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1/15/13 Basketball Bet Thread: "Do it" edition
Posted on 1/15/13 at 5:58 am
Posted on 1/15/13 at 5:58 am
Bacardi Cola... do it.
4
Posted on 1/15/13 at 8:02 am to Bow to Auburn
Today's Daily Rundown: LINK
Posted on 1/15/13 at 8:47 am to accnodefense
ACC how has your system been doing? I took a brief glance at your picks and they look pretty good.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 8:52 am to TJG210
Quick question about the Cincinnati-Depaul game....
Why did Depaul open up a 7pt favorite? It looks like it has swung completely in the other direction (which would be expected)with Cincinnati at -7. I use scoresandodds.com, and that is the movement being shown. Not sure if there is an error somewhere, or I'm looking at it wrong.
Why did Depaul open up a 7pt favorite? It looks like it has swung completely in the other direction (which would be expected)with Cincinnati at -7. I use scoresandodds.com, and that is the movement being shown. Not sure if there is an error somewhere, or I'm looking at it wrong.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 11:00 am to Bow to Auburn
Eastern Michigan smells like a dg play.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 11:03 am to TJG210
quote:
Quick question about the Cincinnati-Depaul game....
Why did Depaul open up a 7pt favorite? It looks like it has swung completely in the other direction (which would be expected)with Cincinnati at -7. I use scoresandodds.com, and that is the movement being shown. Not sure if there is an error somewhere, or I'm looking at it wrong.
That's an error. It released Cincy -7.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 11:04 am to maclauer
quote:
Eastern Michigan smells like a dg play.
Lol just looked over the lines and that was the first one that caught my eye. About to start running my numbers.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 11:06 am to maclauer
I like EMU and Tennessee in NCAA, but I'm gonna wait on the expert.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 11:10 am to dgtiger3
quote:
About to start running my numbers.
This is what I look forward to everyday now
Posted on 1/15/13 at 11:12 am to maclauer
quote:
That's an error. It released Cincy -7.
Thanks.....that's pretty much what I expected.....would have been nice to grab Cincy at +7 though!!
Posted on 1/15/13 at 11:14 am to Bow to Auburn
Pacers/Bobcats Under 185.5
Posted on 1/15/13 at 11:46 am to Flatt2Flowers04
IND-CHA u185.5
NOH-PHI u183.5
TOR-BKN o189.5
LAC-HOU u207
POR-DEN u204.5
MIL-LAL u210.5
NOH-PHI u183.5
TOR-BKN o189.5
LAC-HOU u207
POR-DEN u204.5
MIL-LAL u210.5
Posted on 1/15/13 at 12:12 pm to maclauer
V43totals grabs:
NOH/PHI 1H under 93.5
TOR/BKN 1H over 96 (2 units)
I don't want to risk losing value on those.
NOH/PHI 1H under 93.5
TOR/BKN 1H over 96 (2 units)
I don't want to risk losing value on those.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 12:15 pm to gizmoflak
quote:
gizmoflak
Goodluck to ya!
Posted on 1/15/13 at 12:25 pm to dgtiger3
Posted on 1/15/13 at 12:29 pm to TJG210
quote:
ACC how has your system been doing? I took a brief glance at your picks and they look pretty good.
Haven't had time to cross check all of it so far with spreads and totals, though on January 9(the first night I ran it) it went 21-29 ATS and 24-29 on totals, then January 10 it went 22-16-1 against the spread and 17-21-1 on totals. On January 11 it went 3-3 ATS and 5-1 on totals. That is as far as I have checked it. It's also shown a profit on what I call "smart" money lines so far, including +7 units on the 10th.
That is as far as I have checked it, will try to get it more up to date.
Also this past weekend it predicted the exact score of the Utah State/San Jose State game(66-60) and got 4 other games within 3 points. That info can be found here: LINK
1. PREDICTED SCORE: Akron 68, Northern Illinois 55. ACTUAL SCORE: Akron 68, Northern Illinois 53
2. PREDICTED SCORE: Albany 76, Maine 75. ACTUAL SCORE: Albany 76, Maine 73
3. PREDICTED SCORE: Auburn 71, South Carolina 71. ACTUAL SCORE: Auburn 74. South Carolina 71
4. PREDICTED SCORE: Washington State 56, California 67. ACTUAL SCORE: Washington State 54, California 67.
Posted on 1/15/13 at 12:32 pm to accnodefense
quote:
Also this past weekend it predicted the exact score of the Utah State/San Jose State game(66-60)
I gave you props for this in the thread. I check your site every day
Posted on 1/15/13 at 12:39 pm to accnodefense
I have 4 tiers of money lines:
-All Moneylines, simply going down the list and picking each moneyline you feel has a positive expectation. Most money lines have a negative expectation for both sides due to juice, so I abstain from a good number of them.
-Smart Moneylines, playing only moneylines you feel have a positive expectation that are -200 or less. No moneylines more juiced than -200, and playing all money line dogs.
-Ultra Moneylines, which are smart moneylines with the added criteria of the positive expectation must be 5% or greater.
-Sniper Moneylines, which are like ultra moneylines, only the positive expectation must be 10% or greater.
Through January 11:
January 9 All ML: 23-19, -11.9 units
January 9 Smart ML: 14-10, +5.25 units
January 9 Ultra ML: 8-7, +0.9 units
January 9 Sniper ML: 5-7, -5.95 units
January 10 All ML: 19-13, +4.15 units
January 10 Smart ML: 12-10, +7.05 units
January 10 Ultra ML: 9-7, +6.15 units
January 10 Sniper ML: 6-4, +4.2 units
January 11 All ML: 1-3, -5.7 units
January 11 Smart ML: 1-2, -0.7 units
January 11 Ultra ML: 0-1, -1.7 units
January 11 Sniper ML: 0-1, -1.7 units
-All Moneylines, simply going down the list and picking each moneyline you feel has a positive expectation. Most money lines have a negative expectation for both sides due to juice, so I abstain from a good number of them.
-Smart Moneylines, playing only moneylines you feel have a positive expectation that are -200 or less. No moneylines more juiced than -200, and playing all money line dogs.
-Ultra Moneylines, which are smart moneylines with the added criteria of the positive expectation must be 5% or greater.
-Sniper Moneylines, which are like ultra moneylines, only the positive expectation must be 10% or greater.
Through January 11:
January 9 All ML: 23-19, -11.9 units
January 9 Smart ML: 14-10, +5.25 units
January 9 Ultra ML: 8-7, +0.9 units
January 9 Sniper ML: 5-7, -5.95 units
January 10 All ML: 19-13, +4.15 units
January 10 Smart ML: 12-10, +7.05 units
January 10 Ultra ML: 9-7, +6.15 units
January 10 Sniper ML: 6-4, +4.2 units
January 11 All ML: 1-3, -5.7 units
January 11 Smart ML: 1-2, -0.7 units
January 11 Ultra ML: 0-1, -1.7 units
January 11 Sniper ML: 0-1, -1.7 units
Posted on 1/15/13 at 12:40 pm to maclauer
quote:
I gave you props for this in the thread. I check your site every day
Thanks man, I hope you didn't check it yesterday though, I never updated it because I added a new feature(Wins Above Replacement) that had a glitch in it that ruined everything else. Since it takes about 7 hours to calculate and generate everything, and I didn't realize the glitch until about noon, I had to forgo updating yesterday.
It's fixed now
Posted on 1/15/13 at 12:45 pm to accnodefense
quote:
accnodefense
Do you run that whole site by hand?
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