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What kind of degenerate bets on preseason games?

Posted on 8/14/15 at 4:59 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98185 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 4:59 pm
Vegas has lines up, so somebody does. Anybody want to admit to it?
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Anybody want to admit to it?


yup

five or six year's ago, won $$$, no ragrets
Posted by TheWalrus
Member since Dec 2012
40517 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:11 pm to
It's actually easier to peg the games than regular season if you have an idea of what the quarterback, starters/backup rotations will be. The home team is almost always favored for some reason too.

That said, I don't bet on either.
Posted by CoachChappy
Member since May 2013
32537 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:15 pm to
Yo
Posted by UncleBlazer
Member since Jan 2013
3333 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:23 pm to
I don't, but I'm hitting week 1 hard
Posted by wrlakers
Member since Sep 2007
5748 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:25 pm to
quote:

What kind of degenerate bets on preseason games? by Jim Rockford


I'm picking up on a hint of judgment and condescension in your question. Assuming that you're not against gambling in any form, what's the objection to gambling on an exhibition game as opposed to a non-exhibition game? I don't get it.
Posted by pioneerbasketball
Team Bunchie
Member since Oct 2005
132343 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:38 pm to
People bet on special olympics and high school games.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98185 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:40 pm to
I have absolutely nothing against gambling, although I confine my own speculation to the ponies. In preseason games, you don't know how long the starters are going to play, you don't know how hard they're trying to win, just way too many variables in an already uncertain proposition. For instance, last night in the Saints game, Baltimore won on the goal line when the Saints hadn't worked on their goal line defense in camp yet, according to the announcers. In a preseason game last year, one team went for a hail mary TD at the end of the game instead of the percentage play of kicking a FG to send it into Overtime. The coaches had seen enough and wanted to get home instead of playing the scrubs for another 15 minutes.

I guess I am sounding a little judgemental, but it seems to me you might as well just bet on the flip of a coin or some other random event. Under the circumstances, analysis and statistics are of very limited usefulness.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
31118 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

I'm picking up on a hint of judgment and condescension in your question. Assuming that you're not against gambling in any form, what's the objection to gambling on an exhibition game as opposed to a non-exhibition game? I don't get it.


My objection would be that it'd be hard as hell to pick the winner against the spread. It's hard enough in the regular season when you know starters are going the whole game and they're playing "predictably". In the preseason, starters don't play, or play for a bit, they're trying new plays, going for it on fourth down in the red zone, going for two, etc. Just all over the board, so to me it'd just be a flip of a coin.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
82952 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 5:59 pm to
I make a killing in pre-season on the understand. Took the pats under 37 last night, taking the falcons under tonight.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
31118 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Took the pats under 37 last night, taking the falcons under tonight.


Based on what though?
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 6:11 pm to
This same thread pops up every year.

The money cashes the same regardless of the sport, so what makes gambling on preseason "degenerate"?
This post was edited on 8/14/15 at 6:12 pm
Posted by brgfather129
Los Angeles, CA
Member since Jul 2009
17099 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 6:38 pm to
Watch me turn $1000 into -$5000.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
82952 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 6:46 pm to
Preseason scoring is usually low.
Posted by BallChamp00
Member since May 2015
6370 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 6:48 pm to
If you gamble and you dont bet preseason then you shouldn't be gambling. Preseason is the easiest of anything to handicap.
Posted by BallChamp00
Member since May 2015
6370 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 7:11 pm to
quote:



Based on what though?


The under in most preseason games cash. Teams learning new run blocks and the amount of running backs that are picked up.
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14054 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 7:14 pm to
hammering the Rams tonight +115

Posted by 632627
LA
Member since Dec 2011
12758 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

If you gamble and you dont bet preseason then you shouldn't be gambling. Preseason is the easiest of anything to handicap.



my understanding is that betting nfl preseason is all about the head coaches. certain coaches care more about winning the games, leave starters in longer, etc. for the most part when betting pre-season, you are handicapping the coaches tendencies.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 7:39 pm to
people bet on all kinds of really strange stuff. at least they are betting on actual games.

Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12063 posts
Posted on 8/14/15 at 7:51 pm to
quote:

I have absolutely nothing against gambling, although I confine my own speculation to the ponies. In preseason games, you don't know how long the starters are going to play, you don't know how hard they're trying to win,


That's just the thing, a lot of times you do know this for a preseason game if you investigate. And a lot of the times one team will be trying to work on plays if they're putting in a new offense while another team is just trying to get reps. Teams with their QB rotation already set tend to do worse than teams who have QBs fighting for a spot on the team. And the lines don't usually correct themselves like in the regular season.
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