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1
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:19 pm to maclauer
College Hoops...YTD 97-70-5 +22.5 Units 58%
Clemson -6.5 (-120)
Posting early because you can catch Clemson at -7 right now.
I bought it down to 6.5 for two reasons,... I hate to push, and I feel like 6.5 is a pretty key number in basketball.
Everyone should be fine with the -7, I have it capped at 15.
This game is very similar to the Louisville (-6.5) line last night in which the oddsmakers and public were undervaluing the favorite I had Louisville as a 14.5 point favorite. (They went on to win by 15)
This was my favorite line this morning and seeing the line drop makes me happy, I have had a ton of success betting against line movement this season.
May add one or two plays later, but want you guys to get this one while the extra value is still there.
Clemson -6.5 (-120)
Posting early because you can catch Clemson at -7 right now.
I bought it down to 6.5 for two reasons,... I hate to push, and I feel like 6.5 is a pretty key number in basketball.
Everyone should be fine with the -7, I have it capped at 15.
This game is very similar to the Louisville (-6.5) line last night in which the oddsmakers and public were undervaluing the favorite I had Louisville as a 14.5 point favorite. (They went on to win by 15)
This was my favorite line this morning and seeing the line drop makes me happy, I have had a ton of success betting against line movement this season.
May add one or two plays later, but want you guys to get this one while the extra value is still there.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:23 pm to Brodeur
Brodeur its at 94.5 at 5dimes now.....and before Mac questions it, I am looking at the correct game. 
This post was edited on 1/15/13 at 3:26 pm
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:25 pm to memphstigers23
quote:
Just grabbed it again at 94.5
ditto. I got 1 unit on 94.5 and 2 units on 96. I'm not buying again
I want the Pacers 1H under but would really like an extra 1/2 point there
And I locked in Clemson -7
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:30 pm to TJG210
quote:
Brodeur its at 94.5 at 5dimes now.....and before Mac questions it, I am looking at the correct game.
Got it, although I don't use 5dimes
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:30 pm to dgtiger3
what about Clemson at -7 1/2 now. And it doesnt let me buy the 1/2
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:32 pm to 21JumpStreet
quote:
what about Clemson at -7 1/2 now. And it doesnt let me buy the 1/2
You've got a shitty book
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:34 pm to memphstigers23
Bovada 
Im new to betting. Only just watched
Im new to betting. Only just watched
This post was edited on 1/15/13 at 3:35 pm
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:37 pm to maclauer
Both times the Pacers and Bobcats met, the 1H went under...
I'm gonna end up talking myself into this one by tip.
I'm gonna end up talking myself into this one by tip.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:38 pm to 21JumpStreet
quote:
what about Clemson at -7 1/2 now. And it doesnt let me buy the 1/2
Honestly I think you still have plenty of value on anything under 8.5, I just like taking every extra point I can get, especially in college basketball where the end of a game you can get meaningless swings from the free throw line quite regularly.
Also noticed that the line has went back up to 7.5 on a few books, I don't think I am the only one who has been monitoring that line today.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:42 pm to 21JumpStreet
quote:
Bovada
Im new to betting. Only just watched
5 dimes or GTFO
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:45 pm to maclauer
If the 1H line is dropping, why aren't the quarters?
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:46 pm to maclauer
I gotta head out. I did add Pacers 1H under 92.5. My updated card...
V43totals: 87-57-8 (.604), +49.0 units YTD.
NOH/PHI 1H under 93.5
IND/CLT 1H under 92.5
TOR/BKN 1H over 94.5
2 units: TOR/BKN 1H over 96
2 units: TOR/BKN 1Q over 48.5
POR/DEN 1Q under 50.5
MIL/LAL 1Q over 54
2 units: LAC/HOU 2Q over 51.5
V43totals: 87-57-8 (.604), +49.0 units YTD.
NOH/PHI 1H under 93.5
IND/CLT 1H under 92.5
TOR/BKN 1H over 94.5
2 units: TOR/BKN 1H over 96
2 units: TOR/BKN 1Q over 48.5
POR/DEN 1Q under 50.5
MIL/LAL 1Q over 54
2 units: LAC/HOU 2Q over 51.5
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:48 pm to Bryant91092
quote:
If the 1H line is dropping, why aren't the quarters?
Nothing about the 1H total makes any sense.
The Nets are BY FAR the team with the largest discrepancy between 1H points and 2H points in the NBA, yet they have the 2H being a higher total than the 1H (based on the full-game total), and the Q totals add up to much more than the H total.
I've really never seen anything like it. It makes zero sense.
This post was edited on 1/15/13 at 3:50 pm
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:52 pm to maclauer
My numbers have the Nets 1H at 100, fwiw
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:54 pm to maclauer
Well hopefully they cover with ease on the #s we have
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:59 pm to dgtiger3
quote:
Honestly I think you still have plenty of value on anything under 8.5, I just like taking every extra point I can get, especially in college basketball where the end of a game you can get meaningless swings from the free throw line quite regularly.
Nice, yea i know what you mean. You haven't let me down before
Posted on 1/15/13 at 3:59 pm to dgtiger3
Final Card
College Hoops...YTD 97-70-5 +22.5 Units 58%
Plays
Clemson -6.5 (-120) (1.5x)
Leans
Indiana -10.5 (0.5 Units)
James Madison +8 (0.5 Units)
- I upgraded Clemson because I feel pretty damn strong about the game.
- Indiana the line value is not great but I think they win by double digits pretty easily.
- James Madison was the only dog my system seemed to like today, so I will toss them in as a lean as well.
- I can not figure out why the line is so low on the Notre Dame game, I capped the game at ND -13 on both systems, but I don't bet sides that seem too good to be true, this line definitely fits that mold.
- Eastern Michigan my original system likes them here at home (I have them as a Top 25 Home Court Advantage in both of my systems), but my more sophisticated matchup system thinks they are pretty much outmatched in every facet of the game, so I am staying away.
College Hoops...YTD 97-70-5 +22.5 Units 58%
Plays
Clemson -6.5 (-120) (1.5x)
Leans
Indiana -10.5 (0.5 Units)
James Madison +8 (0.5 Units)
- I upgraded Clemson because I feel pretty damn strong about the game.
- Indiana the line value is not great but I think they win by double digits pretty easily.
- James Madison was the only dog my system seemed to like today, so I will toss them in as a lean as well.
- I can not figure out why the line is so low on the Notre Dame game, I capped the game at ND -13 on both systems, but I don't bet sides that seem too good to be true, this line definitely fits that mold.
- Eastern Michigan my original system likes them here at home (I have them as a Top 25 Home Court Advantage in both of my systems), but my more sophisticated matchup system thinks they are pretty much outmatched in every facet of the game, so I am staying away.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 4:18 pm to dgtiger3
Can't find any ML's I really love that I would play.
Really like Creighton but -700 is too high for me. Ole Miss I like but it depends on how all the earlier bets go
Really like Creighton but -700 is too high for me. Ole Miss I like but it depends on how all the earlier bets go
This post was edited on 1/15/13 at 4:21 pm
Posted on 1/15/13 at 4:23 pm to memphstigers23
Anyone on Kentucky tonight?
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