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Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 8/31/15 at 7:00 pm to JG77056
Posted on 8/31/15 at 7:00 pm to JG77056
Bottom line is both TCU and OSU are getting 80-85% of wagers placed and the lines are sitting pretty so...
1) Major, major plays are being made in the 15-20% group, or
2) Books are happy to take the lopsided FAV wagers
I'll stand with the big money and/or books and see what happens.
1) Major, major plays are being made in the 15-20% group, or
2) Books are happy to take the lopsided FAV wagers
I'll stand with the big money and/or books and see what happens.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 7:02 pm to ChemE in the OP
Where are you getting your 80-85% numbers? Covers, which does all the stats for the books out here shows a 56-44 split.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 7:09 pm to JG77056
quote:
They're pretty much the same teams this year so even if TCU scores one less TD
they are not the same team. Tcu has one of the best qbs in the country. Minnesota lost all of their offensive production. I dont see where they will be getting points from
Posted on 8/31/15 at 7:21 pm to JG77056
I wouldn't use covers.
Those numbers are just dudes picking the games without any $$.
Those numbers are just dudes picking the games without any $$.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 7:22 pm to ChemE in the OP
Their (Sports Insights) data comes from these books ~
5Dimes.com (Costa Rica)
5Dimes is a licensed and bonded online sportsbook in Costa Rica.
SportsInteraction.com (Canada)
SportsInteraction (SIA) is a licensed and bonded online sportsbook in Canada.
BetUs.com (Canada + Costa Rica)
BetUs.com is licensed and bonded in two recognized gaming jurisdictions, Canada and Costa Rica.
GTBets.com (Curacao)
GTBets is a licensed online sportsbook in Curacao.
CaribSports.com (Belize)
Carib Sports is a licensed online sportsbook in Belize.
Sportsbook.com (Costa Rica)
Sportsbook.com is a licensed online sportsbook and casino in Costa Rica
BetDSI.com (Costa Rica)
BetDSI.com is a licensed online sportsbook and casino in Costa Rica
5Dimes.com (Costa Rica)
5Dimes is a licensed and bonded online sportsbook in Costa Rica.
SportsInteraction.com (Canada)
SportsInteraction (SIA) is a licensed and bonded online sportsbook in Canada.
BetUs.com (Canada + Costa Rica)
BetUs.com is licensed and bonded in two recognized gaming jurisdictions, Canada and Costa Rica.
GTBets.com (Curacao)
GTBets is a licensed online sportsbook in Curacao.
CaribSports.com (Belize)
Carib Sports is a licensed online sportsbook in Belize.
Sportsbook.com (Costa Rica)
Sportsbook.com is a licensed online sportsbook and casino in Costa Rica
BetDSI.com (Costa Rica)
BetDSI.com is a licensed online sportsbook and casino in Costa Rica
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 7:23 pm
Posted on 8/31/15 at 7:58 pm to ChemE in the OP
Come on, ChemE..
The MSB CFB Capping challenge don't cost nothing, except your pride.
LINK
The MSB CFB Capping challenge don't cost nothing, except your pride.
LINK
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 8:00 pm
Posted on 8/31/15 at 8:06 pm to LSUAlum2001
I couldn't come up with ten picks a week if given a functional crystal ball.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 8:11 pm to ChemE in the OP
I squeezed out 10 this week. You can utilize the GOW, GOM and GOY plays to get a leg up on the competition.
It'll be tough.
It'll be tough.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 8:39 pm to LSUAlum2001
Alright. Finally got some time to cap this weekend. I had the CPA exam last week and the new client I've been working on blocks nearly every statistical website.
I'll post some of my plays and reasoning behind them later.
I'll post some of my plays and reasoning behind them later.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 8:46 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
I couldn't come up with ten picks a week if given a functional crystal ball.
I dont think I could either. I was hoping for 5
Posted on 8/31/15 at 9:05 pm to Carson123987
hell i already have money on 6 games, i could easially pick 10-12 but im holding back
Posted on 8/31/15 at 9:38 pm to Carson123987
quote:
I dont think I could either. I was hoping for 5
Reason my "contest" suggestion was 3-8 picks a week, because most of the regulars on here that are serious about what they are doing are good for a handful of solid picks a week, not 10.
Change the structure to 10 Units instead of 10 picks with a max of 5 units per week and you will probably get more participants.
This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 9:40 pm
Posted on 8/31/15 at 9:44 pm to dgtiger3
Northern Illinois will be my largest and possibly only play this week.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 10:01 pm to dgtiger3
23 are in.. What do you want? 50?
Posted on 8/31/15 at 10:04 pm to dgtiger3
quote:
Reason my "contest" suggestion was 3-8 picks a week, because most of the regulars on here that are serious about what they are doing are good for a handful of solid picks a week, not 10
I'm more of a volume player than most, but yeah, I think being flexible with # of picks with a fixed number of units probably is more in line with what the bet thread regulars would want, compared to those posting with no money on the line.
Butttt.. back to the action. Anyone have thoughts on Texas State or ULL? Leaning both these but hoping some of the local posters with more knowledge could help me out.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 10:10 pm to maclauer
I set it up this way to keep people involved throughout the year.
If someone loaded up on a few picks in btb weeks, and finished 0-8 and -22 units, the chances of them quitting are high.
A bad week in my challenge is 3-7 and -4.4 (or -5.5) units.
If someone loaded up on a few picks in btb weeks, and finished 0-8 and -22 units, the chances of them quitting are high.
A bad week in my challenge is 3-7 and -4.4 (or -5.5) units.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 10:19 pm to JG77056
quote:
Last year TCU was up 24-0 at the half and won 30-7 after giving up a garbage time TD late and forcing 5 TOs. They're pretty much the same teams this year so even if TCU scores one less TD in the first half and allows one more they would be up by 10 and the line will prob be 8 or 8.5. So I'm playing TCU first half.
I think it is important to note that this was TCU's first game under their revamped offense. They have a year of the offense under their belt now.
Posted on 8/31/15 at 10:54 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
I set it up this way to keep people involved throughout the year.
If someone loaded up on a few picks in btb weeks, and finished 0-8 and -22 units, the chances of them quitting are high.
A bad week in my challenge is 3-7 and -4.4 (or -5.5) units.
Fair enough. I wasn't trying to criticize, I think our ideals were just a little different in what we wanted. I have no problems getting to 10 games.
Posted on 9/1/15 at 12:42 am to dgtiger3
quote:
HoLeInOnEr05
You follow UNC football right?
Have you heard anything concerning that defense? Has Chizik done anything to fix the defense, especially the big play problem?
I think Marquise Williams and that offense will be a T20 offense this season. They return everyone and I don't think USCe will be able to slow them down all that much. Nothing about the USCe defense scares me. Unproven defensive line and a secondary that struggled last year (will be better this year but will have their hands full with UNC offense).
What is keeping me off UNC in this game is their defense's inability to stop the big play and with Pharoh Cooper lined up on the other side of the ball, I fear a 200+ 2 TD game from him. I saw UNC returned just about everyone in the secondary, so that should help. But I am unfamiliar with Chizik style of defense (outside the fact that he is running the 4-3).
Maybe others can shed some light on the strengths and weaknesses of Chizik defenses?
Over might be the better play.
Edit: I need to learn to look at injury reports before posting. Jerrell Adams is doubtful for Thursday game against UNC. Only helps that UNC defense.
This post was edited on 9/1/15 at 12:59 am
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