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Message
re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
Posted on 12/31/12 at 12:39 pm to LSURussian
Posted on 12/31/12 at 12:39 pm to LSURussian
Posted on 12/31/12 at 1:38 pm to C
You omitted PlanoPrivateer's oil prediction.
When you include it, $95.00, he has the Gold Medal with a deviation of 8.95% to your 9.41%.
When you include it, $95.00, he has the Gold Medal with a deviation of 8.95% to your 9.41%.
Posted on 12/31/12 at 3:23 pm to LSURussian
Ok just added his. Which price listing are we going to use? Right now we are virtually tied.
Posted on 12/31/12 at 5:25 pm to C
quote:
Which price listing are we going to use?
CNBC-US Markets: As of 5 PM CST 12/31/12
Overall Best Average Predictions:
Gold Medal: PlanoPrivateer: 9.16% average deviation
Silver Medal: C: 9.20% average deviation
Bronze Medal: lynxcat: 10.02% average deviation
DJ30: Actual = 13,104.14
Gold Medal: LSUtoOmaha: (Prediction 13,094.62) .07% deviation
Silver Medal: LSURussian: (Prediction 13,250.00) 1.11% deviation
Bronze Medal: PlanoPrivateer: (Prediction 12,800.00) 2.32% deviation
S&P500: Actual = 1,426.19
Gold Medal: C: (Prediction 1,430.00) .27% deviation
Silver Medal: LSU0358: (Prediction 1,400.00) 1.84% deviation
Bronze Medal: Chris Farley: (Prediction 1,480.00) 3.77% deviation
NASDAQ: Actual = 3,019.51
Gold Medal: LSURussian & lynxcat (tie) (Prediction 2,950.00) 2.3% deviation
Bronze Medal: C: (Prediction 3,100.00) 2.67% deviation
EUR/$: Actual = $1.3197
Gold Medal: PlanoPrivateer: (Prediction $1.2500) 5.28% deviation
Silver Medal: LSU0358: (Prediction $1.4000) 6.08% deviation
Bronze Medal: GumboPot: (Prediction $1.23) 6.80% deviation
10 Year Bond: Actual = 1.761%
Gold Medal: LSU0358: (Prediction 1.80%) 2.21% deviation
Silver Medal: ProjectPat: (Prediction 2.0%) 10.73% deviation
Bronze Medal: Tigress & PlanoPrivateer (tie) (Prediction 2.000%) 13.57% deviation
30 Year Bond: Actual = 2.953%
Gold Medal: ProjectPat: (Prediction 2.950%) .10% deviation
Silver Medal: Tigress: (Prediction 3.000%) 1.59% deviation
Bronze Medal: LSU0358 (Prediction 2.8000%) 5.18% deviation
Gold: Actual = $1,675.80/oz
Gold Medal: Zilla: (Prediction $1,650.00) 1.54% deviation
Silver Medal: C & ProjectPat (tie) (Prediction $1,500.00) 10.49% deviation
Silver: Actual = $30.227/oz
Gold Medal: GumboPot: (Prediction $34.00) 12.48%% deviation
Silver Medal: ProjectPat (Prediction $26.00) 13.98%% deviation
Bronze Medal: PlanoPrivateer (Prediction $25.20) 16.63%% deviation
Oil: Actual = 91.82
Gold Medal: LSURussian & Tigress (tie) (Prediction $90.00) 1.982% deviation
Bronze Medal: PlanoPrivateer & Chris Farley (tie) (Prediction $95.00) 3.46% deviation
Best Single Category Prediction: LSUtoOmaha: Dow Jones 30, Prediction of 13,094.62, actual = 13,104.14 for a deviation of .07%!
Worst Single Category Prediction: goodgrin: Silver, Prediction of $65.00/oz, actual = $30.227/oz for a deviation of 115.04%!
Thanks to everyone for playing!
Posted on 12/31/12 at 6:42 pm to LSURussian
Really surprised at the bump oil had over the last few weeks. Was feeling really good about my 85$ prediction...
Posted on 12/31/12 at 10:28 pm to lynxcat
Funny thing, I just added the beginning prices for 2012 to the bottom of the spreadsheet and got a 7.12% deviation... not sure what it really means.
Posted on 1/1/13 at 9:30 am to C
Wouldn't that mean that prices changed by an average of 7.12% since 12/31/11?
Posted on 1/1/13 at 10:04 am to lynxcat
I got 3rd in the only two things I have actual big ETF positions in, S&P and Oil. I'm a wizard.
Posted on 1/1/13 at 11:44 am to LSURussian
Haha I meant what it means as an indication for how we predicted. Are we predicting way to much volatility vs reality?
Posted on 1/10/13 at 7:43 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Gold Medal: ProjectPat: (Prediction 2.950%) .10% deviation
WHIFFED on the market indices.
This post was edited on 1/10/13 at 7:45 pm
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