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medtiger
Chicago Cubs Fan
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2003
19233 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Seems like that difference would make a big difference for the NOLA metro area.


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20
jimbeam
USA Fan
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
45246 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Mainland US should not worry about Harvey-peej



.....

4 1/2 feet of rain.


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70
LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
100847 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

He's highly confrontational which makes for quality entertainment.
Agreed.

So why do so many posters in these weather threads tell him to quit posting, or worse? His posts almost always make me .

I think we'd miss him if he stopped posting in them...


rds dc
Colorado Fan
Member since Jun 2008
11062 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:


12z GFS is slightly stronger and slightly west of 06z at landfall.



From there, it wouldn't take much of a shift to slide this over New Orleans. The biggest thing that jumped out at me was that the GFS trended towards a more compact and organized system.


slackster
Stanford Fan
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
32804 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

rds dc


Is that bend to the NW after the Yucatan the result of a stronger ridge to the NE or a small-scale Fujiwara effect with the other vorticity?



I know the NHC talked about Nate traveling around the western periphery of the ridge, but it also seems to behave like you'd see in the Fujiwara effect too.


slackster
Stanford Fan
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
32804 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:



I think we'd miss him if he stopped posting in them...


Well we'd definitely be less prepared without his predictions to fade.


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20
LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
100847 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

lso, it's worth noting that this was never the NHC forecast.
Okay, but you know what I'm referring to. Most of the early models were way off, resulting in a wrong consensus cone. (I admit I'm not a hurricane geek so I don't know all the terminology and forecasting timelines.)

Hell, half the time when I read rds dc's hurricane posts I feel like I'm reading a foreign language. I still don't know what "CAG" means but it seems to be important.
This post was edited on 10/6 at 11:06 am


Cosmo
Houston Astros Fan
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
82122 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
I dont believe this shift east

We all know these things end up shifting west toward LA

-LA chicken littles


LSU5508
LSU Fan
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
1701 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
RDS What is worst case scenario for NOLA as far as intensity. It seems to me like pretty much no one here is putting much thought into this storm and since its supposed to be on the coast at around 6am Sunday morning most people will have no clue if by some chance rapid intensification happens after the 10pm advisory on Saturday.


slackster
Stanford Fan
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
32804 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

Hell, half the time when I read rds dc's hurricane posts I feel like I'm reading a foreign language. I still don't know what "CAG" means but is seems to be important.


Idk what the hell he's talking about either, but I know where to find quality maps and gifs, so I tag along.


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80
longhorn22
North Carolina Fan
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
39210 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Question

WIth this storm moving so fast, does it have a chance to impact our area earlier now on Saturday? 7pm landfall they are saying right?

Also the quicker the storm the more chance it may not be able to get stronger? Just questions


Duke
USA Fan
Gonzales, La
Member since Jan 2008
24613 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

Is that bend to the NW after the Yucatan the result of a stronger ridge to the NE or a small-scale Fujiwara effect with the other vorticity?



I'm not sure it's exactly a fujiwara but Nate should get a bump NW off the other low pressure area down in the BOC. Riding along the E and N side of it, flow ought to be coming from the South and SE eventually around the other low and give Nate a kick while the edge of the ridge flows him in a similar direction too.


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40
Y.A. Tittle
Winthrop Fan
Member since Sep 2003
64091 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

I dont believe this shift east

We all know these things end up shifting west toward LA

-LA chicken littles


What time we heading down to glassman's camp in Venice?


Cosmo
Houston Astros Fan
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
82122 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
At this point there is almost no way for this to be more than a cat 1

Jumping from a disorganized TS into major hurricane in less than 36 hours just isnt happening
This post was edited on 10/6 at 11:03 am


slackster
Stanford Fan
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
32804 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

I dont believe this shift east We all know these things end up shifting west toward LA -LA chicken littles


Tropical systems have a weird effect on people, at least the people who post in these threads. Wishcasting can get out of control. Gut feelings abound.


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
100847 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

I dont believe this shift east

We all know these things end up shifting west toward LA

-LA chicken littles
Yep. There was a post almost word-for-word like that yesterday.


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15
Cosmo
Houston Astros Fan
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
82122 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Im at camp in grand isle, Artie's hurricane party starts tonight at 7


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51
LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
100847 posts

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

Wishcasting
Good word!


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10
slackster
Stanford Fan
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
32804 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

Also the quicker the storm the more chance it may not be able to get stronger? Just questions


This is worded a bit weird, but yes, a quicker storm gives it less time to get its act together. It doesn't really prevent strengthening on its own, but it gives it less time to do anything. If it was already a strong storm, the speed would give it less time to weaken, for example.


rt3
LSU Fan
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
46604 posts
 Online 

re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
quote:

Hell, half the time when I read rds dc's hurricane posts I feel like I'm reading a foreign language. I still don't know what "CAG" means but is seems to be important.

I believe "CAG" stands for "Central American Gyre"... which I think is a fancy way of saying monsoon rains over Honduras & Nicaragua

Could be wrong though

ETA: it's that gyre that's helping slow Nate's intensification currently I do believe
This post was edited on 10/6 at 11:07 am


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