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re: Hayes should have missed the 2nd FT

Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:28 am to
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110670 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:28 am to
quote:

And the only way this happens is if a Wisconsin player loses his man, which anyone with a reasonable mind knows wouldn't happen
It would have been totally reasonable before the final play to say that there arse no chance that #0 would botch his assignment AND get in the way of the big guy who wouldn't reasonably be guarding the fastest players on the Florida team too,no?

quote:

You keep 1 guy around the key just to keep a body around the rebound so UF loses any upcourt momentum
That was #0's job on the actual play, literally.
quote:

Anyone that argues it's just as likely UF gets off as good of a look is bat shite crazy.
Sure, when you have hindsight and this silly notion you have, yea.
Posted by MasterofTigerBait
Member since May 2009
7592 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:31 am to
quote:

Sure, when you have hindsight and this silly notion you have, yea.



You're being dense. We are discussing a strategy based on probability. You are focussing on one missed assignment, which is not relevant.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110670 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:32 am to
quote:

You are focussing on one missed assignment, which is not relevant.
Wtf

So your argument is missing without a missed assignment is better than making with a missed assignment?

Ya don't say!!!
This post was edited on 3/25/17 at 12:33 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84610 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:34 am to
quote:

You're severely underestimating how much extra space is covered when you can catch an inbounds pass already running upcourt.




And you're underestimating how much room for error you open yourself to if you're only up 1. Any foul and you could be toast.

You're also underestimating how poorly Wisky would have defended this intentional miss. We saw how poorly they did off the inbound, so why is it such a stretch to think they'd do it again with the intentional miss? You'd also have Koenig on the floor hobbling around too.
Posted by MasterofTigerBait
Member since May 2009
7592 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:35 am to
We are discussing if it is a better strategy to miss the free throw or to make the free throw.

i.e. if the same situation happened 100 times, which one of the two would be better.



Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:35 am to
They shouldn't have missed on purpose.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:35 am to
quote:

Any foul and you could be toast.

This is the part I'm sure a lot of people aren't considering.
Posted by MasterofTigerBait
Member since May 2009
7592 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:35 am to
quote:


And you're underestimating how much room for error you open yourself to if you're only up 1. Any foul and you could be toast.


That is a good point.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110670 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:36 am to
quote:

We are discussing if it is a better strategy to miss the free throw or to make the free throw.

i.e. if the same situation happened 100 times, which one of the two would be better.

Right. Making it is the better play.
Posted by KillerNut9
Pearl Jam
Member since Dec 2007
33499 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:37 am to
quote:

It would have been totally reasonable before the final play to say that there arse no chance that #0 would botch his assignment AND get in the way of the big guy who wouldn't reasonably be guarding the fastest players on the Florida team too,no?


Putting yourself in an awkward position when the other team had time to run a designed play really doesn't equate to completely losing your man after a missed FT.

quote:

That was #0's job on the actual play, literally.


Lol no it wasn't. His job was to face guard the other UF guard that stared the inbounds play outside the 3 point line and then loop back to cover Barry after he inbounded it (which caused him to run into Hayes).
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:37 am to
Hayes and #0 were both terrible on that last defensive possession. It was embarrassingly bad.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110670 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:39 am to
quote:

Putting yourself in an awkward position when the other team had time to run a designed play really doesn't equate to completely losing your man after a missed FT.
Again, everything I said would have been totally reasonable to say no way it would, and it did.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84610 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:40 am to
quote:

Lol no it wasn't. His job was to face guard the other UF guard that stared the inbounds play outside the 3 point line and then loop back to cover Barry after he inbounded it (which caused him to run into Hayes).




Which is why I've got little confidence in Wisky's ability to properly defend the missed FT too. There was no need to cover someone behind the ball on that play. With 4 seconds it is a complete waste - everything will be going forward on that play, not backwards or even laterally.
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
66890 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:40 am to
In his defense, he was probably trying to miss it
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110670 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:42 am to
Not to mention, they could have fouled on the rebound, on the outlet, on a loose ball. Any number of scenarios.

The OP can say it's reasonable to think they wouldn't, and so what? How often do we see unreasonable decisions made in situations like this? All the time.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:42 am to
Seeing how discombobulated Wisconsin was on that final possession, the correct move, in hindsight, was probably to make the second free throw and then take your last timeout.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:43 am to
quote:

The OP can say it's reasonable to think they wouldn't, and so what? How often do we see unreasonable decisions made in situations like this? All the time.

That Vanderbilt kid fouled on purpose when they were ahead just a week ago
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110670 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:44 am to
quote:

That Vanderbilt kid fouled on purpose when they were ahead just a week ago
There ya go.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84610 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:44 am to
With 4 seconds I think you absolutely try to make the FT and go up by 2.

With less than 2 seconds, perhaps a miss and having everyone back on defense would have been a better move.
Posted by KillerNut9
Pearl Jam
Member since Dec 2007
33499 posts
Posted on 3/25/17 at 12:44 am to
quote:

Again, everything I said would have been totally reasonable to say no way it would, and it did.


Im not saying what #0 did in that scenario is the likely end result of this, but if you're telling me Hayes makes the 2nd FT, then you absolutely facegaurd one of the guards.

What resulted is a risk you run if your player doesn't get his head around in time.
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