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Started By
Message
Official MT: Predict 12/31/2015 market prices (Predictions locked!)
Posted on 1/5/15 at 7:54 pm
Posted on 1/5/15 at 7:54 pm
Predict where the markets will be Dec 31, 2015!
To be eligible for the Grand Prize at the end of the year, you must make a prediction in each of the categories below. You can choose to not make a prediction in some of the categories and still be eligible to win the individual categories you do predict but not the overall championship.
Winners in individual categories will be decided by having a prediction with the smallest deviation from the actual 2015 year end prices. The overall winner will be determined by having the smallest average deviation from actual prices for all the categories below.
All predictions must be posted by 8:00 PM, January 14, 2014 and no edits to predictions after that date are allowed.
We will use the market data provided by the CNN Money website for our prices.
The prediction categories and their values as of this post are:
S&P 500 Index: 2,020.58
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,995.25
Apple Computer (AAPL): $106.25
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $144.39
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $210.09
Euro/$: 1.1943
Bitcoin/$: 272.67
Ruble/$: .0162
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.04%
Gold/Oz: $1,203.40
Silver/Oz: $16.16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $50.11
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $2.93
Live Cattle/lb: $1.6642
I'll be making my predictions in a follow-up post.
Good luck everyone!
To be eligible for the Grand Prize at the end of the year, you must make a prediction in each of the categories below. You can choose to not make a prediction in some of the categories and still be eligible to win the individual categories you do predict but not the overall championship.
Winners in individual categories will be decided by having a prediction with the smallest deviation from the actual 2015 year end prices. The overall winner will be determined by having the smallest average deviation from actual prices for all the categories below.
All predictions must be posted by 8:00 PM, January 14, 2014 and no edits to predictions after that date are allowed.
We will use the market data provided by the CNN Money website for our prices.
The prediction categories and their values as of this post are:
S&P 500 Index: 2,020.58
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,995.25
Apple Computer (AAPL): $106.25
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $144.39
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $210.09
Euro/$: 1.1943
Bitcoin/$: 272.67
Ruble/$: .0162
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.04%
Gold/Oz: $1,203.40
Silver/Oz: $16.16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $50.11
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $2.93
Live Cattle/lb: $1.6642
I'll be making my predictions in a follow-up post.
Good luck everyone!
This post was edited on 1/15/15 at 2:14 am
25
Posted on 1/5/15 at 8:01 pm to C
quote:
(AAPL): $561.02
Posted on 1/5/15 at 10:05 pm to LSURussian
Thanks.
Posted on 1/6/15 at 6:29 am to C
Are we not doing Dow and Nasdaq 
Posted on 1/6/15 at 7:13 am to Lsut81
quote:
Are we not doing Dow and Nasdaq
I wanted to diversify.
Posted on 1/6/15 at 7:34 am to C
S&P 500 Index: 2,100
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $125
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $150
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $150
Euro/$: $1.25
Bitcoin/$: $13.00
Ruble/$: .018
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.10%
Gold/Oz: $1,000
Silver/Oz: $18.00
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $80.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.50
Live Cattle/lb: $2.00
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $125
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $150
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $150
Euro/$: $1.25
Bitcoin/$: $13.00
Ruble/$: .018
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.10%
Gold/Oz: $1,000
Silver/Oz: $18.00
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $80.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.50
Live Cattle/lb: $2.00
Posted on 1/6/15 at 7:56 am to C
quote:
S&P 500 Index: 2,400.00
Japan Nikkei Index: 20,050.00
Apple Computer (AAPL): $127.00
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $128.00
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $195.00
Euro/$: 1.10
Bitcoin/$: 5.00
Ruble/$: .015
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.43%
Gold/Oz: $900.00
Silver/Oz: $11.15
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $72.50
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $2.99
Live Cattle/lb: $1.99
Posted on 1/6/15 at 8:07 am to C
quote:
S&P 500 Index: 1,950.00
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,500.
Apple Computer (AAPL): $115.00
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $170.25
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $195.25
Euro/$: 1.39
Bitcoin/$: 246.95
Ruble/$: .0185
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.09%
Gold/Oz: $1,360.00
Silver/Oz: $17.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $72.25
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.05
Live Cattle/lb: $1.85
Posted on 1/6/15 at 3:13 pm to C
S&P 500 Index: 2,150
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $100
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $110
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $325
Euro/$: .99
Bitcoin/$: 99
Ruble/$: .0123
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.33%
Gold/Oz: $1,500
Silver/Oz: $20
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $60
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $2.75
Live Cattle/lb: $1.75
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $100
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $110
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $325
Euro/$: .99
Bitcoin/$: 99
Ruble/$: .0123
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.33%
Gold/Oz: $1,500
Silver/Oz: $20
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $60
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $2.75
Live Cattle/lb: $1.75
This post was edited on 1/14/15 at 10:04 am
Posted on 1/6/15 at 3:47 pm to C
S&P 500 Index: 2,190
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,500
Apple Computer (AAPL): $115
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $135
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $200
Euro/$: 1.2
Bitcoin/$: 100
Ruble/$: 0.02
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.45%
Gold/Oz: $1,260
Silver/Oz: $17
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $75
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.15
Live Cattle/lb: $1.75
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,500
Apple Computer (AAPL): $115
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $135
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $200
Euro/$: 1.2
Bitcoin/$: 100
Ruble/$: 0.02
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.45%
Gold/Oz: $1,260
Silver/Oz: $17
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $75
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.15
Live Cattle/lb: $1.75
Posted on 1/6/15 at 4:51 pm to C
S&P 500 Index: 2275.08
Japan Nikkei Index: 19000.25
Apple Computer (AAPL): $134.5
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $122
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $250
Euro/$: 1.15
Bitcoin/$: 5
Ruble/$: .022
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,005
Silver/Oz: $13.68
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $65
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.35
Live Cattle/lb: $1.30
Japan Nikkei Index: 19000.25
Apple Computer (AAPL): $134.5
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $122
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $250
Euro/$: 1.15
Bitcoin/$: 5
Ruble/$: .022
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,005
Silver/Oz: $13.68
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $65
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.35
Live Cattle/lb: $1.30
Posted on 1/6/15 at 11:57 pm to C
S&P 500 Index: 2,120.58
Japan Nikkei Index: 14,995.25
Apple Computer (AAPL): $100.25
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $134.39
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $250.09
Euro/$: 1.1743
Bitcoin/$: 252.67
Ruble/$: .0152
10 YR Bond Yield: 1.94%
Gold/Oz: $1,253.40
Silver/Oz: $17.16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $55.11
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.33
Live Cattle/lb: $1.7642
Japan Nikkei Index: 14,995.25
Apple Computer (AAPL): $100.25
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $134.39
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $250.09
Euro/$: 1.1743
Bitcoin/$: 252.67
Ruble/$: .0152
10 YR Bond Yield: 1.94%
Gold/Oz: $1,253.40
Silver/Oz: $17.16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $55.11
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.33
Live Cattle/lb: $1.7642
Posted on 1/7/15 at 9:40 am to C
By the way - thanks for running this. 
You have some big shoes to fill, thanks Russian for the previous years.
Yeah, I'm a suck up but it doesn't work as well on this board as in the real world.
You have some big shoes to fill, thanks Russian for the previous years.
Yeah, I'm a suck up but it doesn't work as well on this board as in the real world.
Posted on 1/7/15 at 9:45 am to PlanoPrivateer
quote:
I'm a suck up
I do take bribes. I doubt anyone is going to check my number that hard...
Posted on 1/7/15 at 4:39 pm to C
S&P 500 Index: 2,152
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,374
Apple Computer (AAPL): $121.44
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $161.39
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $187.25
Euro/$: 1.16
Bitcoin/$: 180.17
Ruble/$: .022
10 YR Bond Yield: 1.92%
Gold/Oz: $1,132.63
Silver/Oz: $14.98
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $58.29
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.85
Live Cattle/lb: $1.63
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,374
Apple Computer (AAPL): $121.44
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $161.39
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $187.25
Euro/$: 1.16
Bitcoin/$: 180.17
Ruble/$: .022
10 YR Bond Yield: 1.92%
Gold/Oz: $1,132.63
Silver/Oz: $14.98
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $58.29
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.85
Live Cattle/lb: $1.63
Posted on 1/9/15 at 6:40 am to C
S&P 500 Index: 2,300
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $95
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $180
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $150
Euro/$: 1.3
Bitcoin/$: 150
Ruble/$: .02
10 YR Bond Yield: 3
Gold/Oz: $1,250
Silver/Oz: $18
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $42
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4
Live Cattle/lb: $1.3
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $95
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $180
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $150
Euro/$: 1.3
Bitcoin/$: 150
Ruble/$: .02
10 YR Bond Yield: 3
Gold/Oz: $1,250
Silver/Oz: $18
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $42
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4
Live Cattle/lb: $1.3
Posted on 1/9/15 at 7:45 am to C
S&P 500 Index: 2,257.42
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,180.00
Apple Computer (AAPL): $127.50
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $178.75
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $193.75
Euro/$: 1.2307
Bitcoin/$: 115.00
Ruble/$: .0243
10 YR Bond Yield: 1.58%
Gold/Oz: $1,116.40
Silver/Oz: $14.80
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $50.11
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $2.93
Live Cattle/lb: $1.6642
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,180.00
Apple Computer (AAPL): $127.50
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $178.75
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $193.75
Euro/$: 1.2307
Bitcoin/$: 115.00
Ruble/$: .0243
10 YR Bond Yield: 1.58%
Gold/Oz: $1,116.40
Silver/Oz: $14.80
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $50.11
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $2.93
Live Cattle/lb: $1.6642
Posted on 1/12/15 at 9:55 am to C
S&P 500 Index: 2,200
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,300
Apple Computer (AAPL): $125.00
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $155.50
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $150.00
Euro/$: 1.25
Bitcoin/$: 164.00
Ruble/$: .013
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.00%
Gold/Oz: $1,100.00
Silver/Oz: $14.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $60.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.95
Live Cattle/lb: $1.25
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,300
Apple Computer (AAPL): $125.00
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $155.50
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $150.00
Euro/$: 1.25
Bitcoin/$: 164.00
Ruble/$: .013
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.00%
Gold/Oz: $1,100.00
Silver/Oz: $14.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $60.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.95
Live Cattle/lb: $1.25
Posted on 1/12/15 at 4:26 pm to C
Gold/Oz: $1,750.00
Silver/Oz: $29.60
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $65.00
These are the only three I care about on the list.
Silver/Oz: $29.60
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $65.00
These are the only three I care about on the list.
Posted on 1/12/15 at 4:50 pm to C
S&P 500 Index: 1,950
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $125
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $90
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $150
Euro/$: 1.2
Bitcoin/$: 250
Ruble/$: .015
10 YR Bond Yield: 1.90%
Gold/Oz: $1,100
Silver/Oz: $16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $60
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3
Live Cattle/lb: $1.7
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $125
Wynn Resorts (WYNN): $90
Tesla Motors (TSLA): $150
Euro/$: 1.2
Bitcoin/$: 250
Ruble/$: .015
10 YR Bond Yield: 1.90%
Gold/Oz: $1,100
Silver/Oz: $16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $60
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3
Live Cattle/lb: $1.7
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