re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread

Posted by wish i was tebow

The Golf Board

Member since Feb 2009

46121 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 12:03 pm to blades8088

It's finally here fellas. I'm stoked! good luck to everyone

I need to get on my shite. Haven't had time to look. Hopefully tomorrow. Today is a no go

Posted by DallasTiger45

Member since May 2012

8428 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 12:15 pm to LSUAlum2001

quote:
He was good enough to force Daxx Garman to transfer, and they still have JW Walsh behind Rudolph.

Daxx Garman transferred because he was out of his league at OSU. One of the worst Power 5 QBs I saw last year. Rudolph/Walsh should definitely be an upgrade, but I still think CMU will be able to keep the game respectable.

Posted by Chef Leppard

Member since Sep 2011

11739 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 1:13 pm to wish i was tebow

Can a brother get a little WIWTLOTW

Posted by oleyeller

Vols, Bitch

Member since Oct 2012

32021 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 1:15 pm to Chef Leppard

quote:
WIWTLOTW

w
t
f

Posted by Tornado Alley

Member since Mar 2012

26510 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 1:56 pm to oleyeller

Rate these wagers

Wager #1
Three-team, ten-point teaser
Texas State at Florida State (-20)
Wisconsin v. Alabama (-0.5) (Dallas)
Louisville v. Auburn (-1) (Atlanta)
Bet $25.00 to win $20.83

Wager #2
Mississippi State (-20.5) at Southern Miss
Bet $25.00 to win $19.23 (free $25.00 bet; bought one point to take the line below three touchdowns)

3 ...

Posted by BeYou

DFW

Member since Oct 2012

6025 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 2:05 pm to oleyeller

quote:

w
t
f

Wish I Was Tebow Lock of The Week

Posted by ReauxlTide222

St. Petersburg

Member since Nov 2010

83462 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 2:20 pm to Tornado Alley

quote:
Wisconsin v. Alabama (-0.5) (Dallas)

Might be better to get the o/u to 61.5 or whatever the 10 points would make it.

Posted by accnodefense

Trump Fan

Member since Dec 2010

6279 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 2:40 pm to Tornado Alley

quote:
Wager #1

Bad... I know I am on Texas State +30, not sure if they can cover the 20 but you'd be better off teasing it up to Texas State +40 than down to Florida State -20

Alabama bet is probably fine

Louisville can win that game straight up, there are better plays to make

If I HAD to play a 3 team 10 point teaser this week... it would be:

Tennessee -10.5
Central Michigan +34.5
Northern Illinois -13

I hate playing teasers though... every now and then I'll play a big 10 or 12 teamer for $1 or $2 for shits and giggles. But whenever I try to make them a part of my profit strategy they kill me. Always look good on paper, but never deliver.

quote:
Wager #2

There was value on Southern Miss +23.5 last week, but its gone now... that is probably the right side.

Posted by icegator337

Lafayette

Member since Jan 2013

3496 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 2:58 pm to Tornado Alley

I'm going Minnesota+14.5, Utah -5.5, Tulane +7.5

Posted by accnodefense

Trump Fan

Member since Dec 2010

6279 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 3:34 pm to icegator337

quote:
I'm going Minnesota+14.5, Utah -5.5, Tulane +7.5

Late to the party on Tulane... it was at +9.5 a couple days ago. I think the value is gone and its on Duke now

2 ...

Posted by ChemE in the OP

The Flats

Member since Apr 2011

6382 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 3:44 pm to accnodefense

For my method, 9.5 and 7.5 are the same number. I don't take issue with him chasing RLM there although not a play for me.

Posted by blades8088

Covington

Member since Nov 2008

4202 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 3:54 pm to ChemE in the OP

Yea, chances of losing this bet from a number or 7.5 and 9.5 is slim

Posted by BayouBengals03

lsu14always

Member since Nov 2007

99999 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 3:55 pm to blades8088

It'll probably lose either way, tbh.

Posted by blades8088

Covington

Member since Nov 2008

4202 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 3:57 pm to BayouBengals03

Sparty gon roll?

2 ...

Posted by accnodefense

Trump Fan

Member since Dec 2010

6279 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:00 pm to blades8088

quote:
Sparty gon roll?

My system has Western Michigan covering 82.5% of the time. I don't trust my system that much this early in the season, but I think Michigan State is the squarest play on the board this week and I don't think people are giving Western Michigan enough respect

2 ...

Posted by BayouBengals03

lsu14always

Member since Nov 2007

99999 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:01 pm to blades8088

I was talking about Duke rolling Tulane.

Posted by Tornado Alley

Member since Mar 2012

26510 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:12 pm to BayouBengals03

I'm gonna be at that game with my future FIL so I don't wanna bet against Tulane and actively cheer against them in front of them.

Posted by LSUAlum2001

Stavro Mueller Beta

Member since Aug 2003

47130 posts

Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:13 pm to accnodefense

Here is my take on the Michigan State/WMU matchup.

Michigan State returns 7 on offense and 7 on defense.

Western Michigan returns 9 on offense and 7 on defense.

Both return their QB: Connor Cook and Zach Terrell.

WMU returns a great RB in Franklin, but Michigan State's run defense allowed 78 ypg vs non-conference foes at 2.5 ypc. 173 of those yards was against Oregon. The other 3 non-conference games ran for 140 combined; a 1.97 ypc clip. I expect a simar run-stopping MSU defense this year.

They did give up 210 ypg passing to non-conference foes last season, and one of those was 318 vs Oregon. The other 3 only averaged 175 passing.

I don't expect WMU to eclipse 325 total yards on offense, but I do expect MSU to score in the 40s here.

WMU will not score enough to keep it close. I expect something like 45-17.

The only common opponent from last year was Purdue, who beat WMU 23-14 to open the season. Michigan St defeated Purdue 45-31 mid-season.

This post was edited on 9/1/15 at 4:18 pm