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2015 Tour de France Thread

Posted on 7/4/15 at 1:35 am
Posted by BigOrangeWave
Member since Oct 2014
654 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 1:35 am
Didn't see one up and with the Tour starting tomorrow AM I thought I'd kick it off.

Official Tour de France

I'll get it started with some predictions: I will take Nairo Quintana for the overall, Sagan for green, Quintana for white, and Rolland for polka dots.

As for tomorrow I'd put my money on Tony Martin claiming the stage win.

If you weren't planning on watching tune in to NBC Sports in the morning and I you won't be dissapointed.

Anyone else gonna be watching?
This post was edited on 7/23/15 at 4:50 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98203 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 2:04 am to
I will be. Probably the replay, since I'm still up right now.
Posted by LSUgoldjerseys
Member since Jun 2015
14 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 2:07 am to
I'll be watching, IMO some of the most underrated TV of the year.

Picks: Yellow Froome, Green Cavendish, White Quintana, Polka Froome

For all you Tour newbies out there (and I'm sure there are plenty), I found a pretty useful, although somewhat in depth at points, guide to the race for "rookies"
LINK
Posted by patnuh
South LA
Member since Sep 2005
6728 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 2:32 am to
Quintana is a pederast. 8 year olds, dude.
Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
35364 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 5:09 am to
Other than the cobbles, it's a perfect course for Nairo. Basically no TTing.

The Mur du Huy stage is going to be amazing also.
This post was edited on 7/4/15 at 5:17 am
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82037 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 7:14 am to
Froome/Quintana/Nibali/Contador will be fun to watch in the mountains.
Sagan should take the green, and Quintana is definitely taking the white jersey and will probably lead the polka dots as well
Things will start getting juicy with the finish of stage 3 and stage 4. stages 10-20 are going to be must see TV.

:bartscott:
Posted by OllaTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2006
242 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 7:45 am to
I'm up watching Stage 1 right now. I'm gonna go all homer and pick Talansky for the overall. Yeah, I know he isn't a favorite, but I liked what I saw from him last year.
That said, I wouldn't be upset if Froome wins again, I like him too. (Is that un-patriotic to say on July 4th?)
Posted by easy money
Member since Feb 2005
14420 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 7:57 am to
deep tour considering little TT and a lot of climbing. There's about 10 deep in guys who could pull it out, but with so many tough stages it will come down to the strength of the team in the 2nd and 3rd week. I like Sky and Movistar as an all out climbing composition. Tinkoff is strong, but it seems Contador is using his guys as expendable pieces stage by stage from the Giro and Route de Sud formula they have shown. I know Contador is a free spirit rider, but I think he'll have to use his team more wisely here. Also, we should see one of the best white jersey competitions ever with Quintana, Pinot, Bardet, and Yates to name a few.

Yellow: I like Quintana because I think he is the best pure climber. Guys like Contador and Bardet will test him descending, but I think he will more than make up for that going up hill. Froome is a strong pick as well as he proves consistent in both the Pyrenees and Alps. Both of their teams will be able to protect and attack in the mountains on a daily basis.

Green: Sagan because he can pick up points on any terrain and go for wins on hilly or cobble stages as well as sprints. He has virtually no support to do this, but he's very versatile.

White: Quintana. I like the form of Pinot coming in, but Quintana is very calculated and strong.

Polka-Dot: This could be anybody really. With no time bonuses on the mountain stages, it's hard to put a true team leader here, but you know they will consistently finish on the high mountains in the top 10-15. I think there's a strong chance for a guy off of Lotto Jumbo with Gesink, Ten Dam, and Kruijswijk....any of those guys can sneak away and win a major stage or two.
This post was edited on 7/4/15 at 8:24 am
Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
35364 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 8:58 am to
The fact that Trek has tail lights on their TT bikes like their commuting home from work in the winter really bothers me.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139848 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 9:09 am to
Having Sagan and Contador on the same team is going to burn Saxo I think. I hope Contador wins the thing, but not sure what the team owner wants.

I'm confused about Astana, they get busted for doping, Vino is a known doper, yet they are allowed to race because of arbitration? The arbitrator must have gotten some serious euros for that decision.
Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
35364 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 9:14 am to
quote:

I'm confused about Astana, they get busted for doping, Vino is a known doper, yet they are allowed to race because of arbitration? The arbitrator must have gotten some serious euros for that decision.



UCI already ruled on it. They're basically on double secret probation, but clearly still dirty as shite. Mikel Landa was clearly doped to the gills during the Giro.
This post was edited on 7/4/15 at 9:14 am
Posted by easy money
Member since Feb 2005
14420 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 9:17 am to
I think they'll just let Sagan do what he wants to do. I honestly don't know if Contador is good enough day to day to hang with some of these young studs. He will have to be wiser about how often he attacks and uses up his team. I don't like Contador's chances with the depth of the competition, but I like the way he goes for every stage he possibly can.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139848 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 9:23 am to
Contador is possibly the best grand race rider in the field. To say he's not good enough is strange.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139848 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 10:21 am to
Is the black guy from Eurocar riding this year?

AG2R still has the ugliest jerseys

Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82037 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 10:31 am to
Gene is in the team, Kevin Reza isn't.
Posted by easy money
Member since Feb 2005
14420 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 10:53 am to
If he uses his team as expendable like he has been his last few races, Contador will put himself under a lot of pressure. He is a great rider who usually gets stronger and stronger throughout a grand tour, but the field is deep and the pressure will be on for the last 2 weeks straight. I just think he will have to use his team more wisely. Tinkoff should be able to produce a podium spot with their team and Contador, but there are so many good climbers this year and now he sits behind some that aren't even considered good time trialists like Pinot and Mollema. If you like the sport, you have to appreciate the way Contador rides and I do for sure, but he will be truly tested and he can't go after the bait everyday. It will be a great 3 week race. The time gaps from the short time trial are really minimal between the GC riders, which means it's all about the mountains and a slight Team Time Trial advantage.
Posted by forksup
Member since Dec 2013
8817 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 1:03 pm to
Sad that Tony isn't in the yellow. Love watching the guy pound away on the pedals in a TT.
Posted by BigOrangeWave
Member since Oct 2014
654 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 5:21 pm to
Dennis rode an average of 35 miles per hour for almost 15 minutes, thats nuts...I wish I could do that for a quarter mile
Posted by BigOrangeWave
Member since Oct 2014
654 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 5:31 pm to
quote:

With no time bonuses on the mountain stages

And there will be bonuses on all road stages (everything but TT and TTT)
Posted by easy money
Member since Feb 2005
14420 posts
Posted on 7/4/15 at 8:42 pm to
I'm a fan of that. I like the idea of the yellow jersey having the chance of changing hands day to day. Dennis' gap is large enough to hold the jersey through stage 3. Cancellara or Sagan will have a chance to take it on stage 4.
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