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How good are the chances that one of the shortstops drafted last night is a bust

Posted on 6/9/15 at 10:43 am
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 10:43 am
I think out of the 3 shortstops drafted yesterday in the Top 3, we will have one as good as Tulo/Jeter, one who is average like an Elvis Andrus, and one bust who never makes anything of himself like Matt Bush.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166135 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 10:44 am to
pretty solid chance i guess. 38%?
Posted by PrimeTime Money
Houston, Texas, USA
Member since Nov 2012
27304 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 10:44 am to
Alrighty.
Posted by Bear Is Dead
Monroe
Member since Nov 2007
4696 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 10:46 am to
It's MLB, theres a good chance none of them have meaningful careers in the majors.
Posted by LSU-MNCBABY
Knightsgate
Member since Jan 2004
24343 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 10:51 am to
quote:

It's MLB, theres a good chance none of them have meaningful careers in the majors.


Agree with this.
Posted by Dtiger19
Member since Dec 2007
763 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 10:52 am to
.02% chance one will we as good Tulo. 0% chance as good as Jeter.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71339 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 10:53 am to
99 percent
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
22396 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 10:55 am to
If you have a Tulo and an Andrus come out of one round...that was a sick round.
Posted by lsutigers1992
Member since Mar 2006
25317 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 11:01 am to
Hell, what are the odds that all three of them remain shortstops?
Posted by double d
Amarillo by morning
Member since Jun 2004
16403 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Hell, what are the odds that all three of them remain shortstops?


almost none.
Posted by Schmelly
Member since Jan 2014
14446 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 1:10 pm to
Don't know much about the 3rd guy. Nobody here probably does. But based on him being 3rd, I'd say none will be any better than Andrus level. I'd say the odds are 1 becoming an everyday player, 1 has a cup of tea, the other busts out. None of the 3 are Correa, much less Jeter!
Posted by Schmelly
Member since Jan 2014
14446 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Hell, what are the odds that all three of them remain shortstops?

Bregman might as well switch now. As long as Correa is an Astro, Bregman might as well get adjusted to 2B. Buuuuut, it is the Astros. When correa becomes a FA, all bets are off. Whenever that is
Posted by Jack Daniel
In the bottle
Member since Feb 2013
25413 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 1:46 pm to
The odds say all of them. According to the low percentage of player drafted/successful careers.
This post was edited on 6/9/15 at 6:22 pm
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
102973 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 1:48 pm to
all three could bust but Swanson will at least be a ML regular if not a star. no way that guy is going to be a total bust.
Posted by Moustache
GEAUX TIGERS
Member since May 2008
21556 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 1:52 pm to
VERY good chance. But define bust...

Is bregman moving to 2B a bust? Is bregman hitting only .260 with 10-15 HRs a bust for the #2 pick?

The one most likely to completely bust is the SS from FL, Brendan Rogers
This post was edited on 6/9/15 at 1:53 pm
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69595 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 3:57 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/10/23 at 2:50 am
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50337 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 4:10 pm to
These are the % of players who have go on to have 10+ WAR careers in the top 3 picks.

1st 66%
2nd 51%
3rd 44%
Posted by Schmelly
Member since Jan 2014
14446 posts
Posted on 6/9/15 at 6:40 pm to
Whatever you say a-hole
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