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Started By
Message
re: Wendy Davis within single digits in Texas.
Posted on 3/17/14 at 9:57 am to jcole4lsu
Posted on 3/17/14 at 9:57 am to jcole4lsu
quote:
ill gladly ban bet anyone on the Texas governors race. this is a sure fire slam dunk.
i agree that there is almost no way davis wins.
but its not out of the realm of possibility that a democrat could win state wide office.
1
Posted on 3/17/14 at 9:58 am to Hawkeye95
quote:
but its not out of the realm of possibility that a democrat could win state wide office.
that isnt the question, its about Davis. while we are at it, I'll add in this alameel guy too.
Posted on 3/17/14 at 10:00 am to jcole4lsu
i responded to a post that was LOL at texas going blue anytime soon.
Posted on 3/17/14 at 10:03 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:Dude, if you really thing Cruz is at 48% unfavorable in Texas then your must be smoking crack, or live in Austin - one of the two.
i've heard this before. TD.com poli board hates numbers
Posted on 3/17/14 at 10:07 am to Hawkeye95
it wont.
the only Democrat that could win statewide would be a conservative Democrat, likely with military experience and probably with a hispanic background. that is HARDLY "going blue". is LA blue for electing Mary? What about MT, ND, and IN - all fairly conservative states that elect Democrats to state office? i wouldnt call any of them "blue".
Rick Noriega couldnt win a senate seat... if he cant, who can?
the only Democrat that could win statewide would be a conservative Democrat, likely with military experience and probably with a hispanic background. that is HARDLY "going blue". is LA blue for electing Mary? What about MT, ND, and IN - all fairly conservative states that elect Democrats to state office? i wouldnt call any of them "blue".
Rick Noriega couldnt win a senate seat... if he cant, who can?
Posted on 3/17/14 at 10:38 am to Draconian Sanctions
What a cute little poll by Progress Texas. Even in a terribly stacked poll they can only get Davis barely in single digits.
Texas' registration is 45% R and 21% D yet this poll sampled 35.5% for Ds and 43.3% for Rs. I wonder what the spread would look like if they didn't stack it so much for Davis? It is called over sampling and it is done when you know your are going to get your arse kicked but want some form of hope.
Hell, look at the question even in your little poll - Who do you expect to win? Abbott 52.3% Davis 25.1%. So even with the oversampling of Ds they can't get that number up. The Ds in Texas are not going to even show up at the polls and with our voter ID laws they can't cheat.
David has NO CHANCE. But keep trying to say otherwise.
Texas' registration is 45% R and 21% D yet this poll sampled 35.5% for Ds and 43.3% for Rs. I wonder what the spread would look like if they didn't stack it so much for Davis? It is called over sampling and it is done when you know your are going to get your arse kicked but want some form of hope.
Hell, look at the question even in your little poll - Who do you expect to win? Abbott 52.3% Davis 25.1%. So even with the oversampling of Ds they can't get that number up. The Ds in Texas are not going to even show up at the polls and with our voter ID laws they can't cheat.
David has NO CHANCE. But keep trying to say otherwise.
Posted on 3/17/14 at 12:42 pm to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
Democrats have been investing heavily on turnout apparatus around Texas at a time the demographics here are changing
Like directing the chickens to the butcher block?
Posted on 3/17/14 at 1:29 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
Hawkeye95
You clearly know nothing about Texas politics. Texas will not be a blue state anytime soon. /thread
Ann Richards was in a completely different time, and she's quite different from the current democratic party choices. I'm not saying Texas will never vote blue (it wasn't that long ago that California went red), but it will not be a "blue state" for a long time.
Texas is a state where George Bush (GEORGE BUSH!!!) is a complete hero. And you think they are about to turn into a blue state?
Posted on 3/17/14 at 1:33 pm to DallasTiger11
quote:
Texas is a state where George Bush (GEORGE BUSH!!!) is a complete hero. And you think they are about to turn into a blue state?
Oh, I just think its reasonable for texass to go blue for a statewide office or two in the forseeable future.
It won't be "blue" for another 15-20 years.
Posted on 3/17/14 at 1:55 pm to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
owing up in super conservative Louisiana = black and white tv
Austin = color tv
California = HD
ohhhhhh.....now I've got you figured out. You like to take the dem side of arguments because you're a contrarian. You grew up in conservative BR and feel by taking a progressive stance (though not really understanding or caring about the issues) it makes you feel more intelligent. You're a real life Brian Griffin.
Posted on 3/17/14 at 1:57 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
Oh, I just think its reasonable for texass to go blue for a statewide office or two in the forseeable future.
It won't be "blue" for another 15-20 years.
whatever you say, otto.
Posted on 3/17/14 at 1:57 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:Considering it won't be "blue" at any foreseeable point, you are correct, it won't be "blue" for 15-20 years, or 15-20 beyond that.
It won't be "blue" for another 15-20 years.
Posted on 3/17/14 at 2:06 pm to NC_Tigah
NC, you don't think Texas will get more democrat-friendly in the future?
This post was edited on 3/17/14 at 2:08 pm
Posted on 3/17/14 at 2:43 pm to Draconian Sanctions
Davis' primary opponent got over 20% of the votes and won some counties outright.
Davis is a single issue candidate and had a weak showing in the primary because voters wanted to vote for anyone but Abortion Barbie.
Dems need to evolve and be more inclusive of Pro Lifers if they want to have any hope of winning elections. The numbers prove it.
Davis is a single issue candidate and had a weak showing in the primary because voters wanted to vote for anyone but Abortion Barbie.
Dems need to evolve and be more inclusive of Pro Lifers if they want to have any hope of winning elections. The numbers prove it.
Posted on 3/17/14 at 3:00 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:
It won't be "blue" for another 15-20 years.
Give us the reasons why you think it will be "blue" in 15-20 years?
Posted on 3/17/14 at 4:57 pm to Draconian Sanctions
quote:hell no. Austin is almost completely one color-- White. It could use some more soul.
Austin = color tv
Austin ~10%Black.
LA ~32%Black
This post was edited on 3/17/14 at 5:02 pm
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