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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/28/20 12PM CT Update: 3,315 Cases - 25,161 tested - 137 dead

Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:36 pm to
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
203311 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:36 pm to
Sorry my days are running together. Bottom line is I see zero improvement.
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45065 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:37 pm to
10% of positive cases need ventilation according to LDH website as of yesterday.

And they have identified 8 different nursing homes or assisted living areas with clusters.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:42 pm to
At 50% bed availability (~30% in Orleans)


GNO has about 350 available ventilators with at least 300 more on the way. (State has about 2750)
This post was edited on 3/28/20 at 12:43 pm
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
44874 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Bottom line is I see zero improvement.

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:44 pm to
The stats are a lie. Terrebonne has three deaths that I know of. They're only reporting one.
Posted by WestSideTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
3561 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

How the hell can you say we are peaking? Clearly this thing is still ramping up.

I said we are peaking in real time. Yes it was ramping up 4 or 5 days ago as today’s data suggests and will continue to do so for a while.

Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
84883 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

Go and follow the stickied thread on the Poli Board.

Doing good work there.


I doubt that
This post was edited on 3/28/20 at 12:45 pm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:47 pm to
Why are y'all downvoting? You don't want to hear the truth?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:48 pm to
Not up to date is not a lie.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
37372 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

How the hell can you say we are peaking? Clearly this thing is still ramping up.


I don’t know if we’re necessarily peaking, but these numbers are likely from cases tested 2-5 days ago. The real numbers are a mystery.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:53 pm to
It's days not up to date. Keep living with your head in the mud.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
203311 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:55 pm to
Fact........
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83618 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:56 pm to
So you are saying we are hiding deaths and in other threads poster claims we are padding the deaths

I love the OT
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

It's days not up to date. Keep living with your head in the mud.


Well yeah. I don't think anyone doubts there are lags in the data. Some times it takes for tests to be returned, maybe even an autopsy.

At the speed this is going realtime numbers to the public would be hard to pull off.
This post was edited on 3/28/20 at 12:59 pm
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7798 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

The real numbers are a mystery.



Definitely the number of positive tests would seem to be just a drop in the bucket to actual people who have it.

Maybe 5%, if that many?

I say that based on anecdotal evidence but I know around 12 people now in NY who almost 100% have it (either moderate or sick as hell) and only one of them has been tested. Just told to stay at home, rest, treat it over the counter.






Posted by Captain Want
Member since Nov 2009
2154 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 1:24 pm to
geauxmedic, i’ve also seen some other medical folks from La. say similar things online (Facebook)
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
16451 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

which 21,846 were negative....

I'm assuming that doesn't necessarily represent 21,846 people with negative tests. Don't you need 2 negatives to be consider cured?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 1:31 pm to
There is no current test to know if you have already had covid.

So a negative test just means it isn't present.

People who took the test because they were exposed to someone positive could have never caught it, or could have had covid and recovered.
This post was edited on 3/28/20 at 1:32 pm
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
83944 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 1:35 pm to
I wonder what the qualifications are for testing. It seems in most states that having fever and sob is not enough. People are being turned away from the test for “not being sick enough”. If that’s the case in Louisiana, then that has to be factored into the numbers.

This post was edited on 3/28/20 at 1:38 pm
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89597 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 1:39 pm to
There is no sugarcoating this for Louisiana. Louisiana's results are abysmal.

Now, maybe our unique challenges are a factor(similar problems as New York, but perhaps quite not so concentrated), and we must conclude that Mardi Gras must have played some role, but however much I think the overall reaction to this virus, nationally, is an overreaction, I don't get paid to make that decision and Louisiana (and NY) clearly underreacted/reacted too late (same difference).

We can't say that about Washington State and California because they sort of got hit out of the blue.
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