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Could this be the year of the perfect bracket?

Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:15 pm
Posted by Lsubaseball2000
Member since Mar 2015
256 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:15 pm
Obv 3 factors ruin brackets. Second(first) Round upsets by 12-15 seeds. Higher seeds 7-14 advancing to Sweet 16. Higher seeds 4-12 making final 4.

This year it looks like the gap between 5-12 4-13 3-14 2-15 look very large. Gap of 4+ seeds making Final 4 is very large. Sweet 16 is only question mark. On paper of course.

Just my opinion. I'm sure many will disagree.
Posted by PKTiger
NOLA
Member since Apr 2013
836 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:17 pm to
Simple answer: no
Posted by rockchlkjayhku11
Cincinnati, OH
Member since Aug 2006
36450 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:17 pm to
I still cannot fathom how impossible it is to get a perfect bracket. I want it to happen so badly.
Posted by ZZTIGERS
Member since Dec 2007
17074 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:18 pm to
Google just told me the odds are one in over nine quintillion of completing a perfect bracket.
Posted by LSUzealot
Napoleon and Magazine
Member since Sep 2003
57656 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:19 pm to
I guess you haven't heard. The odds of placing a perfect bracket are worse than being struck by lightning….twice.

This post was edited on 3/15/15 at 8:20 pm
Posted by JW6
Member since Jul 2013
1571 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:21 pm to
Only 4 people had the 1st 2 rounds right last year. And That's every registered bracket online.
So out of like 100 billion

No one will never come close to a perfect bracket.
This post was edited on 3/15/15 at 8:22 pm
Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15096 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:24 pm to
quote:

The odds of placing a perfect bracket are worse than being struck by lightning twice, while holding the winning powerball lottery ticket, hopping on one foot, while rubbing your belly to impress a hot naked super model


FIFY
Posted by 8thyearsenior
Centennial, CO
Member since Mar 2006
4280 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

Only 4 people had the 1st 2 rounds right last year. And That's every registered bracket online.
So out of like 100 billion

No one will never come close to a perfect bracket.


and that is what makes the tournament so much fun to watch, it really is the best without question
Posted by TheWalrus
Member since Dec 2012
40486 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:26 pm to
No, but I think there will be multiple perfect first rounds, just one last year and usually are none.
Posted by Lsubaseball2000
Member since Mar 2015
256 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:35 pm to
People have been hit 3 times!!!
This post was edited on 3/15/15 at 8:36 pm
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:36 pm to
quote:

Google just told me the odds are one in over nine quintillion of completing a perfect bracket
There are 9.2 quintillion possibilities; therefore, the odds would be 1 in 9.2 quintillion if each game had a 50/50 however, the odds are much lower because some games (e.g., 1 vs. 16 seeds).

Last year, a mathematician estimated that a knowledgeable basketball fan would have a 1 in 128 billion chance of winning. When you compare that to the 1 in 175 million odds of winning the Powerball, it really shows how infinitesimal the odds of a perfect bracket are.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:44 pm to
quote:

Only 4 people had the 1st 2 rounds right last year. And That's every registered bracket online.
So out of like 100 billion

No one will never come close to a perfect bracket.
What makes it especially difficult is that the average odds of a game, should theoretically get closer to 50/50 with each successive round.

For example (and I'm probably overestimating these odds), if a knowledgeable person has a 65% chance of picking a winner in the Sweet 16, a 60% chance of picking a winner in the Elite Eight, a 55% chance of picking a winner in the Final Four, and a 50% chance of picking a winner in the National Championship, that person would still have about a 0.06% chance of picking all the game from the Sweet Sixteen onward.
Posted by Bags of Milk
The Sunny Beaches of Canada
Member since Feb 2013
3322 posts
Posted on 3/15/15 at 8:52 pm to
No, March Madness is the perfect combination where being able to handicap the sport well causes you to miss one or two absolutely random upsets and picking purely randomly means you are likely going to miss out anyways.
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