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re: Which would you rather?

Posted on 1/14/17 at 9:16 am to
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Big article by TBW today on Reke v Jrue...


Yeah, it's interesting and the depressing conclusion pretty much is we aren't likely to quickly replace the talent level of either if we pick just one.

quote:

So, barring the outcome of some incredibly fortunate trade, the Pelicans best bet at point guard going forward is to gamble on one of Jrue Holiday or Tyreke Evans. You side with Reke, Kevin, and I, Jrue, but we both agree keeping the duo together could potentially wind up being the best option in the long run.

LINK
Posted by Jester
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
34248 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 9:38 am to
quote:

The Asik trade would have netted us a nice SF, but that guy wouldn't have been a game changer. It would have at least allowed us to not overpay for Hill and Asik, but we likely would have overpaid for some other center in that offseason had we not gotten Asik in the trade.



This all starts at the Evans deal. That's where the wheels fell off. To bring in Evans, we had to get rid of Rolo. Getting rid of Rolo meant we needed a center, so we traded a first for Asik.
Posted by ShamelessPel
Metairie
Member since Apr 2013
12719 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 9:39 am to
Evans has picked up his play by quite a bit lately and grades out better than Holiday in multiple areas.

Ask this question 10 days ago I would have said no debate, Holiday. IDK now. I'd like to see AD stats at seasons end with each player. If a sizable difference, go with that one. If relatively equal, Evans and space is probably greater than Holiday himself.

Holiday seems to be overrated as a scorer. He's not overly efficient. If Evans can get that 3pt% to ~36% he'd be a better raw scorer than Holiday.

I just can't get that stat of 42% AD/Evans combo on AD shots vs 58% AD/Jrue out of my head.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 9:54 am to
quote:

I just can't get that stat of 42% AD/Evans combo on AD shots vs 58% AD/Jrue out of my head.


That stat was from last year when Tyreke was playing hurt and not buying into Gentry. I still don't think Gentry would want him as his lead guard unless like I said, they go on a hot streak and fall in love with each other on the way to the playoffs. It's not unprecedented, that's kind of how it happened with Monty and Tyreke. Monty didn't know how to fit Tyreke into what he did at first either, then near the end he was the one encouraging Hero Ball in crunch time.

The problem is the defense, it's become the team's strength. If you keep Tyreke over Holiday I don't think Tyreke/Buddy/Hill/Cunningham/AD is nearly as effective. If you keep both it only works if Tyreke or Buddy is the 6th man, but I think corndeaux is right about Buddy's biggest contribution to the team might be his gravity, you want that spacing things for the starters.

So we are back to the question we've been asking since he got here, if you keep Tyreke will he buy into a 6th man role?
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38646 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 10:07 am to
Evans is 6' 6", solidly built, has an improved shot, is a willing and effective passer, gets to the rim, and sucks in a defense. that to me is what we have all wanted at the wing with the huge caveat that he cannot defend there

can a lineup of holiday/hield/Evans/solo or Dante/Davis work?
that would be expensive though
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25446 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 10:23 am to
quote:

and sucks in a defense


I don't think he sucks at defense, I think he doesn't always try. I remember a stat from 2 years ago where he was one of the best iso defenders in the league.

quote:

Anthony Davis is a dominating superstar, but while he’s made strides in being the team leader, he isn’t that fiery general that motivates outside of his own play. Jrue is downright monkish on the court. He doesn’t get rattled, doesn’t show cracks, but he doesn’t exude confidence or instill fire in his teammates. Tyreke has many detractors in the media, but I think even they would have to agree that when Evans is fired up you see that energy and charisma exude through his teammates and the arena. He has the swagger and emotion you want from your lead guard. He sets the tone.


I agree with that.
Besides that, the win losses have been favoring tyreke for quite some time.
I will be very irritated if we sign Jrue to some big arse contract. His injury history doesn't warrant $25M/yr for multiple years. I like Jrue. And I want him on the team, but he's not worth anywhere near that. So if i'm choosing between the two, its Tyreke easily. I could care less what the defense does with Jrue. We signed a bunch of worthless offensive players that only play defense recently. Tell them to pick it the frick up.



quote:

can a lineup of holiday/hield/Evans/solo or Dante/Davis work? that would be expensive though


it would be, and it wouldn't get us anywhere but a 5-8 seed at best when healthy. You replace Solo with a draft pick that is worth a shite and we may have something. that's where picking a SF with Asiks pick would come in handy right now, or having a hit on the zero 2nd round picks we had in the last 4 years, like Middleton, or Crowder, or Draymond, etc.
This post was edited on 1/14/17 at 10:25 am
Posted by Jester
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
34248 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 10:29 am to
quote:


I don't think he sucks at defense,


You misunderstood him. He said he sucks IN the defense, which is an offensive attribute. Sucks in = collapses the D.
Posted by Solo
Member since Aug 2008
8234 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 10:39 am to
another wrinkle with Reke/Jrue is we either have to make a legit effort keep both or trade one at the deadline. We can not afford to let assets go for nothing, even if it's just a
Second round pick. See: Ryno

Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38646 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 10:40 am to
right, could have worded that better
what do y'all think Evans would get on that market? 12-15 similar to hill?
to me it's the years not the salary

the big mistake on asik and ajinca was the years
I think the same could be said for hill and Moore
Moore especially at 8+MM for three more years

if Evans would go for 3/40 or so with an option in year 3 I'd be ok with that
especially if holiday would agree to restructure prior to FA
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25446 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 10:50 am to
I did read that wrong.

regardless, the knock on Reke has always been his perceived defense. While I agree he isn't a great defender, I think he is more than a capable defender when he puts forth the effort.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25446 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 10:53 am to
quote:

if Evans would go for 3/40 or so with an option in year 3 I'd be ok with that


I would agree

I think Holiday shouldn't get any more than 3 years as well with his injury history. We've only had him for more than half a season once.

I'd still prefer to trade one of them for something, b/c I doubt we will be able to keep them both, and if we do, it may mean losing other players like DMo or Jones while not signing anyone in FA.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38646 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 10:54 am to
he's not quick enough on his feet to do all the switching the pels want to do
BUT if he's on the floor with Davis and holiday, he can be hidden a bit
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 10:56 am to
The problem is Holiday/AD/DC/Solo = 4 guys that can guard bigs and wings. Can Tyreke guard more than 1-3 and is he aware enough to rotate and switch properly?
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38646 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 11:14 am to
let's talk about Moore for a minute

he's 27 and has three more years at 8+
playing 20 minutes/game and hitting one 3 pg
admittedly he's been useful at times but rarely changes a game

would the pels really miss him?
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 11:36 am to
No, he and Galloway are kind of redundant and I think you can keep Galloway cheaper because he's got actual motivation for giving a hometown discount than just warm Fuzzies with his wife still working here. You can probably keep him around $6 long term.
Posted by chesty
Flap City C.C.
Member since Oct 2012
12731 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 12:02 pm to
All I'm saying is that if I'm the GM. I tell these guys straight out. If you want to be here, we want you. But at a rate that makes sense for both of us. You guys have had a ton of injury issues (not your fault),and we need to be able to bring in talent (if we are to compete). Think about it and get back to me with a yes or no. If yes, I need some ideas on numbers. If no, give me your list of destinations. I can't promise you, you'll go where you want. But I can do my best to trade you in something that makes sense for the team and doesn't kill your value.
Posted by Solo
Member since Aug 2008
8234 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 12:44 pm to
ATL or a cap guru...can someone do a cap breakdown for us?

Do we have money to sign Reke and Jrue, then still take care of Jones/DMo?

Also, what is the least painful way to get rid of Asik or Frenchy? Stretching Asik seems like a bad idea due to the dead money issue...is there another fairly painless way?
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38646 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 12:53 pm to
here is their salary commitment over the next few years

LINK

jrue and tyreke have cap holds totaling 30MM which can't be resolved until they are renounced or sign elsewhere. Galloway and Cunningham have player options. jrue and Evans can either be restructured and extended before 2/28 or allowed to go into UFA

nothing can be done with asik or ajinca unless they are traded or stretched
they will be on the books either way

Evans and holiday can be signed using bird rights to go over the cap but that could have tax implications. they can certainly bring them both back if they want to stay but that would be an expensive team. They have to use cap space for draft picks and current predictions put available space with cap holds at about 7MM which may or may not be enough depending on where they pick

and don't forget about pondexter...they are on the hook for him unless he retires
This post was edited on 1/14/17 at 12:56 pm
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

Do we have money to sign Reke and Jrue


There are lots of variables, but TL;DR If you keep both Holiday/Evans you can probably only keep one of DMo/Jones.

In most cases if you keep both Tyreke and Holiday you'll probably remain above the cap and be limited to the MLE, which is now $8.4 million, to keep or sign anyone new. Even if you managed to dump Ajinca and Moore and stretch Asik, that's still only $11 million in cap space with bringing back both Tyreke and Holiday.

I think most of the sentiment behind Trade Tyreke has been based on an assumption that they weren't planning to bring him back so get something for him. If Gentry and Tyreke can agree on his role on the team, then you probably wont be able to get more talent for the money. Operating over the cap also reduces the potential pressure to burn assets to move Asik/Ajinca.
Posted by Solo
Member since Aug 2008
8234 posts
Posted on 1/14/17 at 1:23 pm to
Thanks for posting. That doesn't give me the warm fuzzies.



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