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re: Nobel Winner to Obama on Global Warming: 'Mr. President, You're Wrong'

Posted on 11/18/16 at 8:00 am to
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
73439 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 8:00 am to
How much is man made?
How much money do you want from me?
How much will it change the outcome?
Posted by Stagg8
Houston
Member since Jan 2005
12986 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 8:01 am to
quote:

The graph shows the rise and falls from the past thousands of years. And every time the temperature peaked, it was almost the same every time before it started cooling again.


You're missing the giant logical misstep. The entire premise of a potential climate change "crisis" hinges on manmade factors which don't come into play at all in the natural warming and cooling cycles they're using as their historical precedent.
Posted by GetmorewithLes
UK Basketball Fan
Member since Jan 2011
19059 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 8:07 am to
quote:

Finally someone who makes sense.


I have had a different approach and response that usually calms people down.

Lets assume Global Warming is real for sake of argument.

Then cause of said problem is CO2 from total fossil fuel use.

Fossil Fuel use is a per capita consumption unit or in other words energy used per person.

The world population has grown in my lifetime from about 4.0 - 4.5 billion in the 60's to about 6.5 billion in 2010's.

Therefore solution to said problem is to exterminate a couple billion people. Do you want to volunteer?

Just let it go and it will take care of itself.
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
24584 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 8:10 am to
quote:

How much is man made?


Right now we have an unprecedented amount of co2 in the air for the amount of time we've had between cycles. It's blatantly being sped up by SOMETHING. It's like seeing a dead body and having a bloody guy standing next to him holding an axe and being like, well you can't PROVE he did it. When he's telling you every year, yeah it's me.

quote:

How much money do you want from me?


Cute. Is this what it boils down to for you simpletons? I don't want your money, I want you to tell your friends around here to stop ignoring pages upon pages of evidence coming out DAILY by multiple research groups all saying the same thing, while singling out this nonsense and giving more and more of you false hope that it's a hoax. All you should do is stop being disengenuous on this and let people on this board know it's happening. Costs you nothing.

quote:

How much will it change the outcome?


Got me there. The NOAA seminar group said it's on a pattern. I think the engineers and scientists working on this issue will happen to find ways to reduce carbon in the atmosphere at some point, but it's the same people you think are making up the hoax. They're out there everyday honest to God trying to help this issue while people google "climate change is a hoax" and acting like it's science. Has the potential to ruin a lot of lives and wildlife, the earth will be fine though, she'll bounce back. Always does.
Posted by Dock Holiday
Member since Sep 2015
1635 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 8:12 am to
Go look at the historical cycles of ice ages on this planet. I'm more worried about my great great great great grandkids freezing to death than some polar bear sweating to death. We are due for an ice age based on those historical cycles, maybe this is the slight bump in warmth before the great chill. Truth is, no one knows!!!
Posted by Stagg8
Houston
Member since Jan 2005
12986 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 8:13 am to
Totally worth the gamble, amirite??
Posted by Scrowe
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2010
2926 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 8:38 am to
quote:

Totally worth the gamble, amirite??


What gamble? How many times have we been doomed to an ice age or a polar melting heat in the past 100 years that hasn't come true? Hurricanes can't be predicted with a 7 day certainty so we're to believe that the climate can be predicted years out?
Posted by Jbird
In Bidenville with EthanL
Member since Oct 2012
73439 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 8:44 am to
quote:

Right now we have an unprecedented amount of co2 in the air for the amount of time we've had between cycles. It's blatantly being sped up by SOMETHING. It's like seeing a dead body and having a bloody guy standing next to him holding an axe and being like, well you can't PROVE he did it. When he's telling you every year, yeah it's me.
So you don't know.

quote:

Cute. Is this what it boils down to for you simpletons? I don't want your money, I want you to tell your friends around here to stop ignoring pages upon pages of evidence coming out DAILY by multiple research groups all saying the same thing, while singling out this nonsense and giving more and more of you false hope that it's a hoax. All you should do is stop being disengenuous on this and let people on this board know it's happening. Costs you nothing.
But we have to do something and that cost money.

quote:

:How much will it change the outcome? Got me there.
SO let me see if I have this right.
You don't know how much is man made
You don't know how much it will cost to fix this unknown.
You also don't know what the outcome spending of unknown dollars will be.

Okay you convinced me!

Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
24584 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 9:03 am to
Why THE frick are you asking me? Go ask a professional. Stop googling what you want to hear. You want a science lesson on TD poliboard? Gtf out of here.
This post was edited on 11/18/16 at 9:06 am
Posted by wt9
Savannah, Ga
Member since Nov 2011
1123 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 9:04 am to
Here is my take on it and probably not far off from most people with science and math background. To convince people to buy into climate change here is what you have to overcome.
1. Money - get the money out of it. To many people stand to make an obscene amount of money on the fact that it it real. Thats it. The common people should be able to understand that it is real and they will fund it. I know ibuprofen helps my headache so I buy it.
1a. Politics - get the politics out of it. I realize researchers will politic their ideas because naturally they want to be right. The world politics should not be in it. Telling other countries what to do and how to do it is not the way. If it is real, the countries will buy into it.
2. To many holes in the research. The research should be able to stand on its own. Too many people can poke holes in it or find data that was selectively added or deleted.
3. Measurement methods - I don't think the methods have the precision needed to really depict the temperature back thousands of years or have enough data points. The last hundred years probably have the precision and we have thousands of different data points across the globe.

No doubt climate change is real weather it is man made or not is the argument. The man made climate change believers should be able to make a better argument.

I am open for you to try and sway me.
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
24584 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 9:16 am to
quote:

No doubt climate change is real weather it is man made or not is the argument. The man made climate change believers should be able to make a better argument.


Right here there's an issue. We had a person bring in a snowball onto the floor LAST YEAR to prove climate change isn't happening. So right there we have a fundamental misunderstanding of what reality is.

The fact is that the science has been saying the same shite for decades, where as the "belief" in climate change is the the shifting entity. The science has been "the earth is warming due to greenhouse gasses being trapped and heat not escaping". Same thing as what an actual greenhouse does. Human activity is adding to that. It's important to remember that this notion has not changed. What has changed is "global warming is a hoax look it's cold in winter". Then "well the science isn't settled humans can't affect the earth" then "yes of course climate change is real lol duh but humans can't affect that" now it's hovering at "climate change is real, the science isn't settled on human activity affecting it". So one side has stood firm while the other has been slowly inching towards it since its inception. I guess we need 10 straight years of the warmest on record to put politics aside here and actually be adults.

I would assume taking al gores name and politics as a whole away from the argument would clear up a lot of things. This is a very headstrong and stubborn group of posters who may actually believe what the science says but too proud to admit it, so what happens is they choose what studies they want to follow. Googling "climate change hoax" isn't how to learn. I've said numorous times there are museums and experts to answer any questions you have on it. Just posting info from some hokey website is the wrong way to go about anything. Just shoot them an email with your concern and question.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67079 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 10:01 am to
No, the issue is on the alarmist side. They went too far with trying to scare people by coming up with these bold predictions like: there will be no snows on Kilimanjaro by 2015. Guess what? It's snowy as hell up there.

They tried to use these scare tactics yet their models were wrong, dead wrong.

They were caught fudging numbers to show a warming trend that the raw data wasn't really showing.

They used an inefficient greenhouse gas that is largely naturally occuring due to volcanic and plant activity as the culperate when we have little to no ability to monitor how much is emitted by man verses nature as their scape goat.

They ignored the ice core and plant records which showed a very weak correlation between CO2 and temperature and a very strong correlation between solar activity and temperature.

They straight up lied or mischaracterized scientists's ooinions while relying on mostly non-subject matter experts to get that false "97% concensus" statistic that they still all parrot as god-given fact.

Their models have been proven wrong over and over and over again because we simply do not understand all of the factors involved and how much each contributes like ocean salinity, the ocean heat sink, oceanic acidification which absorbs carbon, urban hea island effect (cities read hotter than rural areas on temperature data even though the climate is the same just due to the heat retension and emission qualities of concrete and asphalt), variations in solar activity, and on and on and on.

Most of the sea level rise data used to say that all of our coastal cities were in danger were dependant upon melting sea ice RAISING sea levels! Everyone knows that ice is LESS DENSE than water and it displaces water. If that sea ice melts, sea levels will go DOWN not up!

Also, most of these sea level measurements are being taken in areas where the land is naturally subsiding due to flood control and dam structures reducing the amount of settlement replenishing natural deltas. The land is sinking, the ocean isn't rising. While that may be a distinction without a difference for those residing there, it makes a huge difference when one is trying to propose solutions that don't address the actual problem.

That is the problem of global warming alarmism. It seeks to use massive socialist taxation schemes to enact solutions we don't know will help to stop changes we don't understand and cannot even prove are the actual drivers of the problem we cannot even be certain we are experiencing. Insulting others and calling them idiots for questioning questionable science just steels their resolve. Real science doesn't beed a smug elitism to prove its point nor does it require blacklisting researchers who argue a different viewpoint. Science should be all about debate, yet climate change, and only climate change, is all about concensus, and if you're not with the consensus, you must be some uncooth, inbred, anti-science lunatics. They don't say those kinds of things about string-theorists or multi-verse advocates, or em-drive developers, only climate researchers who dare to buck the fabricated "concensus".
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64325 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 10:07 am to
I read the link. I learned that the first recorded name of a human was a Hor.

Figures.
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
24584 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 10:13 am to
So water doesn't expand when heated? Also the melting of grounded (not floating) ice - especially glaciers in Antarctica & Greenland are what causes the ocean levels to rise. the Antarctic ice isn't a sheet of ice floating in the ocean, it's a glacier sitting on land. (There's a continent under that ice.) Much of the south poles ice is what we're more worried about. You're right, if all ice at the caps were just floating around then water levels shouldn't change due to Archimedes principle, but this would be like holding ice cubes over a glass of water as they melt, the water levels will rise. This may be the easiest thing to understand in most of science, but you already knew all this because you've asked experts and been to places where you can ask your questions right?
Posted by wt9
Savannah, Ga
Member since Nov 2011
1123 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 10:25 am to
Tell me how to learn. I google Climate change and I get only sites that are 100% on board that it is man made. I know this from the language used to write the articles not by stating the facts AND using data to back it up.
I go to NASA, it should be a well respected site, right?
Water vapor - most abundant green house gas. Everybody glosses over this. I guess the future H2 cars that exhaust H2O don't help this.
CO2 - respiration and volcano eruptions and through human activities such as deforestation, land use changes, and burning fossil fuels. Tell me how much each one contributes. Climate change supporter push solar. Tell me how much deforestation and loss of CO2 removal in a solar farm versus the amount of CO2 a gas turbine plant adds to the atmosphere for the same energy usage.
Tell me how much burning fossil fuels adds versus a volcano. NASA doesnt do it.
Methane - far worse green house gas but less abundant. OK how much.
This is what kills the argument. There is always a "but" or "very likely" or "mostly". To me the science should be more definitive.
NASA hangs their hat on CO2 levels over the last 400,000 years. Is the testing method the same now as it was in 1950 or today? Could the step change been the method. Why change the method. We have had 100PPM trends before.
NASA references IPCC Policy Report from 2007. Its been almost 10 years anything new???
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
24584 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 10:32 am to
I have never claimed to be an expert, only repeating what made sense to me when I was at the convention last month. Email an institution or try and visit a natural history museum.

LINK

Here's a link to asking climate scientists all skeptical questions. I'm sure there are links where you can get in touch with the professionals in this area. Neil degrades Tyson actually responded to an email I sent the Hayden planetarium website about the movie interstellar. The answers are there, the evidence is there, it should never have been politicized. If you want to find answers, look for them the way you would look for anything, which is NOT by adding 'hoax' or actively looking for websites that are trying to skew data. Hope this helps.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67079 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 11:01 am to
Water is unique in that its solid form is less dense than its liquid form, hence why ice floats in your drink and why icebergs don't cling to the sea floor but bob on the surface of the water. Liquid water and water vaper do expand when heated and condense when cooled, but water ice's unique cristalline structure causes it to expand when it freezes, giving water its unique erosion capabilities.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67079 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 11:03 am to
The sea ice is melting, as is many glaciers in Greenland, but antarctic terrestrial ice is actually not melting. In fact, those glaciers are gaining as antarctica is cooling!
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
24584 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 11:10 am to
While true Antarctica is growing, we're losing sea ice at record pace. This is causing the rise in water levels. You can observe this around the world.

But why, if this is a hoax for money, would these scientists come out and even say contradicting finds on sea ice and water levels? To claim they're fudging data, then reporting their findings when it contradicts something is beyond puzzling. This is where I need an explanation of why you believe the data that supports your beliefs and reject and claim hoax if it doesn't.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67079 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 11:21 am to
If we are primarily losing sea ice, sea levels will drop, not rise! Sea ice displaces more vilune than it would if t were liquid because, ice is less dense than liquid water. It is the exception that proves the rule. That's what I am saying. The sea rise models I have seen parroted over and over by NOAA and the UN use melting sea ice as contributing to rising seas when they should actually cause those levels to drop! This is a fundamental error of basic thermodynamics and phisics built into their models that is resulting in them being wildly innacurate, yet those who call them out for this gross misapplication of factors are labeled as kooks.
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