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re: Was it possible for the South to win the Civil War?

Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:41 am to
Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
8906 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:41 am to
They were winning in the East. At no point in the war could the South ever have been said to be winning in the West. It was only varying degrees of losing for them there.

The South gave as good as they got in a hundred-mile strip of land between D.C. and Richmond. Everywhere else, the Civil War was more or less a disaster for them.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36030 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:44 am to
quote:

They were winning until Gettysburg


In the East, but elsewhere things weren't so good.

For obvious reasons people focus on the East and in particular RE Lee, but losing the Mississippi River, Tenn and having large Union armies and their gunboats poised to invade the South's heartland wasn't a good position to be in.

Like someone said earlier, Shiloh doesn't get its due. A Rebel win there and things are very different. Grant is humbled and the North would still have been on the outside looking in. By winning Shiloh the North was able to eventually seize Vicksburg, all of Tenn and launch operations into Ga.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
51274 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:46 am to
quote:


Obviously we'll never know, but everything was going well for the South up to Gettysburg and then it went all downhill after that.


Only in that theater of the war was it going well. It was going horribly for the South everywhere else.
Posted by Tchefuncte Tiger
Bat'n Rudge
Member since Oct 2004
57220 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:47 am to
Yes. Had the Union lost at Gettysburg things may have ended differently. Pickett's Charge doomed the Confederate cause.
Posted by Pax Regis
Alabama
Member since Sep 2007
12934 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:49 am to
Well considering it damn near happened - yes.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
51274 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:49 am to
quote:

Pickett's Charge doomed the Confederate cause.



Gettysburg was lost before Pickett's Charge. Lee should have retreated after his army failed to secure the high ground in the early moments of the battle.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98775 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:51 am to
Yes, but not alone. They had to have European assistance (preferably British) for material support and naval assistance to break the blockade.

Problem the South had was that the British people would not support the support of a slave nation (after having abolished in 30 years before) and because Egypt was a nice new source of cotton so that the South was not as necessary.

If the South had vowed (and actually passed legislation) to abolish slavery within 10 years, they would have received European assistance and won the war.
Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
8906 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:52 am to
Pickett's Charge was not going to reclaim Tennessee and Kentucky, reopen communications across the Mississippi, and lift a crippling naval blockade, no matter how successful it was.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
51274 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Pickett's Charge was not going to reclaim Tennessee and Kentucky, reopen communications across the Mississippi, and lift a crippling naval blockade, no matter how successful it was.



Not to mention the Southern government was pretty tyrannical during the war, and Jefferson Davis was a mediocre president.
This post was edited on 1/13/17 at 9:57 am
Posted by austin2015
Member since Feb 2015
560 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:57 am to
Not a chance


quote:

You people of the South don't know what you are doing. This country will be drenched in blood, and God only knows how it will end. It is all folly, madness, a crime against civilization! You people speak so lightly of war; you don't know what you're talking about. War is a terrible thing! You mistake, too, the people of the North. They are a peaceable people but an earnest people, and they will fight, too. They are not going to let this country be destroyed without a mighty effort to save it... Besides, where are your men and appliances of war to contend against them? The North can make a steam engine, locomotive, or railway car; hardly a yard of cloth or pair of shoes can you make. You are rushing into war with one of the most powerful, ingeniously mechanical, and determined people on Earth—right at your doors. You are bound to fail. Only in your spirit and determination are you prepared for war. In all else you are totally unprepared, with a bad cause to start with. At first you will make headway, but as your limited resources begin to fail, shut out from the markets of Europe as you will be, your cause will begin to wane. If your people will but stop and think, they must see in the end that you will surely fail.
Posted by Mootsman
Charlotte, NC
Member since Oct 2012
6024 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:58 am to
Had Nathan Bedford Forrest's talents been recognized and utilized the south would have easily pulled it out.
Posted by KSCC
Member since Mar 2016
128 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 9:58 am to
I think Shelby Foote put it best - the North essentially fought the war with one hand tied behind its back. The North wasn't nearly as committed to the war in terms of percentage of total manpower / resources as the South was. For the Confederacy, it truly was 100% all in. Had the South had a lot more successes than they actually did, then Lincoln would have had to "pull out the other hand".
This post was edited on 1/13/17 at 9:59 am
Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
8906 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 10:10 am to
I really enjoy playing military strategy games. Any time I've played a strategic-level simulation of the Civil War as the South, my first act is always to look at the West and think, "How the hell am I supposed to defend all of that with this handful of men?"
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
22732 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 10:15 am to
quote:

I'm looking for more if y'all have any recommendations


Same here. I was thinking of picking up Gods and Generals and The Killer Angels. Any other suggestions?
Posted by KSCC
Member since Mar 2016
128 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 10:31 am to
I'm in the middle of Foote's 3 volume narrative ( Amazon).

It's an ambitious project even to read at 3000 pages. However the level of detail is stunning. Not only what happened, but what officers were thinking was about to happen, only to be incorrect on several occasions.
Posted by TbirdSpur2010
ALAMO CITY
Member since Dec 2010
134026 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 10:33 am to
Quite possible. Even probable by many indicators.

So fricking glad the South's bid failed. Great development for the USA in the long run
Posted by mauser
Orange Beach
Member since Nov 2008
21568 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 10:35 am to
It's not over. It's just on standby.
Posted by EvrybodysAllAmerican
Member since Apr 2013
11156 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 10:46 am to
quote:

ickett's Charge was not going to reclaim Tennessee and Kentucky, reopen communications across the Mississippi, and lift a crippling naval blockade, no matter how successful it was.


This is valid, but success at Gettysburg would/should have led to marching on to DC. Taking or even threatening DC may have forced a truce/diplomatic ending to the war regardless of what was going on in the west.
Posted by Evolved Simian
Bushwood Country Club
Member since Sep 2010
20502 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 10:51 am to
quote:

The South was very close to taking DC after Manassas Junction/Bull Run. Had they went ahead and done so, they probably win.

But the longer they stretched it out, the North's superior advantage in industrial capacity took over.
Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
33939 posts
Posted on 1/13/17 at 10:55 am to
Yes, with a quick victory. Anytime an opponent has advantages in manpower and industrial capacity, you need a lightening war to win. The longer the conflict drags out, the more likely the side with more resources will win.

The Germans illustrated this nicely in WW2.
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