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re: Nobel Winner to Obama on Global Warming: 'Mr. President, You're Wrong'
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:36 pm to buckeye_vol
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:36 pm to buckeye_vol
Good point. I remember reading that data used by climate scientists included sea Temps collected by the English navy in the 1800's where the collection method was to hurl a bucket over the side of the ship and haul up the water sample with a rope. Temp taken minutes later on deck. Super accurate, right?
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:37 pm to BobBoucher
quote:
You're going to dispute geology and the fossile record? Scientists have been able to figure out past climate conditions by looking at what lived at the time and where. If you're disputing that, you're disputing an entire field of science that has been around a lot longer than the climate change theory.
He just doesn't know how to read a chart. He doesn't understand what that chart is pointing out, or that it does NOT matter what "30 year period" you start from, the measurements RELATIVE to that period reflects the same conclusion. He's using his ignorance in understanding that chart as his argument for it being wrong. You cannot reasonably engage with someone like this.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:39 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
Which I think played a significant role in Trump's victory. Like someone pointed out they "cried wolf" too much, and trying to portray Romney as some bigot and bully was a perfect example.
Bingo. When your evidence of racism consists of nothing but "well, he's different!" it quits mattering. If you go 9 on Mitt, don't be surprised when going 10 on Trump doesn't work. Bill Maher nailed it when he admitted to that a couple weeks ago.
Same thing with climate change. "OK, we were serious before but THIS time we're super serious."
quote:
So even if they are correct about the warming and its negative effects in the future, they've comprised they're going to be taken less seriously because of their history.
Pretty much. The main proponents the public sees are politicians and celebrities. As we saw this election, John Q. Public doesn't trust/like that group.
This post was edited on 11/17/16 at 10:43 pm
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:40 pm to Pinecone Repair
quote:Which only shows what anybody with an understanding of math and statistics would have been able to tell them: predicting future events is hard and highly uncertain. Just like the models that gave Clinton a >95% chance of winning; even if she was a clear favorite, the future is too complex for that level of certainty.
They have the best equipment and are able to measure precisely and still fail to accurately predict anything.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:41 pm to Stagg8
Al Gore won a Nobel for his work on climate change, but his predictions were not just wrong but pantently false. So how do you discredit a Nobel prize winner in another discipline who is at least a scientist versus Al I need an finger in my arse Gore
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:43 pm to StrangeBrew
quote:
Al Gore won a Nobel for his work on climate change, but his predictions were not just wrong but pantently false. So how do you discredit a Nobel prize winner in another discipline who is at least a scientist versus Al I need an finger in my arse Gore
If you read my posts, you'll see I've already covered this exact topic (i.e. Nobels awarded to non-scientists).
This post was edited on 11/17/16 at 10:44 pm
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:46 pm to Vacherie Saint
quote:And while I think this highlights obvious flaws on their arguments, especially their bravado, I dislike that we've resorted to countering it with the same level of bravado in the opposite direction.
Good point. I remember reading that data used by climate scientists included sea Temps collected by the English navy in the 1800's where the collection method was to hurl a bucket over the side of the ship and haul up the water sample with a rope. Temp taken minutes later on deck. Super accurate, right?
Science is an inherently self-correcting process and relies on alternative hypotheses, even if they are only subtly different. Neither side seems to be practicing much science anymore, at least those who are given a voice.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:50 pm to BobBoucher
Instead of throwing government around as the solution to everything, try this.
If you REALLY BELIEVE the world will be destroyed by pollution, come up with a real solution as a private entity. Come up with a real marketable replacement for fossil fuels or a way to clean emissions that people actually want, and SELL IT. Make that money.
If you REALLY BELIEVE the world will be destroyed by pollution, come up with a real solution as a private entity. Come up with a real marketable replacement for fossil fuels or a way to clean emissions that people actually want, and SELL IT. Make that money.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:50 pm to philter
quote:
He just doesn't know how to read a chart. He doesn't understand what that chart is pointing out, or that it does NOT matter what "30 year period" you start from, the measurements RELATIVE to that period reflects the same conclusion. He's using his ignorance in understanding that chart as his argument for it being wrong. You cannot reasonably engage with someone like this.
I'm 100% MAGA. My point in posting that chart is because the science is against the Republican party line, and it's getting to the point that people look foolish for dismissing it outright. Its going to have to accept it at some point. I hope the GOP puts aside the painful politics of it at some point and faces the likelihood that they are on the wrong side of some pretty solid nonpartisan science.
This post was edited on 11/17/16 at 10:52 pm
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:52 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
Science is an inherently self-correcting process and relies on alternative hypotheses, even if they are only subtly different. Neither side seems to be practicing much science anymore, at least those who are given a voice.
Plus the "bucket of water" method is not even remotely close to what scientists are using to measure temperature deviations over time. They use multiple ice core samples from around the globe and compare isotopes, which have been shown to be linearly accurate across all testing.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:52 pm to Srbtiger06
quote:Yeah. They used up their goodwill. My hope is that Trump, regardless of his views, pivots from his campaign rhetoric and really does become and stay "presidential" throughout.
If you go 9 on Mitt, don't be surprised when going 10 on Trump doesn't work.
And whether his future policies prove to be good or bad, disconfirming the left's dire predictions of his "views," will hopefully go a long way to focusing future elections on policies.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:54 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:So you've heard both sides claim "the science is settled"?
I dislike that we've resorted to countering it with the same level of bravado in the opposite direction.
Because I've not heard that from both sides.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:04 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:
So you've heard both sides claim "the science is settled"?
This is what bugs me. Anyone who has ever taken a college level knows that there is precious little 'settled science'. Everything is a theory, and there are very few provable 'laws'. Science should be inherently skeptical, and question everything, including 'settled science'. Rigged publications, excluding counter arguments like the climate 'journals' do should be viewed with extreme skepticism. Add in the previous data manipulation and you can see why many actual scientists do not believe the data.
If they have the goods then why have they had to fake the data?
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:07 pm to philter
quote:I'm not question whether they are valid, I'm questioning their precision and reliability as it relates to arguments and precision that rely on a high levels of precision.
They use multiple ice core samples from around the globe and compare isotopes, which have been shown to be linearly accurate across all testing.
In other words, I'm not arguing that they discredit the theory, I'm arguing that they create uncertainty in the extent of the theory--causation and prediction in particular.
For example, one could see that humans have gotten faster on the 100 meter dash by comparing times from Olympic games across the last century.
However, if I was going to make precise predictions about the trend, the hand-timed clocks that measured 1/5th of a second in the early would have substantially more error than the fully automatic timing that can measure to <1/100th of a second.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:08 pm to buckeye_vol
Science shouldn't have a "side", but isn't that inherently the problem?
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:08 pm to Stagg8
quote:
when he's going head-to-head (contrarily) with a huge number of other very, very bright folks who actually live in the realm of climate science; you have to take pause.
Climate Alarmists have been wrong about virtually everything
The 1975 Newsweek article entitled “The Cooling World,” which claimed Earth’s temperature had been plunging for decades due to humanity’s activities, opens as follows:
There are ominous signs that the Earth’s weather patterns have begun to change dramatically and that these changes may portend a drastic decline in food production — with serious political implications for just about every nation on Earth. The drop in food output could begin quite soon, perhaps only 10 years from now. The regions destined to feel its impact are the great wheat-producing lands of Canada and the U.S.S.R. in the North, along with a number of marginally self-sufficient tropical areas — parts of India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indochina and Indonesia — where the growing season is dependent upon the rains brought by the monsoon.
The evidence in support of these predictions has now begun to accumulate so massively that meteorologists are hard-pressed to keep up with it. In England, farmers have seen their growing season decline by about two weeks since 1950, with a resultant overall loss in grain production estimated at up to 100,000 tons annually.
The article quotes dire statistics from the National Academy of Sciences, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Center for Climatic and Environmental Assessment, Columbia University, and the University of Wisconsin Madison to indicate how dire the global cooling was, and would be.
Among the top global-cooling theorists were Obama’s current “science czar” John Holdren and Paul Ehrlich, the author of Population Bomb, which predicted mass starvation worldwide. In the 1971 textbook Global Ecology, the duo warned that overpopulation and pollution would produce a new ice age, claiming that human activities are “said to be responsible for the present world cooling trend.” The pair fingered “jet exhausts” and “man-made changes in the reflectivity of the earth’s surface through urbanization, deforestation, and the enlargement of deserts” as potential triggers for his new ice age. They worried that the man-made cooling might produce an “outward slumping in the Antarctic ice cap” and “generate a tidal wave of proportions unprecedented in recorded history.” Holdren predicted that a billion people would die in “carbon-dioxide induced famines” as part of a new “Ice Age” by the year 2020.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:10 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:I haven't heard that from not sides. And the "settled science" statement is patently unscientific.
So you've heard both sides claim "the science is settled"?
Because I've not heard that from both sides.
BUT I've heard both sides argue absolute certainty; that bothers me too--although probably less than "settled science."
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:14 pm to Vacherie Saint
quote:For sure. But I don't mind hypotheses that fall on one side of some (probably imaginary) divide or the other.
Science shouldn't have a "side", but isn't that inherently the problem?
So naturally scientists will be on one side of the other, but both "sides" should be searching for the objective truth, wherever it lies.
Instead they are only searching for information that supports their side. That's not science.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:14 pm to philter
Hasn't it been established that the ice core samples show carbon levels following temp increases, and not the opposite? Rise in temp causing the ocean to emit carbon...
Either way 0.8k is nothing over that time frame considering what we know about historic climate variations. The scientist in the OP is dead on.
Either way 0.8k is nothing over that time frame considering what we know about historic climate variations. The scientist in the OP is dead on.
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:21 pm to Stagg8
Obama winning the Nobel prize was the equivalent of Kaitlyn Jenner winning an espy or whatever stupid fricking award "it" won
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