Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6) | Page 5 | TigerDroppings.com
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LSURussian
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Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
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re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)

I don't know. Never completely trust Bill Gates.

Did you add the percent numbers manually and divide by 9 to see what you get? I'm predicting you won't get what the AVGDEV function results are.


C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
23090 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
yeah even when I changed the individual values to absolutes, it flipped the number to something else. Oh well. live and learn.


C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
23090 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
Oh and I was cautious about using google docs because it may show my actual name. I think I am safe as long as I'm not logged in but if someone can see my name, let me know please.


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LSURussian
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Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
Online

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

yeah even when I changed the individual values to absolutes, it flipped the number to something else. Oh well. live and learn.


For questioning my Excel abilities you are hereby disqualified from winning the Grand Prize.


C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
23090 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
I don't know if I've ever used that function before, so I'm hopeful no serious mistakes were made at work...


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
Online

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

fixed. try now.
Much better.

Did you purposefully omit the oil predictions for Plano and Easter Bunny?


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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
Online

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

I don't know if I've ever used that function before, so I'm hopeful no serious mistakes were made at work...

I've never used it.

I noticed years ago that the financial function for computing duration is a little off, too. Since then I always hand compute at least one range of cells to double check Bill Gates' math.


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LSUtoOmaha
LSU Fan
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
21800 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
C, if you omit by 100% deviation (for putting "lol" next to Nasdaq), what would my total deviation be?


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
Online

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
10.28% average deviation if your non-prediction is ignored.


C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
23090 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
fixed


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
Online

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

fixed

What's fixed?


C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
23090 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
got rid of the "100%" for the people who didn't make a prediction.


goodgrin
LSU Fan
Atlanta, GA
Member since Nov 2003
1249 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

Second highest deviation is goodgrin on the price of silver. He predicted $65.00 and the actual this minute is $31.86 for a deviation of -104.02%.



Yeah, it's been a little disappointing, but I have faith that silver will exceed the measly $65 when the over decade long bull market executes its spectacular blow off bubble. When? I'd give it 2-5 years.

It's possible the spot price of silver will go even lower as the end of the year approaches. Wont' bother me since I'll be cost averaging more physical bullion into my possession.


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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
Online

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
Online

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
With one trading day to go, here are some interim results as of 10:30 AM today:

Overall leaders:
Plano Privateer: 9.33% total deviation
C: 9.72% total deviation
lynxcat: 10.36% total deviation

Stock Market Indices:
DJ30:
LSUtoOmaha: .63% deviation
PlanoPrivateer: 1.64% deviation
LSURussian: 1.82% deviation

S&P500:
LSU0358: .81% deviation
C: 1.32% deviation
EasterBunny & GumboPot (tie): 2.93% deviation

NASDAQ:
LSURussian & lynxcat (tie): .93% deviation
C: 4.11% deviation

Oil:
LSURussian & Tigress (tie): .53% deviation
LSUtoOmaha: 2.74% deviation







The Easter Bunny
Georgia Tech Fan
Member since Jan 2005
42622 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

S&P500:
LSU0358: .81% deviation
C: 1.32% deviation
EasterBunny & GumboPot (tie): 2.93% deviation


Tied for the bronze


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
Online

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


PlanoPrivateer
LSU Fan
Frisco, TX
Member since Jan 2004
1502 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
I say we call, "Ballgame" as of 10:30 this morning. Who's with me?


The Easter Bunny
Georgia Tech Fan
Member since Jan 2005
42622 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

As of now, the largest deviation from actual (any category) is The Easter Bunny on the 10 yr rate. He predicted 3.75% for a deviation of 108.33%


winner winner chicken dinner


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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
85152 posts
Online

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

I say we call, "Ballgame" as of 10:30 this morning. Who's with me?


Gotta play it out!


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