re: It's nothing but stupid to keep starters in late of a blowout game!!

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Exactly my feelings too 312. I never understood Saban's thinking. Not only Ben, Shy Carey was stepping up until he got injured late against Miss St.

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Let's not forget the infamous Mauck injury against Florida.

Most of all, I just hated Saban's tepid little justification for doing it: "Players can get hurt on any play."

Yeah, Saban, but the longer they are out there, the greater their overall chance of injury.

In any event, there can be some reasons to keep starters on the field late into blowouts, but it is a huge risk, especially at positions where you don't have much depth.

All that being said, I haven't looked at the tape, but I do recall the starters being taken out in the 4th against UW.

Doesn't the probability change the longer you are out there?

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I kept hearing it was to let the team continue to keep the pace and cohesion. It's only the 2nd game, they need the feel and reps to get into rhythm for the season.

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this

And, you better accept the fact that Mett will be playing in the 3rd quarter. I expect 5:00 of the 3rd for Rivers to come in for the rest of the game. As far as the oline starters, the rotations will begin about that time with some starters in through the middle of the 4th.

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Gambler's Fallacy. The risk of injury on a given play is the same regardless of how many plays are performed. The statistical risk is identical, as it is an independent event. Much like a hand in poker. Your odds of having a particular hand are identical for each hand dealt, regardless of how many hands you see

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Correct. On any given play where the player is in the game. However, the risk of injury on the bench is presumably zero (unless it is a very dangerous bench). So when you rest a player, his risk of injury is zero on a given play, whereas his risk would be something above zero on that same play if he were in the game. Hence, playing starters late in blow outs subjects them to additional risk of injury.

This is another way of saying that aggregate risk of injury increases as plays increases versus rest.

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f you look at the big picture, this game was our chance to make a statement, in case Bama drops a couple of games this year. Our near shut-out of a PAC-12 team will be the only thing that keeps us ahead of USC or Oregon in the event that the rest of the SEC doesn't live up to expectations, weakening our SoS.

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LOL,
If we go undefeated we are guaranteed into the National Championship, even if we had beat Washington by one point

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"Players can get hurt on any play."

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Only if they're in the game.


Signed,

Matt Maulk

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Gambler's Fallacy. The risk of injury on a given play is the same regardless of how many plays are performed. The statistical risk is identical, as it is an independent event. Much like a hand in poker. Your odds of having a particular hand are identical for each hand dealt, regardless of how many hands you see.
This, whether it's the 1st play of the game or the 50th play, the risk of injury is TE same.

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yes each play is independent of the other for the chances of getting hurt, but the chance is 0% if you're not on the field

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Miles probably learned his lesson from unc in 2010

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this.


lsu/lm will never let that happen again. notice the scores since that game.
we will / have to BURY the teams.

Thanks for the lame arse comment on a legitimate topic. And for rest of thread, I was mainly talking about leaving in either injured players or a players at a thin position, not wholesale substitutions across the board.

Les doesn’t want to run the score up, yet he keeps the starters in? and why not throw the frickin ball? is it any wonder the fans empty the stadium in the middle of the 3rd quarter? And what good does it do to put Rivers in and never get any reps throwing? it only takes one play and he’s your starter? and what about all the other players that could be getting reps? is 34-3 not enough with 10 minutes to go? the last 2 weeks the game was so boring for a quarter and half, while LSU shoved the ball down lesser opponents? stupid, stupid, stupid ...