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Message
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Posted on 8/28/16 at 5:40 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
Do storms have brains
Some do, some don't. The ones that don't get a female name.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:25 pm to Titus Pullo
18z HWRF ends the Gulf and Florida "no hurricane" streak
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:26 pm to Kramer26
quote:
I have a bad feeling about this storm.
I'm starting to develop a little bit of one, but really there's nothing to worry about at this point. We have ZERO clue what this thing will ultimately do, and even though it's classified now it's still pretty disorganized.
Hopefully it either doesn't continue this unpredicted SSW jog it's on right now for long, or it keeps jogging SSW eternally. I just know that the more it moves SSW or SW off the "predicted" path, the less likely it is to make the NE turn, and the further west it makes LF along the gulf. Could be a stair-case wobble that they like to do sometimes, but either way it needs to cut it out. Will be interesting to see what the next tracks show with all the new data and positioning added.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 6:28 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:27 pm to rds dc
gfs 18z stalls 99L off the FL coast for almost 24 hours before making landfall. Lot of rain for someone in that scenario.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:32 pm to patendedgmf
HWRF continues to forecast a close call for Tampa. The interesting thing is that it doesn't intensify it significantly until 24 hours from now and steadily ramps it up to a high end Cat 2 of 95 knots at landfall.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:34 pm to RazorBroncs
I've noticed that also most likely just a wobble but if that continues especially if it stays just offshore Cuba then i guess it could be more of a problem but i am not gonna freak out yet.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:42 pm to NorthEndZone
A strengthening landfalling cat 2 can be worse than a weakening landfalling cat 4
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:43 pm to Cosmo
I don't buy that. They are what they are.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:01 pm to Large Farva
SO is it going to be a category 4 by the time it make land fall? From the way people are responding it's like Katrina all over again.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:03 pm to Duzz
It wouldn't take a big storm from the SW to inundate Tampa-St Pete.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:04 pm to Jim Rockford
I worked for the City of St Pete engr in the 90s . They struggled with flooding in some areas from the tides.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:10 pm to jlc05
18z GFDL is a good bit NW of the HWRF, gets this close to Louisiana before hooking to the NE and landfalling near Port St. Joe, Fl.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:11 pm to Jim Rockford
Next update should be out shortly?
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:13 pm to rds dc
Did y'all see the end of the GFS run? Big ol nasty hurricane hitting swla
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:16 pm to rds dc
quote:
18z GFDL is a good bit NW of the HWRF
And much slower. That 84 hour position is the same time that the HWRF is forecasting landfall.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:27 pm to zach.wlkr
quote:
ST-308. I'm essential.
How's the water looking out there?
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:29 pm to NorthEndZone
Ya'll watch TD9, I'd watch this one in 2 weeks
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:32 pm to purplepylon
IF that came to fruition, that thing would be nasty.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:33 pm to purplepylon
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