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re: Pels 88 vs Mavericks 85 Final / Preseason Game Thread

Posted on 10/24/14 at 11:14 am to
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115511 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 11:14 am to
quote:

I'm much less concerned what Jrue does offensively than what he does on defense.


Yeah. CP3 called him the toughest onball defender at PG.

If he can play effective D with Asik and AD also being good defenders, that can free up a lot for others to score more and get out in transition.

We'll see.
Posted by danman6336
Member since Jan 2005
19439 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 11:42 am to
Is it bad that Fear's joking but I mostly agree with everything he's saying?
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115511 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 11:45 am to
Yes
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115511 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 11:55 am to
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

much less concerned what Jrue does offensively


Agreed. I worry that he will be asked or will want to orchestrate the offense. Not his game, especially with this roster.


quote:

Noel + Payton + $15 million in cap space + not ready for playoffs for 2 more years 

or 

Jrue + Reke + Asik and starting the playoff run this season. 


It's all hypo and no wrong answers. A few thoughts:

1. They maybe could have gotten Asik last year w/o Holiday trade. Burke/MCW + McDermott/Gordon/Stauskas/Saric and Asik w/ a couple of other veteran signings isn't awful. Not playoff caliber, but a team on the rise in a crowded West.

2. No guarantee this core makes the playoffs even with health. I like the top 6, not convinced with Monty.The West is just tough. If they miss out, I'm not sure what the next play is with this core.
Posted by danman6336
Member since Jan 2005
19439 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 12:05 pm to
No one can determine who really won that trade yet, but I will say everyone on this board is not going to want to admit it might have been a mistake until it is absolutely blindingly apparent it was a mistake. It's the way of this board.
Posted by tbrig3211
New Orleans
Member since May 2006
2601 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

2. No guarantee this core makes the playoffs even with health. I like the top 6, not convinced with Monty.The West is just tough. If they miss out, I'm not sure what the next play is with this core.


Let Sandy's contract expire, pray a great coach takes over for monty, pray the lure of playing with AD in his prime will lure Durant. Generally a whole lot of praying for things to just fall into place. Benson's money has made the franchise viable from a facilities standpoint, hopefully that actually translates to the court.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61444 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

It's all hypo and no wrong answers.


You certainly don't want to hamstring the future in favor of the present, but shouldn't you want to accelerate the timeline considering AD's development? Would we really be talking about AD as possibly ready to take the leap to 3rd best player in the league if 3-4 of the top 6 players on the roster were on rookie deals?

It seems to me that the acceleration turns out to have been a good decision even though it was done for non basketball reasons and could have turned out to be detrimental.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38659 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

It seems to me that the acceleration turns out to have been a good decision even though it was done for non basketball reasons and could have turned out to be detrimental.


i dont disagree that the young-veteran strategy was viable, but i do disagree with the particular players they targeted. i love tyreke's game, but he is limited. i love jrue's game, but he is limited.

seems to me that PG & SG are the easiest positions to fill, especially if you are willing to fill with limited players. i'm not going to go back and divine what particular players would have/could have been available, but a legit wing with talent to grow would be the perfect complement for davis (along with asik/anderson) and the albatross we already had.

now...flexibility is limited, and we have a gaping hole at the wing, and very little/no NBA caliber depth
This post was edited on 10/24/14 at 12:53 pm
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61444 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

i'm not going to go back and divine what particular players would have/could have been available


You should try, then you might see why we focused on the positions that were "easy" to get. Here are the SFs ranked by PER last season to make it easy to come up with a list. SF SG I included SGs too because there are some on there that can play SF. Just picking the younger "legit" ones off the list:

Paul George
Kawhi Leonard
Jimmy Butler
Chandler Parsons
Gordon Hayward
Nicolas Batum
Danny Green
Arron Afflalo
Demar Derozan
Klay Thompson


That list has 3 players that aren't going anywhere (George, Leonard, Derozan), 2 players where a hostile RFA bid was made and failed (Hayward, Batum), 1 player we tried to trade for but were laughed away (Klay Thompson) and 2 that I could see us possibly target with a hostile bid next offseason if we can clear Gordon off the cap (Butler and Green)

If Afflalo could play SF full time (not sure if he can at 6'5) he was certainly attainable if you don't have assets/salary tied up in Jrue or Tyreke. Other than that or beating Dallas to the punch and stealing Parsons, next year is really the first time to have a legit shot a young wing.

Is Afflalo + Tyreke + MCW/Burke better than Jrue + Tyreke + whoever we get at SF next season. That is an interesting question, especially if in both scenarios you get Asik and he handles defensive deficiencies from a shorter SF.

Getting a SF first is a good idea in theory, but unless you're happy with Tyreke or Afflalo as your starting SF, it wasn't really practical.
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

I like Davis, Anderson, Asik and Reke. I would like Gordon a lot more if he'd stretch the floor. The team has 3 guys who all want to do the same thing on offense (get to the basket). Tyreke is the best at doing that and is pretty good at drawing the defense in. Gordon doesn't look to pass when he drives. I really don't like Holiday on this team. He's not a great shooter and isn't a good fit next to Reke. That's just my opinion as an outsider. You've got a lot of talent, let's see how they mesh.


A fair assessment

Couple of thoughts:

Jrue shot very well last season(39% From 3 even after a somewhat slow start) and he's been a 36.5% 3 point shooter his whole career. Doug Collins offense and well philly didn't help him very much.

I agree on Gordon but I think he's slowly getting better there.

Jrue/Tyreke will fit if jrue just lets tyreke play his game and he himself should play his great D/Hit 3s. Tyreke had success with a far worse ballhog and sieve on defense(roberts) so i think he'll be fine with jrue.

Hopefully we can turn EG into a decent 3.
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

Is Afflalo + Tyreke + MCW/Burke better than Jrue + Tyreke + whoever we get at SF next season.


I really don't think so

MCW/Burke have a lot of issues and jrue is only a year-2 older.

I also hate the terrible hypothetical of Noel+Payton. There's problems with that:

Noel was picked for philly,not for us. We would have likely taken burke/mcw as demps was looking for an upgrade at PG(I don't think burke or mcw really would have been) so if that happened they likely wouldn't taken payton(who knows if they had any interest in the first place? why do people automatically put him in?) or another PG.

It's a terrible hypothetical.

Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38659 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Getting a SF first is a good idea in theory, but unless you're happy with Tyreke or Afflalo as your starting SF, it wasn't really practical.


2012...draft harkless instead of rivers
2013...keep #6, draft giannis

now you go:

vet PG to be named (pick one)
giannis
gordon
evans
harkless
anderson
davis
asik

i be a lot more excited about that team than the one we have, plus you have a potential 2nd star next to davis, on a rookie deal

ETA: plus best player available at #10 this past draft
This post was edited on 10/24/14 at 2:19 pm
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:26 pm to
Harkless has not been that great. Rivers hasn't lit the world on fire but he's been quite useful.

I like giannis but he likely won't be a star until his rookie deal runs out.

It's just all dumb hypotheticals.

This post was edited on 10/24/14 at 2:28 pm
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115511 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:27 pm to
Captainnnnnn Hinddddsight
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61444 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

2012...draft harkless instead of rivers


Harkless? I know PER and the other advanced stats don't tell the whole story, but those don't treat him too kindly and he seems like he'd be a role player at best.

quote:

2013...keep #6, draft giannis


I'm a skeptic of Giannis. People tell me I should like him, but the few times I've seen him I haven't been impressed. Still, your basic plan to get lucky in the draft is no more assured of working than hoping to clear cap space and going after Butler/Danny Green next year. I think corndeaux is right to say they are no right answers, especially when we're playing with as many layers of what if as we're talking about, but it's not like we blew a sure fire opportunity to get a quasi all star or better SF.
This post was edited on 10/24/14 at 2:32 pm
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38659 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

Captainnnnnn Hinddddsight


startling insight...
this entire discussion is hindsight, unless you have a time machine

the topic was a discussion of the pro's/con's of the holiday trade in particular, and the acceleration strategy in general. if you cant see there there is a legitimate alternative to the path the team took, then so be it
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38659 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 2:44 pm to
i think we can agree though that harkless>rivers, especially since he plays a position of need

i believe giannis is going to be a star, but obviously thats only speculation at this point. still, he's a wing/PG hybrid

subtract holiday/rivers, add harkless, giannis, and the 2014 pick (saric? payton? warren?) and i think that's your team. no need to keep SF shopping
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61444 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

i think we can agree though that harkless>rivers, especially since he plays a position of need


Sure, but that's kind of irrelevant to your initial point that Dell went after the wrong young veterans.

quote:

he's a wing/PG hybrid


Like who? The ones coming to mind for me are Magic, LeBron, Chris Webber, Grandmama, Anthony Mason. All of those guys were pretty skilled offensively even when they were the same age in college.

quote:

subtract holiday/rivers, add harkless, giannis, and the 2014 pick (saric? payton? warren?) and i think that's your team. no need to keep SF shopping


I like Payton, but don't think anything else you've listed here solves the SF problem. Improves it maybe, but doesn't solve it to the level it would be solved with $10-$15 million in cap space next offseason.
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 10/24/14 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

Would we really be talking about AD as possibly ready to take the leap to 3rd best player in the league if 3-4 of the top 6 players on the roster were on rookie deals?


Yes. Let's look at MP totals for Davis and any one else over his career:

2300 MP with Gordon
2200 MP with Aminu
1500 MP with Vasquez
1500 MP with Roberts
1100 MP with Evans
1000 MP with Lopez
1000 MP with Anderson
700 MP with Holiday

Perhaps it has had a effect in terms of raising expectations. But I'm not sure the young vet strategy has particularly impacted his production on the court. Not sure that playing a rookie PG next to Davis hurts him that much, if anything he took off when they had to give him the ball because the other guys were hurt. (H/T to Gtothemoney- you were right)
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