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Hypothetical: Mandatory Evacuations
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:23 am
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:23 am
Hypothetical situation:
You live in Burgville. The center of the town is near a river and is thus low-lying. You live 3-4 miles away, but you are a good bit higher, say 15-20' above sea level.
A Cat 1-2 is headed towards the general vicinity and may make landfall 40-50 miles to your south. You are well-supplied with food and back-up power. You also have weapons, should the need arise, but crime is pretty low in Burgville.
The government (local/state) calls for a mandatory evacuation.
Do you go? Can you be forced to leave?
You live in Burgville. The center of the town is near a river and is thus low-lying. You live 3-4 miles away, but you are a good bit higher, say 15-20' above sea level.
A Cat 1-2 is headed towards the general vicinity and may make landfall 40-50 miles to your south. You are well-supplied with food and back-up power. You also have weapons, should the need arise, but crime is pretty low in Burgville.
The government (local/state) calls for a mandatory evacuation.
Do you go? Can you be forced to leave?
14
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:25 am to VetteGuy
This sounds like a pretty safe situation. I wouldn't go anywhere, but I wouldn't draw any attention that I am staying put.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:25 am to VetteGuy
quote:
The center of the town is near a river and is thus low-lying.
Not necessarily...
quote:
Do you go? Can you be forced to leave?
That's up to the government.
This river, does it reach into the gulf?
Does it have meanders?
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:26 am to VetteGuy
Listening to the wind and wondering if a tree is going to fall on your house sucks, even if there's no flood risk. I leave and come back the next day, use my generator to be comfortable while the power is out.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:28 am to Pectus
Understood, but in this case it is.
No, it doesn't reach the gulf. Yes, it has some small tributaries.
I knew you would be precise.
No, it doesn't reach the gulf. Yes, it has some small tributaries.
I knew you would be precise.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:30 am to Jim Rockford
Excellent point and being Burgville, they love them some trees.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:31 am to VetteGuy
Nope I stay and make the Coast Guard rescue me off of my roof because they are under worked and over paid.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:38 am to VetteGuy
quote:
No, it doesn't reach the gulf. Yes, it has some small tributaries.
I knew you would be precise.
Don't worry about storm surge.
Flooding...it depends if you're on the point bar or cut bank and how many meanders area around you.
Cut bank is higher, pointbar is lower. If you're tucked in the loop of a meander and it floods, it may be cut through and you will have a house on an island!
This post was edited on 8/30/15 at 9:40 am
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:55 am to VetteGuy
Given your scenario, I would most likely stay in Burgville. I may go ahead and send the wife and son north to Podunk Springs to stay with her family so that I knew they were safe and comfortable, however.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:56 am to VetteGuy
Having young kids makes it an easy answer - evac and plan on coming back ASAP to assess and take necessary actions.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:02 am to USMCTiger03
Agreed. Small children would make it a moot point.
For my HT, all adults.
What do you think about the government deal? Can they come by and force you to go?
I've heard different things on this.
For my HT, all adults.
What do you think about the government deal? Can they come by and force you to go?
I've heard different things on this.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:04 am to Agforlife
quote:
Nope I stay and make the Coast Guard rescue me off of my roof because they are under worked and over paid.
And then blame it on da gubmint.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:06 am to VetteGuy
Felt like I was doing homework reading that.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:08 am to VetteGuy
You can't be forced to do anything.
Mandatory only means that you likely will not receive any emergency response during the initial occurrence of the storm.
Mandatory only means that you likely will not receive any emergency response during the initial occurrence of the storm.
This post was edited on 8/30/15 at 10:11 am
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:09 am to BRgetthenet
And I still had to add details...
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:22 am to purpleleaf
This
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:27 am to VetteGuy
No, I didn't evacuate Madisonville during Isaac.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:31 am to VetteGuy
Define "well supplied"? How much fuel do you have and how long will it theoretically last? Last hurricane we had here we had no power for 10 days.
I'd still leave. shite happens and they will NOT come for you if there's been a mandatory evac. Last mandatory we had, the sheriff's deputies came door to door in our neighborhood and asked if we were staying or going. We just hadn't left yet was our reply but that we were in the process. They would have had us sign our info and next of kin had we been staying.
Why take the chance is my thing.
I'd still leave. shite happens and they will NOT come for you if there's been a mandatory evac. Last mandatory we had, the sheriff's deputies came door to door in our neighborhood and asked if we were staying or going. We just hadn't left yet was our reply but that we were in the process. They would have had us sign our info and next of kin had we been staying.
Why take the chance is my thing.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 2:57 pm to tiger91
quote:
Why take the chance is my thing.
Because evacuation has become a cluster. Crazy people, numbnutted routes, broken-down vehicles, etc.
Fuel would last 7-14 days and I wouldn't care about that next of kin crap.
Again, I'm talking a 1-2, not a Katrina.
My point is everyone is very quick to hit the mandatory evacuation button and I really don't care for the .gov making decisions for me.
Posted on 8/30/15 at 3:25 pm to VetteGuy
We asked the ones staying during Katrina to write their SSN on the right arm so we could ID them later. When we put it that way a lot of them decided to leave.
Gulf Shores, Al cuts off power to the area during mandatory evacuations. A lot of people leave because they don't have power
Gulf Shores, Al cuts off power to the area during mandatory evacuations. A lot of people leave because they don't have power
This post was edited on 8/30/15 at 3:28 pm
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