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re: Your Houston Astros. over/under 88 wins this year.

Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:35 pm to
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60176 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

still throw money at a big name, younger ace


That's the problem with the strategy, you can't throw money at them until they are on the downswing and they have maybe a couple years of peak production left. You have to hope the front end production justifies the back end, like you will be with Lester.
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60176 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

they also have a bunch of talented arms in their system.


Which brings me back to the original question. Who are the homegrown pitchers that will make sure they aren't throwing 9 figures at free agents every winter?
Posted by CQQ
Member since Feb 2006
17048 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:39 pm to
This thread turned into a shite show
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278480 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:41 pm to
Duane Underwood
CJ Edwards
Pierce Johnson

they have a young Asian guy too, i forget his name.

they got some nice arms in last years draft which they paid over slot bonuses too. Carson Sands, Dylan Cease, and Justin Steele.
Posted by Maximus
Member since Feb 2004
81262 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:43 pm to
Also Jake Stinnett
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72031 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:43 pm to


90% of big deals will frick the team on the back end my man. You're paying for those early years. You gotta pay to play. The Cubs don't sign Lester to 7 years with plans to really cash in on years 5,6,7. That's just how it works unless you can lock up a Kershaw in his early years
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60176 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

90% of big deals will frick the team on the back end my man. You're paying for those early years


Which is why it's a good idea to develop pitching through the system, to avoid relying on it
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53830 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:48 pm to
This thread just makes me even happier that I'm not a Cubs fan.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
103105 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:50 pm to
you want some butter with all that jelly?
Posted by Ruxin
Cypress, TX
Member since Nov 2012
1071 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:52 pm to
I thought this was an Astros thread....did I misread the title?
Posted by TTownTiger
Austin
Member since Oct 2007
5301 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

Duane Underwood

quote:

Pierce Johnson


Both on my FSBDL minor league roster.

Tseng is the Asian pitcher.

Johnson projected to have #2 upside, but he has to get over injuries. He hasn't thrown a pitch at all this year yet. Underwood might end up being the best out of all of them, but he is still in A ball. He has top of the rotation talent though. I think he is 4-0 with a sub 2.0 ERA right now. CJ Edwards has great stuff, but many project to hit the bullpen. Tseng has been pretty damn good and keeps getting ranked higher & higher in the clubs prospect rankings each year, but still most see him as a #3-4. Still in A ball too, so has a couple of years to go.
This post was edited on 5/19/15 at 3:00 pm
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72031 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 2:59 pm to
I mean that's nice in theory. Pitching is volatile and a lot of them take time. If your window to win is now then you just have to go out and get it. It's delusional to think you can build an entire staff internally

Cubs have a 3 or 4 year window where a lot of guys will be in their prime, Lester included. Their time is now. They will round out their staff buy spending money or trading hitting

Your Stros have more arm "prospects" . You have two guys set in place. Assuming you think your window is now (you're in 1st place after all) do you lean on the McCullers, Appel, Velasquez types to develop in that timeframe? Chances are you'll be forced to pay or try to pay a big name SP. is your FO ready to roll out 9 figures to a starter?
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278480 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 3:00 pm to
how about some peanut butter with an Appel
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72031 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

by Ruxin I thought this was an Astros thread....did I misread the title?


Idk

An Astro fan brought up Bryant and it appears this thread evolved

Let's get back on topic
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60176 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

I mean that's nice in theory. Pitching is volatile and a lot of them take time. If your window to win is now then you just have to go out and get it. It's delusional to think you can build an entire staff internally


Right, but the risk is higher with a large contract than a prospect. I know the Cubs can spend but there's a limit to everything. If you can take the Cards approach (I hope they aren't fricking reading this) and stock up enough talented young arms you limit having to spend big on older guys through FA or trade. Of course you will have to at some point, but the goal shouldn't be to build the rotation through FA.

quote:

Your Stros have more arm "prospects" . You have two guys set in place. Assuming you think your window is now (you're in 1st place after all) do you lean on the McCullers, Appel, Velasquez types to develop in that timeframe? Chances are you'll be forced to pay or try to pay a big name SP. is your FO ready to roll out 9 figures to a starter?


I don't know what the plan is obviously but they say they will spend. We won't really know until this offseason, but they supposedly made a pretty big run at Tanaka and Jose Abreu. If only one of those had worked out this year could be really interesting.

If one of McCullers, Appel or Velasquez can supplement the two guys we have, and they can add one big piece through FA or trade I think that could be a pretty solid rotation. I know a lot of people still aren't sure what to think of Keuchel or McHugh. Personally I think Keuchel is very legit and I am more wait and see on McHugh.
Posted by Maximus
Member since Feb 2004
81262 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

and they can add one big piece through FA


I wouldn't do it, man. I've read a lot of bad things about that model.
Posted by danfraz
San Antonio TX
Member since Apr 2008
24550 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 4:11 pm to
I'm gonna say over, winning 90 on the season
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14054 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 4:28 pm to
over

here are my reasons:

1. They have assets to deal for needs.

2. Division is garbage and up to 3(ANA, OAK, Tex) teams in the division will be major sellers, which means they will get worse and even easier W's for Stros


This post was edited on 5/19/15 at 4:29 pm
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
103105 posts
Posted on 5/19/15 at 11:40 pm to
94 wins
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