Started By
Message

When does it make sense to sell stocks at a large loss?

Posted on 11/16/15 at 10:43 am
Posted by SomeGuyFromLA
Texas
Member since Dec 2014
139 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 10:43 am
I'm down 67% ($2843) on SDRL holdings that I have in a ROTH.

Under what circumstances am I better off selling the stock for a loss? My investment horizon is 30 years or so, I would reinvest the money in VTSMX or VDE (yes I know it's energy but the holdings are less volatile).

From a tax standpoint I'm in the 25% tax bracket but might make it to the 15% tax bracket if I can max my 401k contributions.


Summary:

should I
A) hold SDRL (down 67% / $2800 ) long(er) term and wait/pray for it to come back up

B) sell SDRL to lock in loss, take the tax the tax write off and then reinvest in an index


thanks,
Posted by Big Saint
Houston
Member since May 2009
1453 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 10:57 am to
If you hold this in a Roth then you aren't getting a tax write off on the loss. It's a retirement account.
Posted by Civildawg
Member since May 2012
8564 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 11:03 am to
I would hold it. I am thinking about jumping in on SDRL and holding it longterm
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50346 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 11:29 am to
quote:

From a tax standpoint I'm in the 25% tax bracket but might make it to the 15% tax bracket if I can max my 401k contributions.



I don't think you know how taxes work, why would this matter?
Posted by geauxbears08
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2011
223 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 1:51 pm to
You have to re-evaluate it like this: Would you buy SDRL today at the current price? If not, what else would you purchase with your remaining funds instead?

You can't look at it as if it's a loss or it will cloud your thinking and judgement.
Posted by Big Saint
Houston
Member since May 2009
1453 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 2:11 pm to
I'm in a similar position and would like to add more to my position but I'm holding off till some sort of dividend is reinstated.

Yes I'll miss out on several percentage points waiting for this but adding the dividend back shows the company is forecasting good things.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89542 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 2:25 pm to
When the loss is, effectively sunk cost with little to no prospect of recovery - AND - you can get favorable tax treatment versus waiting to take the loss later - typically before retirement, but let's say you planned to move to another job that has a much lower starting pay, but lots of upward mobility - if you have that situation about to happen - you can take the loss now, to generate maximum benefit.

Another example would be to offset significant capital gains in other stock sales, or real estate for example, within the same tax year.

But, it is definitely something to think about, because, if done correctly, can yield free money.
This post was edited on 11/16/15 at 2:26 pm
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

I don't think you know how taxes work, why would this matter?


Would lower his AGI
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37106 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:09 pm to
Reasons to sell a loss position:

1) You don't think there is much of a chance of recovery, due to some problem with the company/market/environment

2) You can take your proceeds and invest them in other instruments that are more likely to outperform the stinker (without messing up diversification)

3) You have sold some gainers and you want to use the loss to shield the gains

4) Same as 3, but you do think the stock will eventually recover, but not in less than 31 days (avoid the wash sale rules)

5) You need the cash out of the stock market.

3, 4, and 5 don't apply to Roth investments. Well, I guess 5 could apply, but that's a whole another set of issues.
Posted by SomeGuyFromLA
Texas
Member since Dec 2014
139 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:22 pm to
Thanks aceMidnight and LSUHouston

Those were the answers I was looking for. Doesn't sound like it will work in this situation b/c of the investment vehicle being a ROTH

appreciate your insight

Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80779 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 7:49 pm to
With a 30yr time horizon, I would definitely hold onto it. I do not see them going out of business and oil is cyclical. 5 years from now you may be shooting yourself
Posted by GoldenD
Houston
Member since Jan 2015
932 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 9:55 pm to
With only ~$1400 to lose, I'd hold out on it with such a large time horizon if you don't think they'll go belly up. You already went pretty much all in on the company, I'd let it ride. Then again, I don't know how much $4200 means to you.
Posted by LSUGUMBO
Shreveport, LA
Member since Sep 2005
8523 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 8:21 am to
quote:

I'd hold out on it with such a large time horizon if you don't think they'll go belly up.


This is pretty much where I am as well, although I've only got portion of what you have in it ($1,200), I don't think they will end up going belly up. I still feel like, with the age of their fleet (it's the newest in the Gulf IIRC), and the backlog of work that they still have, per this article, I think they'll rebound in the long run. I plan to add to my position, but I'm in no huge hurry since I think the price will be flat for a while.
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7918 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 11:32 am to
I generally sell if something gets below a 5 to 10% loss. One thing for sure is don't buy more if something has gone against you. Just because SDRL was at $43 once does not mean it will certainly make it there again.
Posted by thatguy777
br
Member since Feb 2007
2386 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 11:37 am to
quote:

I generally sell if something gets below a 5 to 10% loss. One thing for sure is don't buy more if something has gone against you


Not sure about this strategy

Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7918 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 11:49 am to
quote:

I generally sell if something gets below a 5 to 10% loss. One thing for sure is don't buy more if something has gone against you



Not sure about this strategy


I use it for higher risk items like futures and individual stocks. For index/mutual funds, etf's with broad exposure I might do a little averaging down. Averaging down with individual stocks could be quite painful.
Posted by Zilla
Member since Jul 2005
10599 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 4:22 pm to
only one thing you need to guide you in this situation... If it is a ROTH ira, your decision should SOLELY be based around picking investments that you think are going to appreciate the most... That's it. I'd sell it and find something better, like PAYC
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

Doesn't sound like it will work in this situation b/c of the investment vehicle being a ROTH


Correct. There is no tax consequence to either gains or losses in a Roth.

My completely off-the-cuff guess is that by this time most of the decline in oil-related stocks is in the rear-view mirror and it might be an opportunity to buy more. But I haven't done any in-depth study, it's just something to think about.
Posted by Porker Face
Eden Isle
Member since Feb 2012
15339 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

I generally sell if something gets below a 5 to 10% loss. On


Sounds like a great way to lose money
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4101 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

I generally sell if something gets below a 5 to 10% loss. One thing for sure is don't buy more if something has gone against you. Just because SDRL was at $43 once does not mean it will certainly make it there again.


I'm certainly NOT taking a swipe at the OP. But if someone has a 60%+ loss, then clearly there wasn't a plan *prior* to making the investment or trade. I don't say that to rub salt in the wound, but it is a lesson for next time. And it applies to me as well as him.

As far as trading, what you're saying is 100% correct, whatever the predetermined stop-loss may be. But even in investing, you can't just set it and forget it. I've read accounts of Enron and HealthSouth investors and how they went from bad to worse by "averaging down" their losses. Other books I've read detailed how it's human nature not to want to admit when we're wrong, and then we chase the fantasy of "getting back to even" again.

The loss is the loss at this point... he just hasn't realized it yet. Only if there is a fundamental case for buying more would I buy more. I don't follow this security, so I have no opinion on it. IMO, it comes down to, could the proceeds from the sale go toward a better performing security or not?

Always remember the story that John Madden told about the football player who threw a $100 into the toilet so that he wouldn't feel so bad about fishing out the dollar.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram