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OFFICIAL WEEK 14 CFB BET THREAD - Chaos Week..?

Posted on 11/23/14 at 7:38 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 7:38 pm
Lines

Bama -7
Oregon - 17.5
FSU -10
Miss St - PK
TCU - 7.5
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66376 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 7:40 pm to
in. if giants dont cover, i will have given my CFB winnings to NFL for x'th straight week
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

in. if giants dont cover, i will have given my CFB winnings to NFL for x'th straight week


I'm sure there are people who can beat NfL consistently, but I haven't met them.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 7:58 pm to
On TCU... That line is a massive overreaction to Texas playing better and TCU poor play vs Kansas but I think the line should be around 10 so there is value on the Frogs
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66376 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

I'm sure there are people who can beat NfL consistently, but I haven't met them.


i usually break even record-wise and down unit-wise bc juice. vegas just nails the nfl spreads and totals. teasers arent bad plays with the moderately good teams
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12060 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 8:08 pm to
I'll take Miss St for a lot
Posted by 12Pence
Member since Jan 2013
6344 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 8:16 pm to
quote:

On TCU... That line is a massive overreaction to Texas playing better and TCU poor play vs Kansas but I think the line should be around 10 so there is value on the Frogs


I completely disagree. I'll cut TCU a (very) little slack on the Kansas game. I'm aware the game was played in Kansas and the weather was extremely cold and windy. However, Kansas still racked up 350 yards passing and moved the ball/scored every quarter. TCU could have easily lost that game.

Texas has been playing a whole lot better since their loss to Kansas State. They've had a week off...a little time to prepare. Charlie Strong may be able to come up with something to slow down the TCU offense. I think Texas can put up some points on TCU as well. The game is in Austin which won't hurt the Horns either...

I'm calling for the upset.

UT - 27
TCU - 24
This post was edited on 11/23/14 at 8:20 pm
Posted by foreverLSU
Member since Mar 2006
17060 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 8:23 pm to
Part of me wants to take UF +10, but I know FSU is gonna find some way against all odds to cover
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 8:48 pm to
quote:

Part of me wants to take UF +10, but I know FSU is gonna find some way against all odds to cover


I wanted to punch FSU in the face so hard.
Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45794 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 8:50 pm to
This is a week were I probably won't play anything, too much bias on my part and too much variability with rivalry games.

Just enjoy the fireworks
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 8:50 pm to
quote:

On TCU... That line is a massive overreaction to Texas playing better and TCU poor play vs Kansas but I think the line should be around 10 so there is value on the Frogs


Yeah
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

vegas just nails the nfl spreads and totals.


Yup, lines are tight.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/23/14 at 8:53 pm to
quote:

I'll take Miss St for a lot

I'll take Ole Miss for a standard amount.


Oregon State, Michigan, Auburn, Texas, and Stanford look like plays as well.

I love rivalry week
Posted by cbi8
Nashville
Member since Mar 2012
6801 posts
Posted on 11/24/14 at 8:22 am to
Pro tip: Ole Miss will not have 6 turnovers against State. Just a heads up.
Posted by JB Bama
Tuscaloosa, AL
Member since Sep 2008
2669 posts
Posted on 11/24/14 at 9:26 am to
Pro Tip: Ole Miss has no offensive weapons, they won't win this game.

Pro Tip: Fade FSU first half
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16825 posts
Posted on 11/24/14 at 11:54 am to
6-5

LSU-3
Fla +9
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 7:31 am to
Thanksgiving Day Leans ~

Texas +6.5 and A&M +2.5
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 8:59 am to
quote:

Pro Tip: Ole Miss has no offensive weapons, they won't win this game.

Pro Tip: Fade FSU first half


I'm gonna stand corrected from last week in my thinking that Treadwell being out wouldn't completely kill Piss's offense. I was wrong about that. He was their only weapon. They pretty much just suck now.

At first I thought the idea that Winston would shave first half points for 5K was too absurd to be believed. Like, I thought there was maybe a 5% chance he was doing that. That percentage has increased for me, and quite a bit. If he aint' shaving points, then... Well, anybody got an explanation?
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 9:00 am to
quote:

Texas +6.5


You think Texas is going to score with TCU or stop TCU from scoring?
Posted by SystemsGo
Member since Oct 2014
2774 posts
Posted on 11/25/14 at 9:02 am to
Also, there are a lot of LSU fans on here. Are y'all picking TAMU for reverse jinx purposes or something?

To be clear, I don't love that game either way, but TAMU definitely does not inspire in me a great deal of confidence. I mean, they lost to mizzou for chrissakes.
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