re: Southern Severe Weather Threat (Thursday/Friday)

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SPC has introduced a moderate risk for Thursday:

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That’s all well and good, but I went outside and smelled skunk plus I saw 2 meadow larks. Obviously, this means it’s going to be a nothing burger within about 1 mile of my house.

Maybe these smarty pants weather nerds should go outside every once in a while.

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Don't short change yourself, four were on the ground at once then.

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Yep.

Is the yellow snow?

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The HRRR has been my boy lately.

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It has kicked the shite out of the NAM over the past several months, that's for sure.

Pretty remarkable next couple of days. It's not too often the same area has a high-end severe risk two days in a row like southern Arkansas has.

Of course I’m in the yellow.

I’m tired of the all the rain and with the ground saturated already, any strong wind will be knocking over trees.

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You'll be singing a different tune when you have a tornado literally come w/in a mile of your house and 3 tornadoes are on the ground at the same time and you are still at work while your wife, daughter, and MIL are in the bathtub of the interior bathroom w/blankets and pillows.

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Those kinds of situations happened for most of my life. I grew up and lived in one of the most constant areas for tornadoes in the country, Limestone County, Alabama.
I have been in several small tornadoes, 1 pretty big one, and close enough to watch some of the worst killer ones tear through Limestone and Madison Counties. Always following the same path, and mostly hitting the same locations, time and time again.
You know when the conditions are right for the bad ones and you take the right precautions. It's a different ballgame.
Small random isolated tornadoes have always happened too, the kind that tear shingles of some houses, blow the tin of your barn roof, maybe even knock some trees down. They can happen in any strong thunderstorm that has a couple of the right ingredients. Those are the kind that happen occasionally in the area where I live now. Chances are slim to none of anything serious, but the weather guys freak people out here anyway. Way too often.
I'll tell you about the most recent small tornado I was involved with.
It was about 6 years ago at a small town named Laverne, Alabama. I was in my truck, deadheading home through there empty. Fairly warm day and a thunderstorm comes up fast from the west, I was just approaching Laverne from the South, when I see the small trees twisting and there is heavy lightning and light hail. Right then I pull over to the side of the road as well as I can, and just about that time, a couple of power poles snap off, maybe 20 yards ahead of me. The wind is rocking my truck and I can see big crap blowing across the road.
The whole deal happened in less than a minute and it was over. I had to wait about an hour for the crews to come clear the road and I went on home.
There was some damage in the downtown area of the town. Tin blown off roofs, some awnings from storefronts, trees down, that kind of thing, pretty sure nobody was hurt, at least I didn't hear about it if they were.
It was a freak, short lived kind of thing, and they happen often enough, but really the odds of it happening to you are very small. You can't let the worry about it, dictate your life.
When the conditions are right for the bad stuff, you will know and then I'll worry about it and be safe. You can't get worried every time there's a thunderstorm. A lot of people do though.

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auggie

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You just keep talking as if you know what you’re talking about, when you so clearly don’t.

Paragraphs brah

And us having a thread doesn't make anybody worried, nobody has to click on it. Nobody here is claiming to be some kind of forecasting guru (well, except you I guess)

Nah man, Augie told me there's nothing to worry about so we good