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Is this the year a #16 seed upsets a #1 seed?

Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:14 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84995 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:14 pm
Since this board obviously needs another March Madness thread, it's time for the obligatory "will a 16 beat a 1" conversation. #1 seeds are 124-0 vs their lowly brethren, and it's been 20 years since a game has come down to the last possession.

This has been a crazy year full of headscratching losses from top teams, but 16 seeds are just so bad. FGCU may have the most hope, but does it happen for any of them this year?
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101920 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:18 pm to
No
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14054 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

FGCU


probably the best shot in many years. not like most 16 seeds.

Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
35542 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:19 pm to
I still remember Princeton having that last shot against big bad Georgetown and totally blowing it.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84995 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

No


bound to happen at some point, right?
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14054 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

I still remember Princeton having that last shot against big bad Georgetown and totally blowing it.


yep, they were back cutting gtown to death, and the last one got partially blocked, if i remember correctly.

Posted by REG861
Ocelot, Iowa
Member since Oct 2011
36423 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:21 pm to
it'll happen soon if they keep giving teams like FGCU #16 seeds
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84995 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

probably the best shot in many years. not like most 16 seeds. 


If they play like last night they've got a real shot. The game last night looked like your typical 1 vs 16 game, not a play in game.
Posted by DollaChoppa
I Simp for ACC
Member since May 2008
84774 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:27 pm to
FGCU is playing UNC in Raleigh though.

So no
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31081 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:33 pm to
Dunk City finna eat.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:34 pm to
No.

But... FGCU at least has a puncher's chance of pulling the upset over UNC. They won't, mind you, but they are one of the best 16 seeds in memory and I do have faith in Roy Williams' ability to pull a fantastic choke job. i wouldn't predict it or anything, or even say it's likely, but I can at least envision FGCU pulling an upset if everything breaks right.

Also, UVA plays at such a slow pace, they may not put away Hampton. Again, really unlikely, but within the realm of possibility. Don't put any money on it.
Posted by arkyhawk
SWMO
Member since Jan 2013
8116 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:49 pm to
FGCU sure as hell ain't beating UNC now that people think they can
Posted by tWildcat
Verona, KY
Member since Oct 2014
19326 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:51 pm to
Yep. The more it's talked about, the less likely it is to happen.
Posted by lsugrad35
Jambalaya capital of the world
Member since Feb 2007
3182 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 12:53 pm to
Southern
Posted by LSUzealot
Napoleon and Magazine
Member since Sep 2003
57656 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

but 16 seeds are just so bad.


I hate all the Automatic bids to shite teams like Southern and FGCU.

If they allowed all the decent Power 5 teams that made the NIT in as a 13-16 seed, this tournament would be so much better.

And yes, the bottom seed of an NIT team would probably beat a 1 seed at least 5-10% of the time. It's essentially like LSU beating Oregon on a neutral floor. Not out of the question at all.
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44875 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 1:29 pm to
No. Kansas and Oregon win easily, Hampton may not break 35 against UVA and UNC will not lose in Raleigh to FGCU. Their bigs are way too good to let that happen.
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155705 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 1:32 pm to
ETSU nearly clipped Pitt a few years ago
Posted by CubsFanBudMan
Member since Jul 2008
5072 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 1:54 pm to
Not this year.

When the 2 play-in games I didn't like the fact that they used it for the 16 seed. I thought it should be used for bubble teams to prove that they should be in. Now that their are 4 play-in games, I think it's good for the 16 seed to play in the "opening four." It gives them a chance to claim an NCAA win in their history books. I'd like to see all 4 16 slots use the play in game.

Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
31927 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 1:57 pm to
quote:



I hate all the Automatic bids to shite teams like Southern and FGCU.

If they allowed all the decent Power 5 teams that made the NIT in as a 13-16 seed, this tournament would be so much better.

And yes, the bottom seed of an NIT team would probably beat a 1 seed at least 5-10% of the time. It's essentially like LSU beating Oregon on a neutral floor. Not out of the question at all.

So you shouldn't get in for winning your conference? Then what's the point of the conference?
Posted by Jack Bauer7
Member since Jun 2012
5026 posts
Posted on 3/16/16 at 2:00 pm to
southern played gonzaga pretty close a few years back
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