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Estimated depletion of resources on Earth?

Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:33 pm
Posted by Asgard Device
The Daedalus
Member since Apr 2011
11562 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:33 pm
Surely this can't be accurate. What about recycling?

Posted by NATidefan
Two hours North of Birmingham
Member since Dec 2008
36084 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:36 pm to
It goes back up after a bunch of folks die.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51910 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:40 pm to
Stopped reading when expected oil depletion estimated to occur at 2050.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51910 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:43 pm to
The fundamental fallacy behind it FWIW, is that it uses fourth grade math to extend the present indefinitely.


No supply and demand curves, much less new technologies and applications.
Posted by crazyLSUfan
LA (Lower Alabama)
Member since Aug 2006
6698 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:54 pm to
If history is any indicator, these stupid things are always ridiculously wrong. We'll still be drilling for oil in 2050.
Posted by ProbyOne
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2004
1914 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:55 pm to
I'm going to say that this chart is worthless.

I don't remember much from my nuclear engineering class... but I do remember that the US has thousands of years worth of available uranium for energy.

Of course technology and demand plays a big part of the above statement on nuclear power.
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18965 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:55 pm to
Plan C?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72129 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:56 pm to
quote:

Surely this can't be accurate.
Shirley, you are correct.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
35191 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:58 pm to
So the Rare Earth Minerals are the least rare.

Got it.
Posted by ProbyOne
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2004
1914 posts
Posted on 7/19/15 at 11:58 pm to
Posted by Peazey
Metry
Member since Apr 2012
25418 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:00 am to
quote:

The fundamental fallacy behind it FWIW, is that it uses fourth grade math to extend the present indefinitely.


No supply and demand curves, much less new technologies and applications.




There's also just no accounting for God knows what will happen over this period of time. Technology and social changes, wars, who knows. There will be other resources that we will be relying on in time and a whole new unpredictable set of constraints.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51910 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:03 am to
Keep in mind the length of the list of metals that part of the chart has, and our rate of consumption is probably a lot lower.

And if I remember right, the rare earth metals were so called because they are so hard to find in economic concentrations in spite of being plentifully dispersed.

Almost all of the rare earth metals on the planet comes from China.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
35191 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:07 am to
There goes my irony.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51910 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:09 am to
Sorry
Posted by Guess
Down The Road
Member since Jun 2009
3773 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:10 am to
What's the source of that graphic? It really looks ridiculous even before you consider that they are leaving out a basically untouched continent to the south which we would harness for resources if push came to shove.

ETA: unless they are throwing Antarctica resources in with Oceania but it still looks just as ridiculous.
This post was edited on 7/20/15 at 12:14 am
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
28126 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:11 am to
Oil and especially Gas are so inaccurate, it's comical. It's a shame they damage their credibility like that, because there probably are some other resources on there that are very finite. We won't know from this chart because they are either liars or inept.
Posted by lsumatt
Austin
Member since Feb 2005
12812 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:22 am to
It doesn't even make sense. The two bars are "if production grows" and "if production remains static". If it remains static, we'll never run out by definition
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81851 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:24 am to
There is no such thing as a finite natural resource. We have never run out of anything and we never will, mate.
This post was edited on 7/20/15 at 12:25 am
Posted by Guess
Down The Road
Member since Jun 2009
3773 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:35 am to
quote:

There is no such thing as a finite natural resource. We have never run out of anything and we never will, mate.


I pretty much agree with you and I upvoted your post, but this isn't entirely true. If you consider animals a natural resource, we have most certainly driven some to extinction.
Posted by Asgard Device
The Daedalus
Member since Apr 2011
11562 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 12:37 am to
quote:

There is no such thing as a finite natural resource. We have never run out of anything and we never will


Uh. What?
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