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Started By
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Looks like we're getting a December hike
Posted on 11/6/15 at 9:38 am
Posted on 11/6/15 at 9:38 am
271k NFP print this morning, and now the market is priced at a 70% probability of a hike in the December meeting.
2
Posted on 11/6/15 at 9:48 am to BennyAndTheInkJets
Posted on 11/6/15 at 10:56 am to BennyAndTheInkJets
What bank stocks should we be looking at?
Posted on 11/6/15 at 10:59 am to I Love Bama
What does this mean for a soon to be college grad? Ain't buying a house any time soon?
Posted on 11/6/15 at 11:00 am to WPBTiger
Tend to agree, they're likely going to hike and stop for a while but the signaling aspect becomes extremely important at this juncture. By that I mean if they don't hike at this point after this data, then they lose all credibility regarding their requirements for tightening monetary policy.
I use the term "tightening" loosely, no pun intended. Even if they hike they're still extending the current duration of their treasury holdings as they extend out what's maturing on their books.
I use the term "tightening" loosely, no pun intended. Even if they hike they're still extending the current duration of their treasury holdings as they extend out what's maturing on their books.
Posted on 11/6/15 at 11:20 am to BennyAndTheInkJets
Do you see the USD getting stronger as well? What a time to do some traveling.
Posted on 11/6/15 at 11:20 am to jimbeam
quote:
What does this mean for a soon to be college grad? Ain't buying a house any time soon?
Fed questions are way above my level. You will be paying more to borrow money though.
Posted on 11/6/15 at 12:07 pm to I Love Bama
quote:
You will be paying more to borrow money though.
So I should refi our variable rate student loans into a fixed ASAP?
Posted on 11/6/15 at 12:14 pm to Golfer
the bump in Decemebr can't be too much...as for fixing vs. float, that depends on the amount and risk tolerance you have.
Posted on 11/6/15 at 12:28 pm to BennyAndTheInkJets
I agree...they have painted themselves into a corner...hopefully they will be smart in determining the increase
Posted on 11/6/15 at 12:29 pm to BennyAndTheInkJets
quote:
BennyAndTheInkJets
Post more.
Posted on 11/6/15 at 1:08 pm to wfallstiger
The strong dollar further compounds the problem. It's almost too strong right now for a rate hike.
Posted on 11/6/15 at 2:08 pm to I Love Bama
This. I've been saying this for awhile. The global slow down has the fed's hands tied on spiking these rates. In my speculation, if they raise the fed funds rates then you're going to see more sovereign debt inflows to treasuries which will flatten our yield curve and strengthen our dollar and slow down our GDP even more.
Posted on 11/6/15 at 7:56 pm to Shepherd88
Fed will give a token .25 raise. Where they go from there is a mystery. I think they panic and eventually go negative with rates. It's already happening in europe. Race to the bottom as the fiat cap blows off.
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