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re: OFFICIAL WEEK 14 CFB BET THREAD - Chaos Week..?

Posted on 11/25/14 at 9:05 am to
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24487 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Thanksgiving Day Leans ~

Texas +6.5 and A&M +2.5


I can get on board with this.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 9:07 am to
TCU-6.5
TCU at -250

UVA-1
Duke-18

FSU-7*
FSU at -300


I may end up having a reasonably large number of plays this weekend. I'll trickle them in slowly.



*I don't care if Jameis is shaving points. Won't matter in this game. that line is tasty.

This post was edited on 11/25/14 at 6:41 pm
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 9:35 am to
I'm going to wait for better numbers... Public will hammer TCU and will be strongly on LSU.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 9:40 am to
quote:

You think Texas is going to score with TCU or stop TCU from scoring?


It will be a low scoring game

When Texas played Baylor... Texas shut down the Baylor offense. Texas also shite away two golden scoring opportunities fumbling a QB sneak on the one yard line and other turnovers. And then Baylor scored on a blocked field goal.

I expect this game to be the same. Neither team being able to do much. Both defenses are solid but I give the edge to TCU because their offense is better and they lead the nation in forcing turnovers. If they can shut down Texas's run game and make Swoopes throw he will turn it over.

This has all the makings of a 20-10 final score type game.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 9:55 am to
Minnesota +14 @ Wisco
Miss State -1 @ Ole Miss
UCLA -4.5 vs. Stanford
Texas +7 vs. TCU
Iowa PK vs. Nebraska

Will also look @ Oregon St. hosting Oregon if I can get +21 or +21.5 in Corvallis (currently 19.5).
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 11:02 am to
Here is my card this week, my largest of the season

27-Nov TCU -6
28-Nov Tulsa +17
28-Nov UCLA -4
28-Nov South Florida +12
29-Nov Wake Forest +19
29-Nov Vanderbilt +17
29-Nov North Carolina -7
29-Nov Appalachian State -16.5
29-Nov Temple +6
29-Nov Texas Tech +26
29-Nov Oregon State +20
29-Nov Alabama -9

For the year I am 56-36-2 (60.8%)

You can view my season long results here: LINK
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 1:21 pm to
Two bets placed ~

CFB STRAIGHT BET
[302] MIAMI OHIO +3½ (-110)

CFB STRAIGHT BET
[314] TEXAS A&M +3½ (-110)

Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 1:31 pm to
Going to have a stupid big card this week



quote:

CFB STRAIGHT BET [302] MIAMI OHIO +3½ (-110)
will be the first on it and the upset in Austin to follow
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 1:31 pm to
Also ~

CFB STRAIGHT BET
[424] TROY +10½ (-110)

Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 2:45 pm to
Actually liking Ole Miss this week. Public will be lining up out the door to bet Moo St after Arkys blowout win of OM. I actually just watched the game and the score was very misleading in that game. It would seem as OM just isn't very good anymore yet they outgained Arkansas but it was the 6 turnovers that doomed them in.

Although I think it's a huge blow that Treadwell is out, and that he was a huge part of the OM O I think they can find a way to get it done. Given Miss St road problems for most of the year.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25277 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

Actually liking Ole Miss this week. Public will be lining up out the door to bet Moo St after Arkys blowout win of OM. I actually just watched the game and the score was very misleading in that game. It would seem as OM just isn't very good anymore yet they outgained Arkansas but it was the 6 turnovers that doomed them in.

Although I think it's a huge blow that Treadwell is out, and that he was a huge part of the OM O I think they can find a way to get it done. Given Miss St road problems for most of the year.


I concur that MSU is a bit overrated and Ole Miss was undone by bad turnover luck and untimely derps against Arky.

The game is a pure coin flip.

My only concern is the intangibles with Ole Miss - Treadwell was their emotional leader and State should come in very confident. Injuries are a concern as well - although Bo Wallace gutted out the game vs. Arky his ankle is definitely injured and could be re-aggravated during the game.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

It will be a low scoring game

When Texas played Baylor... Texas shut down the Baylor offense. Texas also shite away two golden scoring opportunities fumbling a QB sneak on the one yard line and other turnovers. And then Baylor scored on a blocked field goal.

I expect this game to be the same. Neither team being able to do much. Both defenses are solid but I give the edge to TCU because their offense is better and they lead the nation in forcing turnovers. If they can shut down Texas's run game and make Swoopes throw he will turn it over.

This has all the makings of a 20-10 final score type game.


If Texas holds TCU to 20 then they deserve to win (or at least cover), but both would still be up in the air. Texas' offense is bad, and TCU's is good. The Texas defense is solid, but their O is going to end up putting too many demands on them.

28-10 TCU
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 5:24 pm to
If I can get 7/7.5 at a decent price I'll take Texas, otherwise I'll pass.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 5:44 pm to
Both Miami OH and A&M have moved from 3.5 to 3 in the last few hours...

Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 6:34 pm to
My post about LSU and reverse jinx wasn't intended to be mean, btw,. I'm a very soft lean towards LSU right now and would like to get the opinions of people who are way more familiar with the team than I am.
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 6:36 pm to
quote:

Miami OH


I could go back and look this up, but I think betting the dog in every MAC game this season would have won a lot more games than it lost.

The conference is a just bleh this year. No stratification at all.

Except Western Michigna. They've won several times for me.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 7:10 pm to
miami ohio looking good for us so far
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

miami ohio looking good for us so far


I'm sure the quality of football is not looking quite as good. I had toledo last week and I watched the entire game as a result. I'm never getting those three hours back.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

Except Western Michigna. They've won several times for me.


For sure. Ive seen you on them so many times
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16854 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 8:02 pm to
6-5

pending
LSU -3
Fla +9

Adding
WM -8
Bama -9.5
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