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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:23 pm to BayouBengals03
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:23 pm to BayouBengals03
I may buy a point and take Duke at -6.5 just to make it interesting.
What would you think about that?
What would you think about that?
1
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:26 pm to Tornado Alley
I know about 4 or 5 guys on the team who don't have good things to say about the upcoming game with Duke 
I know that doesn't really matter when it comes to sports wagering, but it's pretty discouraging.
I don't think they'll get to 6 wins this season.
I know that doesn't really matter when it comes to sports wagering, but it's pretty discouraging.
I don't think they'll get to 6 wins this season.
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:33 pm to BayouBengals03
I think they have the size along the offensive line (if they just produce a little), and Louisiana speed all over the field, to compete in the American.
They return a lot of starters:
1/1 QB
4/5 OL
3/4 DL
7/9 OL and DL
2/2 K and P
They're the fourth most experienced team in the American and six of the conference's twelve teams return 12 starters or less.
Anyways, with buying a point to get Duke at -6.5, I can put $10.00 down and get $6.67, so I pulled the trigger.
They return a lot of starters:
1/1 QB
4/5 OL
3/4 DL
7/9 OL and DL
2/2 K and P
They're the fourth most experienced team in the American and six of the conference's twelve teams return 12 starters or less.
Anyways, with buying a point to get Duke at -6.5, I can put $10.00 down and get $6.67, so I pulled the trigger.
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:37 pm to Tornado Alley
quote:
Anyways, with buying a point to get Duke at -6.5, I can put $10.00 down and get $6.67, so I pulled the trigger.
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:45 pm to BayouBengals03
I know, I was asking you about Sparty
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:47 pm to accnodefense
Not sure how Sparty is any more square that TCU or Ohio St, but ok
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:50 pm to blades8088
a lot of ppl will say big favorites are always square, especially on the road
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:51 pm to blades8088
i dont normally bet alot of public favs, but in my past experience week one is the time to do it. Im holding my breath
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:52 pm to accnodefense
I took them at 10 (bought the hook from 9.5) for small a couple weeks ago when they first came out.
I still think there is value at 7.5 and feel a little better about it now
I still think there is value at 7.5 and feel a little better about it now
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:52 pm to icegator337
Yes I know, but not all large road faves are square. To each their own
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:54 pm to oleyeller
Yea I agree, ive had success with week 1 faves. People have came out the woodworks for this thread, everybody acts like they have to explain everything
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:56 pm to Tornado Alley
quote:
1/1 QB
Tanner 4 prez
Posted on 9/1/15 at 5:06 pm to BayouBengals03
He wasn't completely terrible, considering the fact he had no pass protection, no running game, and a bad defense to back him up.
185/336, 55.1%, 1962 yards, 196.2 YPG, 12 TD, 14 INT, 107.56 rating
185/336, 55.1%, 1962 yards, 196.2 YPG, 12 TD, 14 INT, 107.56 rating
Posted on 9/1/15 at 5:14 pm to blades8088
quote:
Not sure how Sparty is any more square that TCU or Ohio St, but ok
MSU is playing a G5 team and TCU/Ohio State aren't
Posted on 9/1/15 at 5:18 pm to accnodefense
Meh, we have diff opinions on square plays.
This post was edited on 9/1/15 at 5:20 pm
Posted on 9/1/15 at 5:19 pm to oleyeller
quote:
i dont normally bet alot of public favs, but in my past experience week one is the time to do it. Im holding my breath
Playing Large Home Favorites(-21 or higher) is where I had my biggest success last year in Week 1.
This year though there aren't as many Large Home Favorites that I like. I think Texas State, Arkansas State, Louisiana-Monroe and UTEP are all undervalued and therefore all 4 should be the play in their games.
Northern Illinois is one I considered at -21 but not at -23 where it is now
Oklahoma, Arizona and Florida are toss ups at best.
There is no big home favorite I like this year for Week 1 that stands out. Last year you had Baylor, Auburn, Mississippi State and Arizona that all were no-brainer large home favs Week 1.
Posted on 9/1/15 at 5:24 pm to Tornado Alley
quote:
He wasn't completely terrible, considering the fact he had no pass protection, no running game, and a bad defense to back him up.
185/336, 55.1%, 1962 yards, 196.2 YPG, 12 TD, 14 INT, 107.56 rating
I'm not sure what the numbers were but Tulane actually had a decent run game. The defense was bad but the consistent 3 and outs and turnovers from the offense made them look worse.
Posted on 9/1/15 at 5:28 pm to D011ahbi11
ODU is my second play, of the year.
This post was edited on 9/1/15 at 5:29 pm
Posted on 9/1/15 at 5:37 pm to LSUAlum2001
Whole new season with a different rhythm. Turnovers, red zone efficiency, hype, expectations, experience, luck, etc. are all likely to be very different even if the QB remained constant or a bunch of starters returned. Just my 2 cents when seeing the transitive property from prior season results used throughout this thread.
Posted on 9/1/15 at 6:04 pm to maclauer
First 2 plays of the year:
UCLA-17
Georgia St-6
UCLA-17
Georgia St-6
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