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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:54 pm to
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71190 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

ULL


They gonna be mad that you didn't call them Louisiana.
Posted by CuseTiger
On the road
Member since Jul 2013
8209 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:55 pm to
some much needed humor up in here
Posted by TheriotAF
Member since Mar 2013
697 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:03 pm to
I can only assume conditions aren't as favorable as predicted earlier in the Gulf. A lot of these models are starting to shift it to the west, cutting the Gulf in half with the projected path. But I don't see anything crazy with projected intensity like we have seen in the past.
Posted by Jimmy2shoes
The South
Member since Mar 2014
11004 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:06 pm to
quote:

Chad504boy

Somebody drew a big ole circle and I'm outta here MFs on that map
Posted by LSUperior
Member since Aug 2009
1237 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:08 pm to
What I think he was talking about was because people on Facebook were circulating a tropical storm warning for SE Louisiana on WAFBs facebook page, but it was from 2012 for Isacc. I guess some idiot shared it for shits and giggles....fricken morons!
Posted by RazorBroncs
Harding Bisons Fan
Member since Sep 2013
13540 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:10 pm to
Projected intensity has dropped to a Cat-2 at strongest, and that's just a couple models. Most are right at the TS/Cat-1 line, and some below. The shear out in the gulf isn't as favorable for development as they predicted right now, but that could always change. Right now, the only truly favorable condition for development is the water temp and that wont change in the short term.

It's still a big guessing game, especially while there's no clear eye or LLC present and it's not out in the GOM. But the percentages of likely development are dropping rapidly and that's a good sign of things to come.
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 11:33 pm
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
140462 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:12 pm to
quote:

quote:
Down vote if you like cats more than dogs


Hell, I downvoted AFTER you had already changed it.

My cat is the shite and I'm man enough to say that.


Da fricks thread did I just click on???

quote:

99L - Potential Gulf Threat by RazorBroncs


????

Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38235 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:18 pm to
This thread needs to be cleaned up big time or purged.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19812 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:26 pm to
00z GFS is pretty much in line with the tracks posted earlier and reposted below:



It keeps 99L week and tracks it across the Gulf maybe getting it close to being a TD but probably not:



Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41514 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:29 pm to
Yea i saw that is shifted westward good it keeps it very week but bad in that we do not need any more rain
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 11:30 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19812 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:35 pm to
quote:

Yea i saw that is shifted westward good it keeps it very week but bad in that we do not need any more rain




This run keeps most of the heavy rain offshore with 8 - 14" by the end of next week down near Vermilion Bay.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41514 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:40 pm to
That's good although that would be something to monitor closely assuming it gets this far west
Posted by geauxtigersgirl
Member since Aug 2016
1314 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:43 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/13/21 at 10:56 pm
Posted by Walt OReilly
Poplarville, MS
Member since Oct 2005
124497 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:44 pm to
Say a prayer
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19812 posts
Posted on 8/26/16 at 11:49 pm to
quote:

Are there any rainfall projections that you know of for the areas of LA that flooded already? Probably not yet, but that is my big concern with this feature...rainfall...even if it doesn't develop into a tropical storm, we don't need more water.


No, nothing that will be accurate. However, if you ignore 99L then most of Louisiana looks drier than normal over the 7 days (yellow and tan areas are below normal for rainfall). Obviously, that is subject to change if 99L does something.



This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 11:51 pm
Posted by geauxtigersgirl
Member since Aug 2016
1314 posts
Posted on 8/27/16 at 12:55 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/13/21 at 10:56 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41514 posts
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:05 am to
You can see the swirl just to the Southeast of South Andros Island in the Bahamas
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:15 am to
Just curious.. anyone here used to be on the WWL weather forums before Katrina?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41514 posts
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:17 am to
I have not, can't obvious say for the others on here
Posted by drockw1
Member since Jun 2006
9115 posts
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:56 am to
Euro update?
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