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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:54 pm to baytiger
Is there any chance this thing stays south of Cuba then swings up into the gulf?
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:59 pm to halleburton
Not really.
My models have it going to Miami, then fizzling in the Atlantic.
I'm not a meteorologist or anything, but I've been reading these threads for years and stayed at a holiday inn last night. I was banging your wife there.
My models have it going to Miami, then fizzling in the Atlantic.
I'm not a meteorologist or anything, but I've been reading these threads for years and stayed at a holiday inn last night. I was banging your wife there.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 2:31 pm to rds dc
quote:
quote:
You really think it's gonna make it south of Cuba? That'd be a ballsy prediction
I don't make predictions just a bit of mental gymnastics with the morning coffee.
The BAM models are all in at 18z
Posted on 8/28/15 at 2:35 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/28/15 at 3:00 pm to rds dc
they all just advect an open wave though right?
That doesn't count
That doesn't count
Posted on 8/28/15 at 4:09 pm to baytiger
Best guess were this sucker is going now?
Posted on 8/28/15 at 4:21 pm to fishfighter
It's, whatever it is, still moving W. I bet they are throwing computers out the window at NHC by now!
Posted on 8/28/15 at 4:27 pm to rds dc
The good thing about this storm as of now is that it will stay low grade tropical storm that will bring plenty needed rain to FLA...Even if it still goes more to the west...it seems there is a front moving in that will eventually move it more north.......... Not to be selfish but I wish it move even further west and give LA some needed rain, BUT at the same time that could mean a stronger storm that we don't want..............
Posted on 8/28/15 at 5:05 pm to rds dc
Well, according to that map, it looks like an Atlantic resolution to this system (I doubt that is even the correct terminology but it sounds pretty cool) is all but out the door - unless things change again of course.
These storms still seem to have the capacity to baffle even the top experts. That's nature I suppose.
These storms still seem to have the capacity to baffle even the top experts. That's nature I suppose.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 5:26 pm to dukke v
It seems to be picking up speed. The last advisory had it at 18 mph and this one says 21 mph.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 6:07 pm to Bonck1987
Fwiw the Atlantic/ Bermuda high ridge is clearly building back toward the west. The water vapor sat loop shows that the front pushed as far east as central Florida. The ridge pushed it back today to the Fla/Ala line. If it keeps pushing west, it will block off. The east solution and open the door to a GOM central coast solution.
Posted on 8/28/15 at 6:19 pm to michael corleone
Big IF, if it makes it to the gulf as a TD or TS, are conditions favorable to strengthen next week. Could it jog and head north?
Posted on 8/28/15 at 7:09 pm to fishfighter
delete
This post was edited on 8/28/15 at 7:10 pm
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:02 pm to rds dc
Another shift to the west
Posted on 8/28/15 at 10:07 pm to SomethingLikeA
quote:
Big IF, if it makes it to the gulf as a TD or TS, are conditions favorable to strengthen next week.
No, as of now, it looks like Erika could find no purchase in the Gulf. The Euro EPS has a pretty wide spread at D5, from south of New Orleans to the Outer Banks but all are weak.
Looks like a squall line tonight
Posted on 8/29/15 at 3:51 am to rds dc
Thankfully they still have this thing staying weak and/or dissipating. Cause they keep moving it this way.
Posted on 8/29/15 at 6:29 am to Methuselah
Needs to get off the coast before Labor Day weekend!
Posted on 8/29/15 at 7:08 am to Rhino5
it's just rain guys. no reason to freak out about this one
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