Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6) - Page 6 - TigerDroppings.com

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C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
21105 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


LINK

updated as of a few minutes ago. Still in first






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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
80159 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


You omitted PlanoPrivateer's oil prediction.

When you include it, $95.00, he has the Gold Medal with a deviation of 8.95% to your 9.41%.







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C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
21105 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


Ok just added his. Which price listing are we going to use? Right now we are virtually tied.





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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
80159 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


quote:

Which price listing are we going to use?

CNBC-US Markets: As of 5 PM CST 12/31/12

Overall Best Average Predictions:
Gold Medal: PlanoPrivateer: 9.16% average deviation
Silver Medal: C: 9.20% average deviation
Bronze Medal: lynxcat: 10.02% average deviation

DJ30: Actual = 13,104.14
Gold Medal: LSUtoOmaha: (Prediction 13,094.62) .07% deviation
Silver Medal: LSURussian: (Prediction 13,250.00) 1.11% deviation
Bronze Medal: PlanoPrivateer: (Prediction 12,800.00) 2.32% deviation

S&P500: Actual = 1,426.19
Gold Medal: C: (Prediction 1,430.00) .27% deviation
Silver Medal: LSU0358: (Prediction 1,400.00) 1.84% deviation
Bronze Medal: Chris Farley: (Prediction 1,480.00) 3.77% deviation

NASDAQ: Actual = 3,019.51
Gold Medal: LSURussian & lynxcat (tie) (Prediction 2,950.00) 2.3% deviation
Bronze Medal: C: (Prediction 3,100.00) 2.67% deviation

EUR/$: Actual = $1.3197
Gold Medal: PlanoPrivateer: (Prediction $1.2500) 5.28% deviation
Silver Medal: LSU0358: (Prediction $1.4000) 6.08% deviation
Bronze Medal: GumboPot: (Prediction $1.23) 6.80% deviation

10 Year Bond: Actual = 1.761%
Gold Medal: LSU0358: (Prediction 1.80%) 2.21% deviation
Silver Medal: ProjectPat: (Prediction 2.0%) 10.73% deviation
Bronze Medal: Tigress & PlanoPrivateer (tie) (Prediction 2.000%) 13.57% deviation

30 Year Bond: Actual = 2.953%
Gold Medal: ProjectPat: (Prediction 2.950%) .10% deviation
Silver Medal: Tigress: (Prediction 3.000%) 1.59% deviation
Bronze Medal: LSU0358 (Prediction 2.8000%) 5.18% deviation

Gold: Actual = $1,675.80/oz
Gold Medal: Zilla: (Prediction $1,650.00) 1.54% deviation
Silver Medal: C & ProjectPat (tie) (Prediction $1,500.00) 10.49% deviation

Silver: Actual = $30.227/oz
Gold Medal: GumboPot: (Prediction $34.00) 12.48%% deviation
Silver Medal: ProjectPat (Prediction $26.00) 13.98%% deviation
Bronze Medal: PlanoPrivateer (Prediction $25.20) 16.63%% deviation

Oil: Actual = 91.82
Gold Medal: LSURussian & Tigress (tie) (Prediction $90.00) 1.982% deviation
Bronze Medal: PlanoPrivateer & Chris Farley (tie) (Prediction $95.00) 3.46% deviation

Best Single Category Prediction: LSUtoOmaha: Dow Jones 30, Prediction of 13,094.62, actual = 13,104.14 for a deviation of .07%!


Worst Single Category Prediction: goodgrin: Silver, Prediction of $65.00/oz, actual = $30.227/oz for a deviation of 115.04%!


Thanks to everyone for playing!






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C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
21105 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


Really surprised at the bump oil had over the last few weeks. Was feeling really good about my 85$ prediction...





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lynxcat
Rutgers Fan
Member since Jan 2008
14319 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


I'll take the bronze





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C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
21105 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


Funny thing, I just added the beginning prices for 2012 to the bottom of the spreadsheet and got a 7.12% deviation... not sure what it really means.





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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
80159 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


Wouldn't that mean that prices changed by an average of 7.12% since 12/31/11?





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Chris Farley
Maryland Fan
Regulating
Member since Sep 2009
3637 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


I got 3rd in the only two things I have actual big ETF positions in, S&P and Oil. I'm a wizard.





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C
LSU Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
21105 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


Haha I meant what it means as an indication for how we predicted. Are we predicting way to much volatility vs reality?





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Projectpat
Texas A&M Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
5561 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)


quote:

Gold Medal: ProjectPat: (Prediction 2.950%) .10% deviation




WHIFFED on the market indices.



This post was edited on 1/10 at 7:45 pm


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