1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter | TigerDroppings.com

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TJG210
LSU Fan
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
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1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter



A pretty light card again today......but should be some decent values on the college side.

A couple I'm looking at early:
Iowa +11.5
Louisville -11.5
Kentucky -4



This post was edited on 1/22 at 11:48 pm



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21JumpStreet
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Jul 2012
4624 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter








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memphstigers23
Ole Miss Fan
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


quote:

I may be cashing out and quitting soon.

RA'd






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NOLA1128
LSU Fan
Camp Lejeune, NC
Member since Dec 2011
1112 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


I'm loving Kansas -3.5.


This post was edited on 1/22 at 10:18 am


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TJG210
LSU Fan
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
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re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


Added:
Wisconsin -6






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lsumailman61
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Gulf Shores
Member since Oct 2006
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re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


I'm seeing the Kansas/K St game isn't televised. Top 15 matchup and both teams are undefeated in conference.





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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


Moneylines: NC State -340, Pitt -245, UK -185.

I'm on all three of these.

I may toss down a little on Kentucky ATS as well.






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threeputt
Notre Dame Fan
God's Country
Member since Sep 2008
21743 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


I love love love tulane +13





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TJG210
LSU Fan
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
22416 posts
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re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


Yikes......last time I touched Tulane was against that awful UTEP team and it cost me a shot at a 11 team parlay.......not sure if I want to stick my hand to that hot stove again.





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23hvlhoff94
Oklahoma Fan
Houston, Norman
Member since Jan 2013
553 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


quote:

.last time I touched Tulane


That was just an awful night overall






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23hvlhoff94
Oklahoma Fan
Houston, Norman
Member since Jan 2013
553 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


I think the thread title might be premature, Mac tweeted he won't be updating blog/twitter but picks will still be posted here





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maclauer
Georgia Fan
Member since Nov 2011
4019 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


Some notes...

I stayed up pretty late last night making my system as automated as possible. I think the changes should lead to better results -- less judgment on my part. Making it more automated and quitting the twitter and blog should make it less burdensome.

Only playing the totals and tailing dg has taken some of the fun out of gambling lately. I'm going to bring back sides and be pickier about what is the threshold for being a play or not.

Yesterday was the one month anniversary of the system totals; they picked up over 55 units in the month. Probably could have been better if not for this past weekend's trip and me having almost no time to cap between Christmas and New Years.

I'm interested to see what dg and I can do combined between now and 2/22. Call it our own joint-venture TD version of 30 units in 30 days (but we promise not to start charging for picks after that ).

The improved system has the same premise, but is quite different. I'm going to wipe my record clean and see how it does in the next month, then I'll merge the records.
Current YTD..
totals: 111-76-8 (59.4%), +55.6 units
sides: 52-46-3 (53.1%), +1.5 units






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23hvlhoff94
Oklahoma Fan
Houston, Norman
Member since Jan 2013
553 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


CHANGE THE THREAD TITLE MAC IS HERE TO STAY AND MAKE US $$$$$

And I'm cool with 30 units in 30 days



This post was edited on 1/22 at 11:44 am


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21JumpStreet
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Jul 2012
4624 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter








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memphstigers23
Ole Miss Fan
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


tl;dr











you know I'm jokin Mac






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maclauer
Georgia Fan
Member since Nov 2011
4019 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


1 unit totals:
LAC 1Q under 50.5
DET 3Q under 48
LAC 4Q under 49

2 unit totals:
LAC 2Q over 50

1 unit sides:
CLE 1H +2.5
MIL 1H -3.5
MIL 1Q -2

2 unit sides:
DET 1Q -1.5
DET 1H -3






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maclauer
Georgia Fan
Member since Nov 2011
4019 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


I should note, the system is similar to the old one but it is different.

I'm not sure how big of a difference in results there will be between 1 unit and 2 unit plays...






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bamafan425
Alabama Fan
Member since Jan 2009
23681 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


Total rebuild or built off the old one?





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maclauer
Georgia Fan
Member since Nov 2011
4019 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


quote:

Total rebuild or built off the old one?

Built off the old one. I noticed teams with shitty defenses had been killing my system. Defensive efficiency and FTs allowed are now more of a factor than before.

As for sides, I will only play 1Qs and 1Hs before the game and 3Qs and 2Hs for in-games. I doubt anyone remembers besides me, but sides used to either nail games or completely whiff on them (i.e., go 3-0 or 0-3 in a game). It made the good nights great and the bad ones disastrous.

Sides are very similar to what they used to be, but home-court is factored more heavily and public consensus plays a role now (i.e., backing off a square bet).






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maclauer
Georgia Fan
Member since Nov 2011
4019 posts

re: 1/22/2013 Basketball Bet Thread: Do not enter


And if you're wondering why I released early, take a look at the Cavs 1H line now. I thought that game smelled like RLM even before the RLM took place.

Also, I expect Pistons -5 to settle at -5.5.







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