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Started By
Message
re: Possible tropical development next week
Posted on 5/21/16 at 12:39 pm to Jim Rockford
Posted on 5/21/16 at 12:39 pm to Jim Rockford
0
Posted on 5/21/16 at 12:39 pm to poops_at_parties
I have several friends who are meteorologists and a couple more who are oceanographers. I have found that unless they are specifically tasked at their work with knowing weather or tidal information for the specific area you ask them a question about, they are oblivious to the rest of the conditions on the entire planet. They tend to be narrowly focused Type A personality types.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 2:58 pm to poops_at_parties
quote:
Do we have any meteorologists who post here that can give some expert input on this for us?
Peej will be along shortly to pinpoint landfall location and forecast destruction potential of this most devastating cyclone
Posted on 5/21/16 at 3:44 pm to Rally Possum
We should all assemble our emergency cocktail and brew kits, set aside our looting wardrobe, and begin assembling at the Dome now... right?
Posted on 5/21/16 at 3:52 pm to Jim Rockford
It's north of me. 
Posted on 5/21/16 at 4:41 pm to Rally Possum
quote:
Peej will be along shortly to pinpoint landfall location and forecast destruction potential of this most devastating cyclone
Your lack of respect of my weather knowledge is noted.....
Posted on 5/21/16 at 4:42 pm to WeeWee
I'll be on St Kitts beginning on Friday. That puts it north of me too, right?
Posted on 5/21/16 at 4:43 pm to VABuckeye
quote:
VABuckeye
How you been???? You ready for some football,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Posted on 5/21/16 at 4:43 pm to VABuckeye
Posted on 5/21/16 at 4:55 pm to VABuckeye
I just hope my vacation to the Dominican Republic next week will be spared.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 5:03 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
Also El Nino is flipping to La Nina which will mean greater likelihood of Atlantic hurricanes.
Which one of these shears off the top of developing storms? We need that to continue
Posted on 5/21/16 at 5:04 pm to Lakeboy7
El Niñio tears them apart. It's that messican La Ninia whore that feeds them.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 5:19 pm to Upperdecker
quote:
you should keep some really sturdy shoes or boots with you at all times.
And work gloves, for removing limbs, broken glass or sharp metals.
This post was edited on 5/21/16 at 5:20 pm
Posted on 5/21/16 at 5:28 pm to Jim Rockford
gfs has been showing some type of low developing in gulf but it's all over the place right now
Posted on 5/21/16 at 5:34 pm to dukke v
Doing good. We're expanding our business so things are hectic. I can't wait for football season. We're young but very fast and very talented. 
Posted on 5/21/16 at 5:41 pm to VABuckeye
quote:
I'll be on St Kitts beginning on Friday. That puts it north of me too, right?
St. Kitts and St. Maarten are both in the the Leeward islands which are southeast of Cuba and Hispaniola, and the red warning box is north of Cuba and Hispaniola. So that system will be to the northwest of St. Kitts. That is not to say another system won't pop up out of nowhere, but the National Hurricane Center is saying nothing is projected in the next 5 days so you're good.
Posted on 5/21/16 at 5:49 pm to lsuwontonwrap
quote:
No, but everyone thinks they're a meteorologist, so there's that.
What happened to the meteorologist who posts here? Penn State fan. Is he still around?
Posted on 5/21/16 at 5:52 pm to Bestbank Tiger
Dunno.
Baytiger is a Met and rdc isnt a met but does computer modeling of weather systems.
Baytiger is a Met and rdc isnt a met but does computer modeling of weather systems.
Posted on 5/22/16 at 8:39 am to LSU1NSEC
quote:
gfs has been showing some type of low developing in gulf but it's all over the place right now
The Euro and GFS have been updated since last season, so it will be interesting to see how they perform this season. They both have been overly aggressive the past couple of seasons with developing systems from precursor baroclinic development (baroclinic development can be thought of simply as how lows develop from troughs). Climo does highlight the area off of Florida for late May and June systems and a percentage of those systems do form via tropical transition from precursor baroclinic development.
They highlighted that area and noted that they gave it a 10-20% chance of development. It is hard to argue against such low chances
but it would be a long slow process, if anything did try to form. Posted on 5/27/16 at 3:47 pm to rds dc
91L will be upgraded to TD #2 later this afternoon. It looks pretty disorganized but does have some convection and a closed LLC. The implications for those visiting the AL/FL GC is that the weather should be really nice.
In the longer term, there are signals that the Gulf bares watching.
In the longer term, there are signals that the Gulf bares watching.
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