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Games That Could Help LSU - Bringing It Home Edition

Posted on 5/24/14 at 9:53 am
Posted by ffishstik
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
4128 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 9:53 am
Beat Florida! - This one is obvious, but a win today puts LSU at 9 wins in the last 10 games, gives them another win against the RPI top 25, exacts a little revenge on a team that swept them earlier in the year and, of course, gives them the SEC Tournament Championship and automatic NCAA bid. This really should be enough at this point to make all of the other games irrelevant, but we'll look at a few more to be safe. A loss gives the selection committee an excuse to put Ole Miss in.

UTSA over Rice - Rice is still ahead of LSU in WN and Boyd's. I think an LSU win gives them enough of a bump to pass Rice, but a Rice loss to UTSA makes it a certainty.

Louisville over Houston - This one is insurance. Houston is sitting right behind LSU in RPI, so a Houston win and an LSU loss would move Houston ahead.

USC over Oregon - Not a big deal for LSU directly, but it could help a little. USC is RPI #66 and a loss to them would give Oregon State 3 losses in their last 4 games. Oregon State currently has the #6 RPI. A loss here and LSU may be able to overtake them. They also currently ranked #1 in the country with ULL at #2, so ULL may very well be the #1 team in the country going into to tournament.

ULL over UT Arlington - LSU RPI and perception bump.

Ok St. over TCU - Most of the folks here on the board that the Big 12 will get a National Seed no matter what happens. Ok St is higher ranked but lower in RPI (18) while TCU is still hovering around 12 in the RPI. A win would make Ok St the lock for that seed as the regular season and tourney champs and would drop TCU enough to keep them from being a threat to LSU.

Indiana over Nebraska - Hardly worth mentioning, but Indiana has more common oponents with LSU. They played Purdue and Nebraska did not. That could conceivably help LSU's OOC SOS a bit. A Nebraska loss may help a few of LSU's conference foes move up in RPI a little, but not enough to be overly concerned with. Indiana is probably a top 8 lock regardless of the outcome.
This post was edited on 5/25/14 at 10:40 am
Posted by AtlantaLSUfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2009
23020 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 10:09 am to
This is really well done

If Texas wins the Big12 it could possibly cost TCU/OSU their national seed.
Posted by Sir Cumfrence
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
883 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 10:12 am to
Much thanks for this.

But most importantly, LSU just needs to win.
Posted by AtlantaLSUfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2009
23020 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 10:16 am to
TNtiger points out (Morning games thread) that we need Uconn to beat Temple so that Houston doesn't get to play in the AAC finals.
Posted by Godfather1
What WAS St George, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
79615 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 10:18 am to
Solid analysis as always, my bro.

Heading over to the yard in about 1/2 hour.
Posted by Spankum
Miss-sippi
Member since Jan 2007
55979 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:12 am to
Damn good summary...
Posted by ffishstik
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
4128 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:38 am to
quote:

TNtiger points out (Morning games thread) that we need Uconn to beat Temple so that Houston doesn't get to play in the AAC finals.



That's true, but no guarantee on whether or not that helps or hurts LSU. It could help Houston in the eyes of the committee that Houston made it to the finals, but if they lose in the finals, it could actually hurt their RPI and help LSU. Of course, if they win the tourney, that's a big plus on their resume. Let's give the nod to TNTiger and pull for UConn to keep Houston from having that opportunity.

Also, and this is REALLY splitting hairs, but Florida State played more games against the SEC than Virginia did. Since both are locks for top 8 seeds, a win by FSU would be better for us.
Posted by ffishstik
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
4128 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:40 am to
Have fun, G! Wish I was there again this year, but I'll settle for the Box next weekend. Happy to see Nola pitch at home at least one more time!
Posted by TN_Tigers
West Tennessee
Member since Feb 2013
7193 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:40 am to
Yeah its hard to tell on that..Louisville has to have 2 things happen to even make the title game..that would be the only good win in the title game for Houston.

And its looking like Houston will advance because Temple is hitting the cover off the ball up 9-2 in the 5th.
Posted by ffishstik
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
4128 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:47 am to
It's crazy that we're this interested in games in these minor conferences, but they could matter!

I was genuinely pissed earlier when Duke had the bases loaded with no outs against Miami and only managed a single run.
Posted by BackInBlackTiger
Member since Mar 2014
2309 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

If Texas wins the Big12 it could possibly cost TCU/OSU their national seed.

This is true. TCU swept Texas during the regular season but Texas RPI is still very high. Could prove very costly to the Big12 if UT wins the tournament
Posted by ffishstik
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
4128 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 12:37 pm to
This is a tough one, but I still think that the Big 12 gets 1 top 8 National seed. Would really like to see TCU or Texas fall behind LSU in RPI.
Posted by geaux tiger 2009
Member since Jun 2012
63 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 1:30 pm to
Geaux Tigers
Posted by tygerboy17
NYC
Member since Nov 2009
1365 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 1:31 pm to
Duke hits a 2 run bomb in the bottom of the 9th to tie the game with Miami 4-4!

Posted by tigger42day
Just south of Mizery
Member since Oct 2004
7123 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 3:27 pm to
Texas loses to Okie State
Posted by Dr. Shultz
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Jun 2013
6391 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 3:44 pm to
How's te duke Miami game going
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
26233 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 4:04 pm to
Miami won in 12.

You never know, but many feel Miami is probably not gonna get a national seed regardless. We could have removed all doubt with a duke win, but regardless I still don't think they're getting a NS
Posted by Tigercoop40
Northwest Arkansas
Member since Apr 2006
7539 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 4:05 pm to
SLU just beat UCA to win the Southland
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
26233 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 4:06 pm to
We need another Texas loss tonight would be nice
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
37572 posts
Posted on 5/24/14 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

SLU just beat UCA to win the Southland



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