42 pm to
That was a very thorough and articulate analysis. What it tells me is that this system has a lot working against in terms of intensity. It will take an a number things coming together just right for it to strengthen significantly. But they do seem to have a pretty good sense that it will make it to the general vicinity of the Bahamas and very possibly push west from there over Florida but is just as likely that it will just be a weak disturbance as a tropical storm by then. I'm much less worried now than I was earlier today at least as far as a threat to Florida from an intense storm.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85467 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

Anyone else want to decode? lol



I read his comments on The Patriot Post here.

Seems like he makes very few predictions and just discusses HOW this storm could be a worst case scenario, not really much about whether or not it could or will happen.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 9:44 pm
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4770 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

Prominentwon


i thought i was the only one
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