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Started By
Message
re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:04 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:04 am to Roll Tide Ravens
This just in, GFS looks to still be in LaLa land and is crap.
0
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:08 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Models are now in close agreement that 99L will spend roughly 2 to 3 days over the very warm waters surrounding The Bahamas, where sea-surface temperatures are running around 29-30°C (84-86°F). The latest output from the SHIPS model (12Z Wednesday) indicates that wind shear will remain light to moderate over 99L, holding around 10-20 knots for the next couple of days and then dropping to the 5-10 knot range by this weekend. These factors support intensification, which would become more probable as soon as 99L forms a more consolidated center.
Bob Henson filling in for Dr. Masters
LINK
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:09 am to Bama and Beer
This is the latest Euro, new one comes out in a couple hours.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:10 am to GEAUXmedic
Well, shite.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:10 am to GEAUXmedic
Does this model predict wind speed or just pressure?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:11 am to GEAUXmedic
The LLC doesn't have much in the way of clouds/convection around it. I wonder if NHC will hold off for now.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:11 am to GEAUXmedic
Recon - SW winds and 1008 mb near 17.9N 64.7W (just north of St. Croix)
LINK
LINK
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 11:14 am
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:12 am to GEAUXmedic
so that has it becoming about a Cat 3? Makes sense, would spend more time in the gulf
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:13 am to cbdman
quote:
Does this model predict wind speed or just pressure?
Both, this run had it at 100.5 mph before landfall.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:14 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Yeah, Bastardi is well thought of. He is very good when it comes to tropics.
Thanks just wasn't sure how much stock to put in the reports.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:14 am to GEAUXmedic
Houston, we may have a problem.......
that said, I'd gladly take it to spare SELA.
that said, I'd gladly take it to spare SELA.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:15 am to GEAUXmedic
Same fricking track as Rita. 
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 11:15 am
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:15 am to GEAUXmedic
What would be the effect on Houston with a landfall at the border?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:16 am to CharlesLSU
quote:
that said, I'd gladly take it to spare SELA.
are you playing the good karma card to try to steer this bitch east?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:17 am to dafuqusay
quote:
hat would be the effect on Houston with a landfall at the border?
Not much
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:17 am to WavinWilly
quote:
Thanks just wasn't sure how much stock to put in the reports.
Tell your friend to watch his latest video. It has his forecast track in it.. not good.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:17 am to dafuqusay
quote:
What would be the effect on Houston with a landfall at the border?
west side, so not bad. beaumont to lake charles-fricked in that scenario
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 11:18 am
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:18 am to Chad504boy
quote:
Chad504boy
How old are you?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:19 am to rds dc
What has Louisiana done to piss off the voodoo gods?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:21 am to Prominentwon
Dude is a fricking idiot. All he does is troll the Saints board too.
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