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re: Investing In Tesla

Posted on 4/29/17 at 3:59 pm to
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

$0 tesla has Superchargers all over the place go to supercharge.info to see a map they're perfectly scattered for you to drive nationwide for free.


You aren't driving for free. Someone is paying for it.

The question was how much does it cost.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 4:26 pm to
Currently tesla, but the plan is to have charging stations powered by solar, look at the picture someone posted earlier in this thread
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 5:04 pm to
Again, these things require maintenance and sqft to be useful.

It sounds cool that there is no cost to the user, but if I am the owner (investor) I want profit. As an investor you should be looking to maximize your income, right?

What does Tesla currently pay to build, install, maintain, operate these things would be my question.

Also, if a product cost nothing, then it isn't the product.
This post was edited on 4/29/17 at 5:05 pm
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 5:07 pm to
Actually businesses welcome tesla placing them on their property with open arms bc having people with $100k+ cars sitting around waiting 30 min to charge their car means you have people with disposable income coming to your business
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18909 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 5:20 pm to
This thread has provided quite a few laughs for me on a lazy Saturday.
If AUPH hits, the first thing I'm doing is $11,000 in the Roth...half on TSLA and half on either GOOG, AMZN, FB, or AAPL (probably in that order unless convinced otherwise).
This post was edited on 4/29/17 at 5:21 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 5:21 pm to
So the 35k cars won't be allowed?

It works right now in their business model. I just wonder about what the future holds. 10-20k cars per site per day.

I'm sure someone has run the numbers. I just wonder at what number could Tesla become a victim of its own success.

I have long used the Baton Rouge to Destin (or of course 30A) trip as a litmus test for this technology. It looks like range is less and less of a problem.

Now I just wonder that if I have to stop at the Mobile or Slidell station (with the other 1k drivers) to make that distance how long will my wait be on Friday afternoon or returning home on Sunday afternoon. I picture the Mobile Tunnel being the least of my worries.

Of course the option is to build and maintain more stations. It just keeps bring back that they aren't free to build and maintain. Someone is footing the bill. Is the company selling a budget $35k have enough built in to power these cars for decades, or are filling stations willing to bank on customers coming inside.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 5:29 pm to
Tesla is doubling the number of Superchargers this year, they know they're growing by leaps and bounds and adding chargers for it but the reality is 99% of charging is done at home, the Superchargers are meant for long distance travel. Why would I wait 30 min for a free charge when I can drive all week and when I get low plug it in the wall at home for $10 or so. When you're in a growth phase like tesla profiting from the charging stations isn't the goal it's building a dominant ecosystem. Having the Superchargers is what separates them from the bev offering from gm or BMW today.One day tesla will prob charge non teslas to charge up there and they become like our modern day gas station.
This post was edited on 4/29/17 at 5:34 pm
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50341 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

think people in general man have had enough of the auto industry and the way it is currently. The sales process sucks vs Tesla's sales process


They tried this with Saturn, it was a disaster. People missed haggling.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

They tried this with Saturn, it was a disaster. People missed haggling.



Not even missed haggling, but knowing they are getting screwed and just being told they have to take it.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:13 pm to
HOLY SHITE did you just compare the sales process of Tesla to Saturn? This is what the 2 companies we're talking about were selling. One was in the 1990s and one is in 2017. One is the greatest car ever produced, and one is the greatest POS ever produced....here is what you're comparing right now.....nobody on earth misses the haggling, simplicity is key today. Nobody wants to research invoices, msrps, study the will cover method, and play 3 hours of mindgames to save $4000 on their car. Again these are the 2 cars you're comparing barry..........



Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50341 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:17 pm to
People don't car what it is. Look maybe the people that are buying 100k cars don't care. People that are buying 35k do. All im doing is citing the ONE ACTUAL market sample(for mass market cars) of what you are suggesting is a selling point.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

When you're in a growth phase like tesla profiting from the charging stations isn't the goal it's building a dominant ecosystem.


Again, this is investing in Tesla. Not is it a really neat idea. I see Tesla always investing back in itself, which is a great thing if Tesla is writing my check. But, the other manufacturers are catching up (could argue they have caught up) and I just don't see them as a long term car manufacturer at large scale.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

Nobody wants to research invoices, msrps, study the will cover method, and play 3 hours of mindgames to save $4000 on their car.


When the option is paying $4k more, plenty of people will.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

but knowing they are getting screwed and just being told they have to take it.


How is getting the best car on the planet, that is 10x safer than a regular car, thats not my number, Morgan Stanley said the Tesla was 10x safer than a regular car. At 13,000 miles a year(which is the average a person drives) and 25.5 mpg(the average), the average person uses 510 gallons of fuel. At say $2.50 thats $1300/year in fuel.

This is what it cost to charge a Tesla at home for 300 miles



So lets do some math

13,000 miles in a gas car at 25.5 mpg = $1300/year
13,000 miles in a BEV = $430/year

The BEV also is capable of free charging if you so choose, but even filling it at home is still significantly cheaper, and its only comparable if electricity prices TRIPLE. So over a 5 year ownership period you save $4500 on fuel + whatever else on oil changes + other services..

I dont know about you but thats pretty damn nice to me
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

When the option is paying $4k more, plenty of people will.


Plenty, to the tune of 600,000 to this point have said they dont care and will pay $1000 for the honor of waiting 2-3 years for their tesla model 3....whats your point? There's a market for everything, god bless those wonderful people who want to save a few K on the negotiation of their camry, other, smarter people would rather save the money on the gas savings + service costs.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:27 pm to
quote:

But, the other manufacturers are catching up (could argue they have caught up) and I just don't see them as a long term car manufacturer at large scale.


When you others have caught up, can you show me proof anywhere? Other than some talk? Can you show me a gigafactory in the plans? Can you show me a mass produced BEV? When you say caught up Id love to see what you're talking about bc I see nobody that has anything thats shown that they're anywhere near Tesla on any scale in the BEV race but I'd love to some info on what you have bc you apparently have evidence, right?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

that is 10x safer than a regular car, thats not my number, Morgan Stanley said the Tesla was 10x safer than a regular car.


C'mon man, they own Tesla, what the hell do you expect them to say?

$430/year is really nice. Saving 4500 is very appealing too.

Is there any setup I need to have at home or just a couple hours plugged into the wall?
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:30 pm to
I mean a standard wall connector is fine, but you obviously want more amps if you want faster but even a regular charger is like 8 hours instead of 5, go on tesla.com and click the charging tab and play around with their calculators.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

When you say caught up Id love to see what you're talking about bc I see nobody that has anything thats shown that they're anywhere near Tesla on any scale in the BEV race but I'd love to some info on what you have bc you apparently have evidence, right?


I think many companies have the capability, but don't want to be the pioneer. I think there is a lot of doubt that the market exist.

Hybrid technology I think is the what most believe the future is.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/29/17 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

I think many companies have the capability, but don't want to be the pioneer. I think there is a lot of doubt that the market exist.

Hybrid technology I think is the what most believe the future is.


Everyone has the capability, its not tough, you have to build a gigafactory, build something people want, and sell them. The thing you're missing is what I said in the OP, the fact is that in the current auto industry, the business model involves way too much of profit being lost and going to the dealer, the unions, and other legacy costs tesla doesn't have. So with those in place, nobody can focus on the BEV bc the current model calls for the parent companies to profit from service and not from the sale and the BEV eliminates service & you have to profit on the sale.....except big auto can't when they have all these independent dealerships in place weighing them down and taking their profits.

The PHEV is not the future, remember when they said Hydorgen Fuel Cells were the future? Well Toyota recently celebrated a big milestone, a whole 250 Mirai were sold and Hyundai sold 100 Tucsons!!!

Toyota Sells 250 Mirai!

Why Hydrogen Fuel Cells Cant Compete With The BEV

Again big auto is doing everything imaginable to invest in every tech but battery tech, bc they're trying to maintain their dominance and the auto servicing industry is enormous, look at all the garages everywhere. The BEV takes a big dump on all those shops, and the entire notion that we must spend money on servicing our vehicle on silly outdated engines..
This post was edited on 4/29/17 at 6:42 pm
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